Planned planned

The editor planned.

On October 16, Trump said in public that he had received guarantees from Indian Prime Minister Modi to stop buying oil from Russia. In less than half a day, Indian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Randir Jaiswal stood up directly. Clarify.

On the same day, India also released a message that rare earths imported from China will never be sold to the United States in the future. India's operation was fast and hard, directly bringing face to the ground. Isn't India afraid of retaliation from the United States?

Trump said that was the same as when Modi promised to stop buying Russian oil, but India's clarification came faster than anyone else.

The Indian Times interviewed people from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of India on the same day, the other said very clearly that the leaders of the two countries have recently had no record of telephone communication, and Trump's promise has never been heard.

The Russian satellite network also turned this response for the first time, which is equivalent to putting Trump's claims in front of the world.

In fact, it's not the first time that Trump has opened his mouth, but this time it's really different. The target is India, a potential ally that the United States has been trying to win over. As a result, people didn't cooperate at all and directly dismantled Taiwan.

In June this year there was a similar face-to-face incident, when Trump wanted to put the mediation of the conflict in India on his head, and as a result Modi went back directly in the phone, the affairs between India and Pakistan, with the U.S. mediation does not matter.

This said that Trump was not present, and then the United States used tariffs and saw the Pakistani military's tricks to beat India.

But the U.S. hit did not make India soft, but instead made Modi clearer, following Trump's words, will only be seen as a game.

India directly denied the call this time because it didn't want to be represented by Trump again. After all, stopping buying Russian oil would not do India any good.

Russian oil is $5 to $8 per barrel lower than international oil prices, India can save billions of dollars each year to buy oil from Russia, and if you listen to Trump's stop-up, this money will cost a lot, India is not so stupid.

Trump probably didn't calculate that his own promises would be exposed so quickly, which not only made the United States lose face, but also exposed a key problem. His words have become less and less believed, and even the allies who want to win over are unwilling to cooperate, and even dare to directly and publicly refute them.

At the same time, India has also publicly promised that it will not give China rare earth to the United States, which is not India to China, in fact, India is the choice of keeping its own industrial dish after clearing the profits.

Although agriculture accounts for a high percentage of the country, many rural areas can self-sufficient, but the industrial system is almost unmovable from the rare earth.

India's largest electronics company, Hindustan Electronics Limited, they make mobile phone chips, TV imaging tubes, every step can not be separated from rare earth.

In India's automobile industry, Tata Motors builds millions of cars every year, and the permanent magnet materials in the engines all rely on Chinese rare earths.

If India listens to the United States and resells the rare earths imported from China to the United States, if China cuts off the supply of rare earths, the production lines of these enterprises will have to stop.

If India loses China's rare earths, more than half of its manufacturing industry will stagnate. Millions of workers in the automobile and electronics industries alone will lose their jobs, and losses in the entire industrial chain can reach tens of billions of dollars. This is no small matter. For India, industrial shutdown is more terrible than anything else.

Although the 50% high tariff imposed by the United States has affected India's exports, it will at most make less money and will not cause the industry to collapse.

Like India's textile exports to the United States, the tariffs are high and can still be sold to Europe and Southeast Asia, which is a thin point of profit, if rare earth is no longer, even the qualification of production is no longer, this is the difference between security and less money making, India, of course, knows how to choose.

Moreover, India's own rare earth reserves are extremely small. The national reserves are less than 1% of China's, so it can't supply itself at all. 80% of rare earths have to be imported from China.

There is no other alternative source, India naturally does not dare to blame China, and even less dare to sell rare land to the United States, if China failed to confess, India's industry would really not be saved.

So India's commitment, in fact, to preserve its industrial life, has nothing to do with the face, all is a real interest consideration.

India's two actions not only caused the face of the United States to fall to the ground, but also exposed the two major difficulties of the United States, the credibility is getting worse and worse, and even the weakness of the rare earth has been pinched.

This is not the first time that Trump's promise to make a phone call has been exposed. He also said before that the epidemic in the United States has been brought under control and Mexico would pay for the border wall, but the results were all false.

This time, even India, which wants to win over, dares to directly refute it, which shows that the credibility of the United States is not as good as before. In the past, many allies would cooperate when the United States said something. Now even its allies are unwilling to believe it, and even dare to publicly dismantle it. This is not a good signal for the United States.

Even more fatal is the weakness of rare earth, the U.S. defense industry has been unable to separate from rare earth, whether it is the engine of fighter aircraft, the guiding system of missiles, or the precision instruments on the aircraft carrier, must be used as a raw material.

There are data showing that the United States 30% of rare earth imports, previously mainly bought from China, later wanted to get rid of dependence, everywhere to find other countries to rare earth, because India imported a lot of rare earth from China, naturally became the target of the United States.

The United States originally wanted India to resell rare earths imported from China to circumvent China's restrictions, but India directly refused.

In this case, the rare-earth situation in the United States is more obvious, if other countries that import rare-earth from China, like India, refuse to sell, the U.S. defense industry will be in trouble.

Some experts have previously analyzed that if the United States cannot find a stable source of rare earths, at least half of the national defense security in the next ten years will be affected by the supply of rare earths.

This time, the loss of face of the United States is all caused by itself. Not only does it always want to make up lies to support the scene, but it is exposed by its allies, but it also always uses others as pawns, trying to make other countries pay for their own interests, but it doesn't consider the actual needs of others.

India¡¯s choice is real, and it¡¯s more important to keep its own industry and wallet than it is to please the United States, but the United States obviously doesn¡¯t understand this.

Trump made a promise to keep up the scene, but it was exposed by India and lost face. The United States wanted India to resell rare earths, but did not consider that India's industry was inseparable from China's rare earths, and finally met with shame.

And India's choice is clear, no matter what the United States says, first to preserve its industrial vitality, first to save money to buy oil, the rest are back in line.

After all, the face is false, real interests and dishes, it is the most to grasp, America this time has no face, is because they do not understand this reason, always thinking to let others cooperate with themselves, but forgot people have their own account to calculate.

Source of information:
India promises not to export China rare earths to the United States--China Youth Daily

Trump: Modi promised not to buy Russian oil, India replied that safeguarding its own consumer interests is a priority - Red Star News