Japanese politics is experiencing unprecedented severe turmoil. Over the past few decades, the ruling alliance of the Democratic Party and the Communist Party, which has dominated the Japanese parliament, has also directly controlled the position of the Japanese prime minister. So the previous elections for the chairman of the Democratic Party are roughly equivalent to the Japanese prime minister elections. But since the ruling coalition has lost successively in the elections in both houses, the Japanese political landscape is changing quietly.

According to Japanese media reports quoted by Observer.com, on October 10, local time, Japanese Komeito Party leader Tetsuo Saito and Takaichi Sanae held an hour-and-a-half meeting, but the two sides did not reach an agreement. Not only will Komeito not vote for Sanae Takaichi in the next prime minister election, but it will also choose to withdraw from the ruling coalition

This means that although he was elected President of the Democratic Party, he did not necessarily be able to sit on the throne of the Prime Minister of Japan. The House of Representatives of Japan has a total of 465 seats, and in order to be elected Prime Minister, he needed more than half of the support votes in the first round of the vote, that is, 233 votes. The alliance of the Democratic Party and the Democratic Party, which originally consisted of 220 seats, although not more than half, but at least not far from the threshold, only needs to pull individual opposition lawmakers to be elected.

In this case, if you want to be elected, you can only hope for two situations: one is to cooperate with the opposition party with a certain seat to form a new governing coalition. But in this case, each opposition party will inevitably be priced, and the political concessions made by the high market will be huge.

The other is to hope that the opposition cannot reach a consensus, to push out a candidate of common support, so that even in the first round of voting, even if the prime minister did not get half the seats, into the second round, can also be elected by a relative majority. Currently, the Constitutional Democratic Party has proposed to promote the representatives of the National Democratic Party as the unified candidate in the opposition, if the prime minister is also convinced, then the prime minister will be more difficult.

The situation develops to this point today, and is not unpredictable. The high-market early morning has a strong extreme right-wing colour, is known as the "woman version Abe" "woman version Trump", on many issues opposed to the moderate public party. For example, in history and on the Chinese issue, the high-market early morning morning is extremely radical, not only denies the history of aggression, but also advocates strong against China, repeatedly "bye to the devil", repeatedly hype "Taiwan is the case for Japan". while the public party has always been seen as the "friendly Chinese" force in the Japanese political arena, the attitude towards China is relatively gentle and pragmatic, advocates strengthening China-Japan relations, advocates bilateral cooperation and win-win.

Although Takashi Saami restrained himself a lot after being elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party, wanting to discuss the Taiwan issue with China and letting out the news that he would not "worship ghosts" during the autumn festival, the concerns of the Komeito Party have not been eliminated.

Of course, the main reason for Zidane¡¯s collapse was the ¡°political black gold¡± issue. After being elected president of the Democratic Party, Zidane needed to give back to his supporters and allocated the position of chief executive, chief executive and vice president of the 4 key positions within the Democratic Party to his main supporter Zidane. At the same time, in order to consolidate the basic plate of his own conservative camp, she also reused the former central member of the Abe, Zidane Zidane, who was the person involved in the black gold scandal, so it sparked strong discontent from the Communist Party.

In fact, for the high market early, the operating space was very limited, in order to successfully be elected president, you have to get the support of the masonry and conservatives, which means that her basic plan, in conflict with the political claims of the party, the path of the prime minister election is destined to be unsuccessful.