The crisis that may lose political power after 13 years is forcing the panicked Liberal Democratic Party to adopt the two-handed strategy of "balancing personnel for unity within the party" and "instigating the split of the opposition party" in an effort to keep the throne of the next Japanese prime minister.
According to the Global Times reported on October 15th, Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party and the largest opposition Constitutional Democratic Party agreed on the 14th to convene a provisional parliament on the 21st of this month. The media believes that Congress will hold a prime minister's nomination election on this day to elect the next prime minister.
Against the background that the Komeito Party announced its withdrawal from the ruling coalition and the internal differences of the Liberal Democratic Party bred, Japan's ruling and opposition parties are engaged in a fierce game around the prime minister election.
210 to 196, the advantage lies in the three opposition parties
On October 10, the leader of the Party of the Communist Party of Japan,斋藤铁夫, met with Japan's self-government party chairman, Cao市早苗, to officially announce the withdrawal from the joint governing power and end the 26-year cooperation between the Party of the Communist Party and the Communist Party of Japan.
The party said that the fundamental reason for the differences was the self-government party's exposure to the black gold scandal.Takaichi Sanae responded "inadequately" on the reform of "politics and money"Jato Tif said: "This issue is the bottom line of the Communist Party, and we hope to temporarily reduce the self-government coalition regime to zero, drawing a sentence for the previous relationship."
The collapse of the Union changed the political map of the Japanese Parliament.The self-government party has only 196 seats, far from reaching the 233 seats needed to surmount it alone.The Japanese Constitutional Democratic Party (148 seats), the Japanese Conservative Party (35 seats) and the National Democratic Party (27 seats) are the three major parties in the opposition, with the total number of seats reaching 210, exceeding the number of seats of the self-government party.
According to Japanese political news on the 15th, the three opposition parties have decided to hold party leader talks on the same day to negotiate and recommend a unified prime minister candidate. This change forced the Japanese Prime Minister's nomination election originally scheduled for 15th to be postponed to October 21st.
He apologized and vowed to be prime minister.
Japanese analysts say that the opposition parties seem to be cooperating around a potential consensus candidate to attack the position of prime minister, namely Yuichiro Tamaki, leader of the National Democratic Party of Japan. Yuichiro Tamaki also expressed his determination, saying that Japan has "entered a brand-new political situation" and that he is "seriously considering becoming prime minister".
Analysts believe that in the face of the unrest in the opposition party's joint lobbying and the party's internal unrest, the company is promoting two strategies at the same time, trying to stabilize the front.
On the one hand, she rarely announced her cabinet staff concepts in advance to reassure factions within the party.According to analysis, she plans to appoint her competitors in the presidential election, such as Shinjiro Koizumi as Defense Minister and Lin Fangzheng as General Affairs Minister, in an attempt to fundamentally prevent the emergence of "defection votes" within the party by instigating her competitors to "show a posture of unity among the whole party".On October 14, Gao Shi apologized in public at a meeting of members of both houses of the Liberal Democratic Party, blaming himself for the collapse of the alliance, saying that "this is my responsibility and the result of my moral failure" and called for unity within the party.
According to Chinanews.com, later that day, Takaichi sanae said in a speech that some people said that she "became the president of the Liberal Democratic Party but may not be the prime minister." Takaichi sanae said that she would not give up and would do her best to stick to it until the end. Takaichi sanae also said that he "absolutely wants to be prime minister" and said that he would strengthen the Japanese economy after his election.
On the other hand, the Liberal Democratic Party is stepping up its "polarization work" against opposition parties.According to the report, Shunichi Suzuki, secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party, has contacted Xinma Kazuya, secretary general of the National Democratic Party, and asked the other party to cooperate in the prime minister election. Shunichi Suzuki publicly stated: "In order to ensure the majority, we are asking for cooperation from other political parties with the same basic policies."
Political ambiguity: everything is possible.
In this context, the public party attitude that has just "breaked up" with the Democratic Party has become extremely crucial and ambiguous.
Tetsuo Saito, leader of Komeito Party, initially said that he would "abstain or vote for himself" in the election. Subsequently, the Komeito Party changed its mouth and said that "voting for opposition candidates is also one of the possibilities". Party Secretary-General Minuhito Nishida released it at the press conference"Everything is possible"The assertion is that the hint may also be back in support of the high market early, which adds more variation to the already tense situation.
External analysts have expressed different opinions about this. Fujitsu Future Research Center’s special adviser, Gautama Qiyama, believes that this could be a “defeat” for the Democratic Party, a departure from the alliance, or a policy that allowed the Democratic Party to advance long-hindered tax reforms. Consulting firm Quantum Strategy in a report criticized Goku’s early-foot leadership by saying that she “made a mess” because of losing a 26-year-old governing partner, and warned that even if she succeeded in taking office, she could become a limited-powered “patty-foot” leader.
At the moment, all sides are still tense and all eyes are focused on the upcoming October 21.
Red Star journalist Deng Shuyi Comprehensive Chinanews Network