Text | Xiaoqi
Source: All statements in this article have reliable information sources.
Since October 1, the door to the U.S. federal government has been completely stuck. Nearly 800,000 workers were told to go home and find jobs without paying, and another 700,000 workers had to go to work every day but were also not paid. At first, everyone thought that this was just a small disturbance that could be resolved in a few days, but who would have thought that it would drag on to the third week in the blink of an eye? This lockout seemed to have become a "war of attrition" with no end in sight, dragging the entire United States out miserably!
To speak of the most intuitive impact, we have to look at the ordinary people who have been cut in income. air traffic controller Peter Leffier said the words of the crowd: "We can't work half a pound, every day to be highly focused on the security, but now every day worry about how to feed the children, how to repay the loan."
More frightening than personal trouble is the loss of the overall economy. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent has long knocked the alarm clock: the shutdown will make the U.S. less $15 billion a week. This money is not gone for nothing, the aviation industry primarily, more than 8,200 flights were delayed or cancelled a day on October 12, all because the air managers did not think to work, and even someone simply asked for sick leave to protest.
Tourism is even worse. Museums and zoos in Washington are closed. Even the real estate market has been dragged down. A survey shows that 17% of people have postponed their plans to buy a house and buy a car due to the shutdown. Everyone has no money in hand and can only squeeze on their wallets to live.
More troublesome is the "hidden harm". All the institutions responsible for releasing economic data have stopped, and the "eyes" of the Federal Reserve's policy formulation, such as employment reports and inflation data, have been blind. It is impossible to accurately judge how the economy will go next. Farmers' subsidies can't be paid out, and small business loans can't be approved. These seemingly minor problems are accumulated together, which becomes a big burden that slows down the economy. Some experts have calculated that the 35-day shutdown in 2018 reduced output by 11 billion US dollars. This time, it is calculated at 15 billion US dollars per week. The longer it is delayed, the bigger the hole.
According to U.S. rules, every October new fiscal year, Congress must pass the allocation bill, otherwise the government will not have money to operate. This time is before September 30, the two houses did not negotiate, directly resulting in October 1 total shutdown. On the surface is the medical insurance expenditure, the Democratic Party to provide medical aid to the low-income crowd, the Republican said that this money was abused must be cut, but the backbone is the death of the idea of governance.
The two sides did not solve the problem, first busy "throwing the pot." The Republicans screamed it was "Schumer's stop," pointed to the leader of the Democratic Party in the Senate; the Democrats called it "Trump's stop," saying that the Republicans intentionally did something.
The Senate has voted eight times, and the appropriation bill proposed by the Republican Party failed every time, but neither side refused to give in-the Republican Party wanted the Democratic Party to compromise before talking about medical insurance, and the Democratic Party said that it would never let go unless it renewed the medical insurance subsidy. What's even more chilling is that the two parties seem to still "enjoy it".
The Trump administration has shut down large-scale layoffs. Seven departments including the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Education have fired more than 4,000 people. Even NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory has laid off 10% of its employees. The vice president also said that there will be "more painful layoffs" in the follow-up. Commentators can see clearly that this is not a response to the shutdown at all, but an opportunity to weaken government agencies and advance their own politics. The Democratic Party also wants to win votes through public dissatisfaction, leaving national interests behind on both sides.
Just when the domestic economy couldn't bear it, the Trump administration put its energy overseas instead, waving "big sticks" everywhere. For Japan, the United States forced people to stop buying Russian energy. You must know that 9% of Japan's liquefied natural gas comes from Russia's Sakhalin-2 project, which is the "lifeline" related to people's livelihood. Japan can only be vague, saying that it will cooperate with the G7, but it didn't mention it at all. No one wants to risk their own energy security.
More embarrassing to India, Trump publicly said Modi promised to stop buying Russian oil, and the Indian government on the spot denied that in fact a third of India's oil in September came from Russia. This said out and confiscated, and it became an international joke. Turn the head again to the European Union, looking at Spain asking people to mention defense spending to 5% of GDP or impose punitive tariffs.
The cost of the two-party game ended up falling to the ordinary people. The worst is the low-income group, with 7 million people in the United States relying on the "women, babies and children's special nutritional supplementation program", and the subsidy is over.
The pressure of the food bank is almost unbearable. The number of people who come to collect things is twice as many as usual, but their own funds have been cut off because of the shutdown, so the staff can only bite the bullet and collect supplies. Even American officers and soldiers are almost out of food. On October 15th, the salary should have been paid, and Trump could only order 8 billion yuan from the R&D funds for emergency relief. But doing so is suspected of violating the rules, and maybe he will have to go to court.
Those government employees who were laid off were even more confused and suddenly lost their income. Mortgage, car loans, and children's tuition all became crushing mountains. Polls show that nearly two-thirds of Americans feel that the country is too divided to solve problems. This disappointment is more painful than lack of money.
This time, in the history of the United States, there have been more than 20 government shutdowns, Trump has occupied three times. but this time, unlike in the past, there will be urgent negotiations for compromise, now the two parties are generally "not wanting to negotiate" either to exchange interests, or to push responsibility, or even "to oppose". House Speaker Johnson has said that this rate is likely to break the record for the longest shutdowns of 35 days in 2018, becoming the longest time in history.
This bottomless party struggle has dragged American politics into an infinite loop. Neither party wants to solve the problem, but is looking forward to using the crisis to attack their opponents. Even livelihood projects such as immigration services and special education are affected, which have become their "bargaining chips" in the game. As experts say, if the internal problems of the United States can't be solved, they want to put pressure on the outside world to divert their attention, but this will only lead to internal and external difficulties, and finally devour themselves.
Now the United States, like a car robbed by the wheel by two thousand people, is the economic loss of 15 billion a week, and the social division is deeper and deeper. No one knows when the stop ends, but it can be sure that the longer it lasts, the more common people are guilty, the credibility and power of the United States is also less expensive.
Source of information
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