Trump was still talking about some time ago, saying that he could "bring Russia and Ukraine to a ceasefire within 24 hours." But now, the Tomahawk missile has quietly been shipped and made a detour from the Netherlands to Ukraine.
On the other side, The Russians silently captured the center of Kupiyansk and advanced the front line to Zelensky’s doorstep.
Zelensky’s card in his hand is almost broken, how long will he last?
The Task Missile.
The U.S. did not send tactical missiles directly to Ukraine, but first through the Netherlands, engaged in a "curve rescue" program.
It is said to have transported at least 200 tactical missiles, which is not a small number. This long-range cruise missile would be severely damaged on Russian mainland, and even critical facilities in Crimea.
The U.S. appears to say that it needs to be authorized by the U.S. to launch, but on the battlefield, the eye hurried, who is responsible for the authorization.
When Trump was asked by the media in early October, he only said that "it has been decided, but it depends on how Ukraine uses it." It's like a disclaimer.
But once the assault hits Russian core targets, such as military commandos or energy infrastructure, Putin probably won’t let go of the United States.
Trump himself tried to "secretly contact" with Moscow last year. It is said that he wanted to talk about a ceasefire, but it failed. This “war toughness” does not know if it is a “war toughness” route.
But he forgot that the current situation in Russia and Ukraine is no longer the stage of "you come to me" in 2022, but the sensitive moment of "stepping on the red line".
This operation by the United States In fact, to take Ukraine as a "isolation gloves", want to increase the fire force without burning.。
But how can there be clear boundaries in modern warfare? The agent was beaten, and the real person died. Once Ukraine really uses the tomahawk to produce an unpredictable result, no one will say that "the United States did not enter the war."
The United States' own military production capacity is also tight. Which of the Tomahawk, Patriot, and air defense systems is not "in short supply"? Even allies Poland and Israel are lining up. After a long fight, the United States can't hold on.
Kowalski is missing.
Just as the Tomahawk was packed and shipped, Russia had completed its "response" and stormed directly into the center of Kupyansk.
The city, located on the front of Kharkov, has been an important node of the Ukrainian army in the east.
From October 6 to 7, the Russian army quickly broke through the Ukrainian defense line, electronic warfare suppressed Ukrainian drones, artillery coverage and infantry advanced, and the speed was so fast that the Western media could not do so. According to open source intelligence and satellite images, most of the city is already under Russian control.
Behind the campaign is a signal that the Russian army has regained strategic proactivity, especially after Ukraine’s recent frequent drone attacks on Crimea and Russia’s domestic energy facilities, the Russian side has clearly decided not to “wait” but to proactively take action.
The Russian Ministry of Defense has made it clear that The offensive is aimed at attacking Ukraine’s decision centers and logistics networks.。
“If you want to hit my backyard, I’ll hit your front.”
And Kupiyansk is an important link between the front and the rear, once it is firmly controlled, the logistics supply of the Ukrainian army in the east becomes even more difficult.
What is even more intriguing is that the Russian military has changed significantly this time. They no longer charge blindly, but began to learn to circumvent the Ukrainian army's advantages such as drones and night combat equipment. This shows that the Russian army is constantly adapting to the rhythm of the battlefield and fighting back.
Looking at the Ukrainian army, although there is a lot of Western assistance, the speed at which it is transformed into combat effectiveness cannot keep up with the pace of the battlefield.
Russia at this time has chosen to strike Kew City, and there are also weather considerations. The winter will come, and the ground mud is not suitable for a massive attack. