There are signs that although the Israeli conflict has stopped, the ceasefire is likely to be only temporary, and the prospect of peace talks still faces many variables, and there is a possibility of a resumption of the war.

On the 15th, Israel stated that Preliminary discussions with Hama have begun on the implementation of the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement.

It is that the second phase discussed mainly issues such as Hamas disarmament, security security in the Gaza region and future governance arrangements, which is also a difficult issue in the Palestinian peace talks, and is also key to determining whether the war will resume.

However, just as the second round of Palestinian-Israeli negotiations began, Three more major events worthy of attention have occurred in the tense situation.

The first thing is that Israel did not declare war and opened fire in Gaza.

On the 15th, the Israel Defense Forces announced that in Gaza, Several ¡°suspects¡± who attempted to cross the ceasefire line and approach the Israeli military,After warning and dispersion efforts failed, the Israeli army opened fire ¡°Eliminate the threat.¡±, resulting in five deaths.

The army warned. Gaza residents are required to follow instructions and keep a distance from Israeli troops.

However, Hamas gave a different response to Israel's statement.

Hamas refuted Israel's claims and condemned the Israeli army's actions as a "flagrant violation of the agreement" and called on international parties to monitor Israel's actions and not allow it to evade its commitments to the mediator.

It should be noted that during the first phase of the Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire, in addition to releasing each other's detained personnel, the Israeli army will also withdraw to the "ceasefire line" side, but will still retain its military presence in Gaza and control about 54% of the area. In Israeli terms, the Israeli army's presence is preparing for the subsequent phase of the ceasefire agreement.

The implication is that Israel is still ready to put pressure on Hamas at any time, including opening fire on it again. This time, the Israeli army fought undeclared and killed five so-called "suspects". Obviously, it is releasing warning signals to Hamas, forcing it to make concessions in the negotiations.

Israel¡¯s demands have always been "Hamas disarms and withdraws from Gaza"But Hamas disagrees with this requirement, because no one can guarantee that after Hamas disarms and evacuates Gaza, Israel, who loses its threat and opponent, will not have the opportunity to return and continue to fight.

In addition to firing on the so-called "suspects", the Palestinian side said on Thursday that Israeli drones launched attacks on communities in the eastern part of Gaza City, killing three Palestinian civilians.

At present, Israel has not responded to this matter.

It can be seen that although the ceasefire between Palestine and Israel has begun, the prospects are still not optimistic. In particular, when Israel was fighting, the United States intervened again.

The second thing is that Trump issued an "ultimatum", and Hamas is under great pressure this time.

On the 14th, Trump issued a warning saying, Hamas ¡°must¡± disarm, otherwise it will be forced, and possibly even ¡°violently¡± disarmed.

Trump also said he had informed Hamas about the matter, which "has agreed to disarm."

Hamas has not yet responded to Trump¡¯s statement.

That is, the U.S. is also pressuring Hamas to disarm, and if the latter refuses, Israel is likely to attack it again, not even excluding the possibility of the U.S. being involved.

Don't forget, during the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States was Israel's biggest supporter. Not only did a large number of weapons and equipment be sent to Israel, the United States also voted against it many times in the United Nations and vetoed the Security Council's draft on the situation between Palestine and Israel.

Moreover, it cannot be ignored that the United States, like Turkey, Egypt and other countries, has signed agreements to guarantee a ceasefire in Gaza. However, Trump chose to "refuse to respond" when talking about "whether to support the recognition of a Palestinian state."

To be known, before this, Western countries such as England and Germany have declared to recognize the State of Palestine, and among the current members of the UN, The number of member states that recognize the State of Palestine has exceeded 150.

In addition, it should be noted that in addition to Israel, the United States also has a "desire" for Gaza. Trump has said more than once, To build Gaza into a "resort" in the Middle East, he even once made remarks that "the United States will take over Gaza."

It can be seen that in Trump's view, although the Gaza Strip has become a ruin, it still has huge interests and values. As the situation in Gaza continues to develop, The possibility that the United States will also begin to reach out to gain benefits cannot be ruled outAt that time, the Israeli turmoil will also encounter more variables and unrest.

However, just as Trump sent a ¡°common message¡± to Hamas, Israel also issued a warning to the United Nations.

The third thing is that Israel reopened its ports, and United Nations vehicles were forced to "halve".

On the 15th, Israel announced that, It has been decided to reopen the Rafah port in the south of Gaza.

As the Rafah Strait borders with Egypt, it is a key gateway and the main gateway for international humanitarian rescue supplies to Gaza.

After the opening of the Rafah port, more than 600 rescue trucks loaded with goods entered Gaza, the largest number of trucks entered the Gaza Strip since the conflict occurred.

However, as soon as Rafah Border Crossing was opened, the Israelis issued a warning to the UN, demanding that from the 15th, Reduce the number of rescue trucks entering Gaza every day by halfFuel and gas are not allowed into Gaza except for specific humanitarian rescue purposes.

Obviously, the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, which has just been expected to be alleviated, will once again be slowed down due to Israel's decision. Even as it continues to maintain its military presence in Gaza, Israel's restrictions on humanitarian aid to Gaza are probably one of the means to force Hamas to compromise.

It can be seen that Israel obviously still has plans, Hamas is still facing tremendous pressure, and there are still certain variables if the Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire is to continue to be implemented and long-term peace is achieved.

Next, let's see how the situation develops.