Recently there was a German military expert, said the truth, estimated the Pentagon listened to a night without sleep. he said, now America, in the face of us, there is a deep "sense of powerlessness". said this German military expert named Schneider, year-round study of the military strategy of the great powers, his analysis is never a hole in the wind, all is looking at data and the situation a little bit out.
As an analyst focusing on the strategy of great powers, Schneider always uses data as the anchor. His observations stem from long-term tracking of the situation in the western Pacific. In the past, the U.S. aircraft carrier group was able to cruise freely in the area and gained the upper hand by virtue of technological generation differences. But now, this advantage is gradually fading. The launch of the Chinese Navy's Fujian ship marks the maturity of electromagnetic ejection technology. This core capability that the United States has studied for decades has been mastered by its opponents. The improvement in the takeoff efficiency of aircraft on the ship means that the combat radius is expanded, forcing the US military to reassess the propulsion path. Since 2020, the U.S. ship maintenance budget has been repeatedly disputed in Congress, and funding delays have led to lagging production capacity. Chinese shipyards are operating efficiently, with the total number of ships exceeding 400, while the United States hovers around 290. This kind of overtaking in number directly leveled the balance of power.
The military gap doesn't stop at the sea. The deployment of Dongfeng-21D missiles puts US aircraft carriers at high risks when approaching. This anti-ship weapon is highly maneuverable, and its ability to change orbit makes interception more difficult. U.S. military simulations show that a single hit can paralyze the hull propulsion system. Schneider emphasized that this is not a theoretical assumption, but a deduction based on public parameters. In the past, the United States relied on aircraft carriers as projection platforms, but now every action needs to weigh the degree of exposure. In 2025, during a test by the Chinese navy, J-15T and J-35 fighter jets successfully took off and landed from the Fujian ship, and the tail flames streaked across the sea, demonstrating their actual combat potential. In the internal report of the US military, the parameter comparison table was spread out, and the officers checked it repeatedly, admitting that the technical gap had narrowed. The reversal of fleet size was the product of the congressional budget war, in which the fund allocation documents were scattered and the dock upgrade was delayed.
Economic ties have exacerbated U.S. concerns. In 2024, the total trade volume between China and the United States will exceed US$600 billion, with imports reaching US$461.4 billion, and exports reaching US$199.3 billion. Interembedding of this scale makes decoupling costly. U.S. consumer electronics products rely on China for assembly, and iPhone and other shelves need support from overseas assembly lines. Manufacturing in China requires US core components and technical authorization. Schneider pointed out that the chain of globalization is like a spider's web. If you pull one place, you will drag the whole body. If the United States pushes sanctions hard, inflation will soar, commodity prices will rise by more than 20%, and supply chain interruptions will trigger corporate alarms. Simulation models show that supermarket inventories are empty, consumers hesitate to cart, and economic chaos first spreads from the mainland.
This bond is not one-way. The US chip and software exports support China's industrial upgrading, and the break-chain will hurt its own innovation chain. Schneider analyzes that the cost of war has increased due to the deep integration of the economy, far beyond the Cold War era. The U.S. has used tariff bars to safeguard the interests, but now throws the mouse tick. In the 2025 trade data, bilateral dependence has not rebounded, showing that the break-chain slogan is hard to land. The head of enterprises wiped out the old scheme on the white board, wrote a new path, and acknowledged that globalization has become a double-edged sword. The U.S. people are in the first place, facing rising prices and shortages, policy space is compressed
The loosening of alliances has further exposed the isolation of the United States. Schneider observed that Japan echoed the pressure at the summit, but privately expanded its exports to China, with orders increasing by 15%. South Korea focuses on peninsula defense, giving priority to cooperation with China in trade reports. Australia participated in joint exercises in its early years, and now its diplomatic statements turn to balance and avoid getting involved in frontier conflicts. These partners know that any upgrade will first affect local ports and cities. Schneider stressed that no one is willing to pay for unilateral hegemony. European allies discuss multilateral paths in Brussels, and the Middle East survey shows that 78% of respondents regard the United States as the source of turmoil.
The United States has been distracted from mediation in the Middle East, Ukraine's assistance has been delayed, and its energy has been pulled on multiple fronts. Schneider pointed out that the swing of allies stems from realistic calculations, and front-line risks are higher than abstract commitments. When Tokyo officials sign contracts, they swipe their nips across the paper, giving priority to the local economy. The Seoul Defense Center adjusted its cordon but did not move resources overseas. In the Canberra Press Office, the spokesperson lowered his head to read the manuscript and softened his tone. Most countries around the world pursue cooperation, and the United States 'withdrawal from the agreement has backfired on its own trust. The rupture of the industrial chain and the tearing of multilateral mechanisms have led to a spiral decline in influence.
At the level of nuclear deterrence, the US advantage has also become a red line rather than a sharp sword. China's Dongfeng-41 covers the mainland, and its ability to counterattack twice is improved, which means reciprocal returns. Schneider analyzed that the U.S. democratic system cannot bear the risk of a local attack, and the outline in simulations of cities such as New York has faded to dust. During the US command, documents were approved layer by layer, and witnesses at the hearing raised their hands to take an oath and describe the evaluation report. This pattern of mutual destruction makes the stakes too high. In the past, the United States was free to launch nuclear weapons, but now it needs to weigh the local cost. Schneider concluded that this bottom line stems from the balance of power and is not imposed.
