The war situation between Russia and Ukraine is becoming increasingly tense, and the conflict is spreading and crisis. Russia's actions make people feel that this is dangerous! The US media "National Security Magazine" reported on October 15, 2025 that Russian President Vladimir Putin had ordered the closure of the border and prohibited Russian men of military age from leaving the country before conscription began in the fall of 2025.

This is an exceptional operation. Russia conducts conscription every year, which is divided into spring and autumn conscription. However, in order to ensure the conscription work, it has never been before that Russian men who are appropriate for military service have closed their borders in advance. US media said this was done to "prevent incidents similar to the large-scale escape of people from Russia during the partial mobilization in 2022."

In the first year of the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia launched a partial mobilization order to recruit 300,000 people, causing a large number of Russians to leave the country. According to the Russian media "Moscow Times", 1 million Russians left the country at that time to evade military service, and most of them have not returned home yet.

The recruitment in the fall of 2025 is considerably large, with the largest recruitment since 2016, which is planned to recruit 135,000 soldiers, equivalent to recruiting a large army of 140,000.This has led to the decision to close the border for men eligible for recruitment, according to the U.S. media, estimated that tens of thousands are banned from leaving the country.

According to Russian law, if you receive a conscription notice, you will face severe civil penalties if you refuse to report for duty. Russia has learned the lesson of 2022 and has established a national electronic conscription notification system. The data of any person who receives a conscription notification will be automatically entered into the government database. Once entered, it will be automatically marked by the border control database. If it is found to be trying to leave the country, it will be detained at the passport checkpoint. Anyone who receives a conscription order must report to the conscription station. If he fails to report to the conscription station within 27 days, he will be punished and may lose many rights.

Since not all people can pass the recruitment medical examination, etc., the actual number should be far more than 140,000, according to the principle should be screened, in the end to determine the candidate for entry, but there are reports that the people to the recruitment station should be asked to verify personal information, but in fact will be immediately called into the army, the number of people in the army is not judged.

Since the beginning of the Russo-Ukrainian war, Russia has begun to expand its army on a large scale and replenish its troops in various ways. The annual fixed recruitment of conscripts is one of them. Although legally, conscripts will not be sent to the battlefield, in fact they are not implemented thoroughly. Moreover, the service period of Russian conscripts is only one year, which is only equivalent to the time required to complete training. After one year, whether they can retire smoothly has become a question.

Regarding Russia¡¯s new recruitment program, the Ukrainian side is concerned about being destroyed, and everyone knows that recruitment is for the purpose of fighting, against Ukraine, said the Director of the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Agency, Budanov, ¡°Will Russia mobilize?Yes. Unfortunately, will this pose a serious threat?Yes. This will be painful for Russia, but it is real. Unfortunately, this threat does exist.¡±

This concern is not an empty talk, since the beginning of the war, the overall size of the Russian army has been increasing, each year in addition to the fixed recruitment of compulsory troops, unlimited recruitment of contract troops, as well as the reception of mercenaries, recruitment of prisoners, etc., all in order to meet the needs of the war.

Ukraine has been working hard to recruit troops, but due to excessive casualties and many deserters, its total strength is in a state of decline. According to Syrsky, commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, its front-line combat strength has been decreasing. Currently, there are only about 250,000 people, which is at a disadvantage. state. To make matters worse, Ukraine's human resources are seriously insufficient, and the conscription work is becoming more and more difficult. Conscription is like capturing strong men, arousing more and more serious resistance. According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ukraine can only recruit 30,000 new recruits every month, which is far from meeting demand.

Compared with Ukraine, the situation in Russia is much better. The enthusiasm of personnel to participate in the war is quite high. A large number of personnel volunteer to join the army every year. According to Medvedev, Vice Chairman of the Russian Security Council, on July 2, 2025, since the first half of 2025, more than 210,000 people joined the Russian army as contract soldiers, and more than 18,000 people joined the volunteer force.

In comparison, it is not difficult to find that Ukraine is already under-motivated, and if it continues to fight down, there may be a situation where no troops are available. Russia has taken advantage in all respects, the victory is already in sight, the idea of negotiating peace with Ukraine is not rooted, and Putin only wants to end the war in the way he wants.

What Russia is preparing now is not to fight in Ukraine, but to fight with NATO. This is what worries people.