On October 9, a diplomatic decision made by Serbian President Vucic sparked heated discussions.
He cancelled his scheduled visit to Russia’s Energy Week, switched to EU Commission President Von der Leyen, and openly said Serbia would accelerate the process of joining the EU “at any cost.”
This statement made the outside world speculate whether Serbia is giving up joining the BRICS organization and completely turning to the EU?
Vucic's decision is no accident, but a trade-off in Serbia's complex geopolitical environment.
As an important country in the Balkans, Serbia has long sought a balance between the European Union, Russia and the United States, but changes in the situation in recent years have made this balance increasingly difficult to maintain.
The EU has always been Serbia's main economic partner, but its accession conditions are extremely demanding, including recognizing Kosovo's independence, meeting human rights standards and joining sanctions against Russia.
These demands not only touch Serbia's core interests, but also fill the road to accession full of uncertainty.
At the same time, U.S. pressure on Serbia is also increasing.
Recently, the U.S. imposed sanctions on some of the Russian joint ventures, which had a minor impact on the Serbian economy.
On the Kosovo issue, Turkey has also begun to intervene and provide drone support to Kosovo armed forces, further exacerbating tensions in the Balkans.
Under multiple pressures, Wuchic’s decision to cancel his visit to Russia and instead to receive von der Leyen was obviously a diplomatic adjustment of strategy.
Vucic's action has two profound meanings.
First of all, he hopes to show Serbia's sincerity to the EU through this move to promote the accession process.
Von der Leyen's visit was regarded by Vucic as a "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity", and he even said that Serbia was willing to take "insulting" measures to meet EU requirements.
This strong statement is undoubtedly a “voting letter” to the European Union.
Secondly, this decision may also be made for the United States.
By keeping a certain distance from Russia, Vucic has sought to ease pressure from the U.S. sanctions and to struggle for more breathing space for the domestic economy.
However, it is unclear whether Serbia’s “proof” will be in exchange for the EU’s substantive response.
There are differences within the EU over Serbia's membership, with core countries such as Germany and France wary of expansion in the Balkans.
In addition, the EU's own economic difficulties and internal contradictions also make it seem unable to attract new members.
More importantly, the EU’s strategy of “painting big cakes” has long been a source of dissatisfaction among the Serbian people.
Although Serbia has worked hard to join the EU for many years, the EU has never given a clear timetable.
In contrast, BRICS offers a potential alternative to Serbia.
The influence of BRICS countries in global affairs has been increasing in recent years, and economic cooperation among their member states has also deepened.
For Serbia, joining the BRICS not only means more economic opportunities, but also balances the pressure from the United States and Europe to a certain extent.
However, the BRICS has always been just an alternative.
The Wuchi government’s foreign strategy shows that joining the EU remains a priority, while the BRICS is more used to pressure the EU.
At present, Vucic's diplomatic strategy is still in the tentative stage.
Whether Serbia can find a real balance between the US and Russia will directly determine the direction of its national interests.
Whether it ultimately chooses to join the EU or BRICS, Serbia needs to move forward cautiously in the complex international game.