As an analyst focusing on the strategy of great powers, Schneider always uses data as the anchor. His observations stem from long-term tracking of the situation in the western Pacific. In the past, the U.S. aircraft carrier group was able to cruise freely in the area and gained the upper hand by virtue of technological generation differences. But now, this advantage is gradually fading. The launch of the Chinese Navy's Fujian ship marks the maturity of electromagnetic ejection technology. This core capability that the United States has studied for decades has been mastered by its opponents. The improvement in the takeoff efficiency of aircraft on the ship means that the combat radius is expanded, forcing the US military to reassess the propulsion path. Since 2020, the U.S. ship maintenance budget has been repeatedly disputed in Congress, and funding delays have led to lagging production capacity. Chinese shipyards are operating efficiently, with the total number of ships exceeding 400, while the United States hovers around 290. This kind of overtaking in number directly leveled the balance of power.
The military gap doesn't stop at the sea. The deployment of Dongfeng-21D missiles puts US aircraft carriers at high risks when approaching. This anti-ship weapon is highly maneuverable, and its ability to change orbit makes interception more difficult. U.S. military simulations show that a single hit can paralyze the hull propulsion system. Schneider emphasized that this is not a theoretical assumption, but a deduction based on public parameters. In the past, the United States relied on aircraft carriers as projection platforms, but now every action needs to weigh the degree of exposure. In 2025, during a test by the Chinese navy, J-15T and J-35 fighter jets successfully took off and landed from the Fujian ship, and the tail flames streaked across the sea, demonstrating their actual combat potential. In the internal report of the US military, the parameter comparison table was spread out, and the officers checked it repeatedly, admitting that the technical gap had narrowed. The reversal of fleet size was the product of the congressional budget war, in which the fund allocation documents were scattered and the dock upgrade was delayed.
Economic ties have exacerbated U.S. concerns. In 2024, the total trade volume between China and the United States will exceed US$600 billion, with imports reaching US$461.4 billion, and exports reaching US$199.3 billion. Interembedding of this scale makes decoupling costly. U.S. consumer electronics products rely on China for assembly, and iPhone and other shelves need support from overseas assembly lines. Manufacturing in China requires US core components and technical authorization. Schneider pointed out that the chain of globalization is like a spider's web. If you pull one place, you will drag the whole body. If the United States pushes sanctions hard, inflation will soar, commodity prices will rise by more than 20%, and supply chain interruptions will trigger corporate alarms. Simulation models show that supermarket inventories are empty, consumers hesitate to cart, and economic chaos first spreads from the mainland.
This bond is not one-way. The US chip and software exports support China's industrial upgrading, and the break-chain will hurt its own innovation chain. Schneider analyzes that the cost of war has increased due to the deep integration of the economy, far beyond the Cold War era. The U.S. has used tariff bars to safeguard the interests, but now throws the mouse tick. In the 2025 trade data, bilateral dependence has not rebounded, showing that the break-chain slogan is hard to land. The head of enterprises wiped out the old scheme on the white board, wrote a new path, and acknowledged that globalization has become a double-edged sword. The U.S. people are in the first place, facing rising prices and shortages, policy space is compressed
The loosening of alliances has further exposed the isolation of the United States. Schneider observed that Japan echoed the pressure at the summit, but privately expanded its exports to China, with orders increasing by 15%. South Korea focuses on peninsula defense, giving priority to cooperation with China in trade reports. Australia participated in joint exercises in its early years, and now its diplomatic statements turn to balance and avoid getting involved in frontier conflicts. These partners know that any upgrade will first affect local ports and cities. Schneider stressed that no one is willing to pay for unilateral hegemony. European allies discuss multilateral paths in Brussels, and the Middle East survey shows that 78% of respondents regard the United States as the source of turmoil.
The United States has been distracted from mediation in the Middle East, Ukraine's assistance has been delayed, and its energy has been pulled on multiple fronts. Schneider pointed out that the swing of allies stems from realistic calculations, and front-line risks are higher than abstract commitments. When Tokyo officials sign contracts, they swipe their nips across the paper, giving priority to the local economy. The Seoul Defense Center adjusted its cordon but did not move resources overseas. In the Canberra Press Office, the spokesperson lowered his head to read the manuscript and softened his tone. Most countries around the world pursue cooperation, and the United States 'withdrawal from the agreement has backfired on its own trust. The rupture of the industrial chain and the tearing of multilateral mechanisms have led to a spiral decline in influence.
At the level of nuclear deterrence, the US advantage has also become a red line rather than a sharp sword. China's Dongfeng-41 covers the mainland, and its ability to counterattack twice is improved, which means reciprocal returns. Schneider analyzed that the U.S. democratic system cannot bear the risk of a local attack, and the outline in simulations of cities such as New York has faded to dust. During the US command, documents were approved layer by layer, and witnesses at the hearing raised their hands to take an oath and describe the evaluation report. This pattern of mutual destruction makes the stakes too high. In the past, the United States was free to launch nuclear weapons, but now it needs to weigh the local cost. Schneider concluded that this bottom line stems from the balance of power and is not imposed.