The sound of artillery fire on the border sounded again, and the hope of peace was shattered for the third time in a week.

On October 15th, Pakistani Defense Minister Khwaja Mohammad Asif publicly expressed his lack of confidence in the 48-hour diva agreement between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and directly pointed out that the Afghan Taliban had become the spokesman of Delhi.

This statement just happened after the third exchange of fire on the border between the two countries in a week, and the regional situation suddenly became tense.

Over the past week, three major conflicts have broken out on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.

According to the 2024 "Border Security Report" of the Ministry of National Defense according to this criminal law, in the first nine months of this year, Pakistan has recorded 420 conflicts in the Fu'an border area, an increase of 37% compared with the same period last year..

The latest conflict occurred on the night of October 14th, when the incidents in the Kurum region lasted for several hours.

In the early hours of Saturday to Sunday, several border toilets were also simultaneously shooting, and the fighting continued to spread to the early hours of Sunday.

This report also clearly points out that the current security situation at the border is deteriorating.

Asif's TV interview also bluntly said: The Taliban in Afghanistan are fighting a proxy war on behalf of India, and they have become a puppet of New Delhi.

This allegation is actually backed by data, India's Foreign Ministry released an annual report in August 2024, which shows that India's aid program for Afghanistan has reached more than 300 items, the total value is more than $3 billion.

At the same time, a white paper released by the Islamabad Institute for Strategic Studies in September 2024 also shows that 40% of the armed groups operating in Afghanistan have received training and equipment support from non-state actors.

Faced with these conflicts, Pakistan has shown a tough stance. Asif also made it clear that we have the right and ability to bomb or attack any place in Afghanistan.

A report released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute in January 2025 shows that Pakistan¡¯s defense budget for 2024 has grown by 15.2 percent and has already reached $11.1 billion.

At the same time, the Taliban's military spending in Afghanistan will also increase by 20% compared with 2023.

Data from the South Asian Centre for Counter-Terrorism Research for 2024 has confirmed that more than 65% of terrorist attacks in Pakistan originate from or are related to armed groups in Afghanistan.

The current 48-hour ceasefire agreement is seen as a key to alleviating tensions, but all sides are skeptical.

Assiv is pointing out that Kabul has spread a wave of lies, in particular dismissing the alleged capture of Pakistani tanks by the Afghan side as false information.

The lack of inability also has profound historical roots. Pakistan has repeatedly called on Kabul to ban terrorist groups from using their land to launch attacks, but Afghanistan has always denied these allegations.

The impact of the border crisis between Pakistan and Afghanistan has gone beyond the scope of the two countries. When asked about the mutual defense treaty with Saudi Arabia, Asif said that friendly countries would effectively intervene.

The 2024 "South Asia Security Situation Report" of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs clearly pointed out that regional peace is in the fundamental interests of all countries.

The report shows that the conflict in South Asia caused economic losses in 2024, which were estimated to be as high as 12 billion US dollars, directly affecting the livelihood of more than 5 million border residents.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's annual forecast also shows that if the conflict continues to escalate, it may cause the regional economic growth rate to drop by 0.5 to 0.8 percentage points.

The artillery fire on the border has temporarily stopped, but the cornerstone of peace is still very fragile. As the influence of regional powers intertwines here, this crisis is no longer a simple bilateral dispute.

So do you think this ceasefire can last? can the international community intervene in such a tense situation?

Reference sources: Pakistan's Ministry of Defense's 2024 Border Security Report, India's Foreign Ministry's 2024 Annual Report, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute's 2025 Annual Report, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs' Security Situation Report 2024, South Asia Counter-Terrorism Research Center's 2024 Data, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's 2025 Forecast Report.