A well-known professor in South Korea recently said the phrase "big truth": even if the United States shakes out the bottom of the house, it is really to break the wrist with China, the end is not necessarily bright, and even may lose quite badly.
This is not sensational, but his judgment after a detailed analysis of the current military technology, economic strength and geographical layout. In this era of ever-changing global situation, these remarks are like dropping a stone on the calm water, triggering a series of in-depth discussions on the strength comparison between China and the United States and regional security.
America won’t win China? – Listening to the exaggeration, in fact, the sentence on the idea
The analysis of this South Korean professor attracted attention, not because the views are rare, but because he said that many people do not dare to say, but hiddenly agree with the reality, the "old" of the United States has not spent enough, and China's "new tricks" are out.
From the military point of view, America’s advantages have always been high-end technology and global delivery capabilities, but these advantages have begun to become reckless in the face of China’s “regional rejection” strategy.
For example, Dongfeng-21D and Dongfeng-26 are two missiles that specifically target aircraft carriers. They have strong orbit change capabilities and high strike accuracy. The key is that they can maneuver at the terminal. This makes it difficult for the US military's protection system to react. The U.S. set The combat system with aircraft carriers as its core may have long been on the "elimination list" in the "high-risk area" of China's offshore waters.
Moreover, China is not only “terrifying people” by a few missiles, from the anti-missile system Red Flag-19 to the multi-domain warfare system that spreads across the sea and air, China is playing “defensive counterattack” as an art.
South Korean media even commented that China's technological integration in missile defense, electromagnetism, satellite, network and other fields is not only "in line" with the United States, but "opening up another battlefield".
Speaking of the economy, the United States is now disconnected and exuberant, appears to be a "strong man's broken arm", the principle of "harmed muscle", China is the only country in the world with all industrial classes, once the war breaks out, the productive force is the core war force.
In recent years, the industry in the United States has been seriously hollowed out, and even ammunition has to be "ordered in line by tons." How long do you think it can last? Don't forget, Treasury Secretary Bescent also warned Congress last year that decoupling from China will directly impact the U.S. job market. This is not alarmist, but real data is "hitting the table."
Another point that is easily overlooked is that the alliance system of the United States is also "changing its flavor". Although Japan and South Korea say that they are good buddies with the United States, they all know in their hearts that the economy depends on the Chinese market.
South Korean semiconductors or Japanese cars, which one can't be separated from Chinese orders? If they really want to get involved in military conflicts, they don't want to use their own country as a "battlefield". Korean professors pointed out that this structural contradiction of "relying on the United States for security and China for food" determines that it is impossible for them to support the United States unconditionally.
Not to mention the chaos in the United States. Now Trump is in power at the White House, shouting "America first", but actually "America first split". The domestic left and right sides are torn into a pot of porridge, but the military budget is rising year after year, the confidence of allies is shaken and the strategic direction is erratic. How can this state fight a protracted war?
South Korean experts pointed out that the biggest problem of the United States now is not the lack of weapons, but the lack of strategic determination.
China's "defensive circle" is not a decoration, but a real force that can fight and defend
When it comes to China's defense capabilities, many people still stay in the "squeezed" stereotype, but the facts have changed, China's current military system, which calls for efficiency and synergy, is no longer a "man-sea tactic", but a whole set of "system breakdown".
For example, China's "area denial" capability is now covered with radars, missiles, and anti-submarine networks within a 2000-kilometer range from the East China Sea to the South China Sea. The Dongfeng series missiles are not operating alone. Behind them are communication satellites, unmanned reconnaissance aircraft, electronic interference systems, and integrated air, air and space.
If the US military wants to forcibly break through, it will not face a single point, but an entire firepower coverage area.
Moreover, China's naval and air force equipment upgrades are far faster than expected, such as the Red Flag-19 anti-aircraft missile system by CBS, which has been outstanding in several real-life exercises, not only can intercept high-altitude targets, but also intercept mid-range missiles.
This system is placed on the coastline, it is a "aircraft shield", plus the Shanghai Army's new patrol vessel, the Air Force's J-20 invisible fighter aircraft, the entire system has turned from the "defense line" to the "defense network".
China's advantages lie not only in equipment, but also in the technological and industrial support behind it. The successful research and development of Hongqi-19 represents China's independent breakthrough in high-end defense technology.
And this is just the tip of the iceberg. From chips to materials, China is strengthening its own "neck" before "stuck in other people's necks". What about the United States? Many key components still have to rely on Asian OEM. Once the war breaks out, the supply chain is broken, and the combat power will be paralyzed.
It is worth mentioning that China does not regard this system as an "expansion tool." Chinese representatives have made it clear on many international occasions that strengthening military strength is for defense, not for confrontation. Through the "Belt and Road" cooperation and investment in the AIIB, China has established trust relations in many regions.
This two-wheel drive of "peace + strength" is the biggest headache for the United States at present.
The cost of conflict is too high, and peace is the real hard force.
The background of the Korean professor's view is not to advocate confrontation, but to call for rationality. He pointed out that any military conflict between China and the United States is not only a disaster for the two countries, but also a global "systemic risk".
In today's era of globalization, if the two economies of China and the United States really go to war, what will it bring? The World Bank has long calculated that once Sino-US trade is interrupted, global GDP will shrink by at least 5%. In other words, not only the two of them will suffer, but the whole world will "suffer".
Moreover, the world is no longer the "enemy or friend" pattern of the Cold War era. China is the largest buyer of Korean semiconductors and an important market for Japanese cars.
Once the conflict escalates, the economies of these countries will immediately suffer. South Korean professors emphasized that practical interests will force governments to consciously choose peace rather than blindly take sides.
On the international stage, China's line is also more in line with the current multipolar trend, with Chinese representatives advocating the resolution of disputes through multilateral mechanisms, emphasizing consultation, cooperation and win-win.
However, the United States frequently uses unilateral sanctions, military deterrence and other means. This "old routine" has long aroused the resentment of many countries. Korean professors even bluntly said that if the United States attacks China, it may not only lose its morality, but also be isolated by the international community.
More importantly, the challenges of this era can no longer be solved by fighting. Climate change, energy transformation, and public health all require Sino-US cooperation. China's technological breakthroughs in new energy, 5G, artificial intelligence and other fields have become an important link in the global innovation chain.
If war interrupts this cooperation, it will not only hurt China and the United States, but the pace of progress of the entire mankind.
In the longer term, the concept of "Community of Shared Future for Mankind" put forward by China has actually been implemented step by step. The expansion of BRICS countries, the promotion of AIIB projects and the strengthening of South-South cooperation are all pushing the global pattern in the direction of "more cooperation and less confrontation". Korean professors believe that if the United States still clings to the Cold War mentality, it will be marginalized sooner or later.
And China's "progress while maintaining stability" is providing another possibility for the world.
conclusion
These remarks by South Korean experts are not alarmist, but a clear interpretation of the actual situation. In this confrontation without smoke but full of tension, China used its strength to build a peaceful defense line.
The real strength, not in the battlefield "bright muscles", but in the crucial moment to let the opponent not dare to "leave illusions", the future world, does not belong to those who provoke conflict, but belong to those countries that can stabilize the situation, guard the bottom line, see further.
Source of information:
South Korean Professor: The United States can't beat China at all Once the war begins, the United States will be defeated.
Expert: China's air defense missile weapons system has gone to the forefront of the world.