U.S. aid to Argentina is about to land, and U.S. conditions are becoming more and more clear.It is unrealistic to drive China out of Argentina directly, and Trump has put forward a new condition: no military cooperation with China.

According to observers network, on October 14, local time, Trump met with Argentine President Milley, in the conversation again mentioned China-Arab relations. Trump told Milay directly that the United States could accept some cooperation between Argentina and China, but that it should not go beyond a certain scope, especially the military-related cooperation with China.

As for why Trump proposed such conditions, it was because the United States was preparing to assist Argentina. Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced that the U.S. would support Argentina with $20 billion in financial instruments, while paying back to Argentina to save the Argentine financial and economic crisis.

During this period, it also happened that after Argentina lowered its export tariffs, China immediately snapped up Argentine soybeans. The U.S. Secretary of Agriculture was very dissatisfied and wrote to U.S. Treasury Secretary Bescent, arguing that it would be very uneconomical to assist Argentina but harm the interests of American farmers.

You should know that many of these farmers are Trump supporters. Whether the Trump administration wants to sacrifice them when it is aiding Argentina, if this is not done well, it may affect the Republican Party's midterm elections next year. In addition, most of Trump's supporters pursue American isolationism and don't like letting the United States help other countries. Giving $20 billion and endorsing is a big deal. If Argentina doesn't pay, then these voters are likely to backlash against Trump.

So the US Treasury Secretary later claimed in some interviews that Argentine President Millay had promised to "withdraw China from cooperation.", as part of a condition in exchange for U.S. aid. However, the matter was quickly refuted by the chief minister of Argentina's cabinet, saying that Argentina would not terminate cooperation with China without a relevant agreement.

The US Treasury Secretary's claim to "withdraw China" is just a political statement.Millay will definitely give the United States some benefits, but if China were to withdraw directly from Argentina, no one would agree. Besent and the others must also know that Argentina would not agree. However, the Trump administration is just thick-skinned and likes to exaggerate what Millay might agree to directly exaggerate as "excluding China."

It was not until October 14, when Millay met with Trump that the conditions were truly clear. However, this condition of the United States is also very "delicate". Trump asked that there be no military cooperation with China.The Minister of Finance explained more clearly. The arguments that Argentina can get U.S. aid are not based on Argentina¡¯s agreement with China¡¯s central bank, but on China¡¯s ports, military bases and observation facilities in Argentina.¡£

But China does not have a military base in Argentina, so what does the US mean?Are you afraid that China will go to Argentina to build an important infrastructure? In fact, the remarks referred to the space observatory built by China in the Patagonia region of Argentina. The observatory agreed to cooperate in 2012, and former President Millay also renewed the agreement to cooperate with China in space exploration.

However, the U.S. government has always insisted that China has established observation stations in Argentina to "secretly carry out military activities."Even if Argentina denies it, the United States will not stop, and this time it will probably come to China's observatory.

In addition, there is another reason why Trump is willing to assist Argentina this time. In Argentina, Milley is a pro-American politician, especially with a good relationship with Trump. Trump has made it clear that this time helping Argentina is also supporting Milley, hoping Milley can stabilize the regime.

The United States sees Latin America as its natural ally and backyard, and politicians like Millie are especially willing to support. The U.S. is now weakening its control over the world, and it is impossible to focus on all countries, and many things can be done if you can support a U.S.-oriented government.

So how will Argentina choose?Among China and the United States, Milay had little choice, and he would not immediately make concessions to the United States on security issues raised by the United States, such as the withdrawal of the observatory station. Because even if he did not pay attention to whether he cooperated with China, it itself was a legitimate building in Argentina, Milay moved it, is in the "sale of sovereignty", is likely to provoke internal public opinion rebound.

Therefore, Argentina is most likely to find a balanced path, accept the help of the United States in a short time, and use some means and skills on certain terms to avoid offending China. At the same time, Milei should make more commitments in other areas to make up for these avoidances of the United States.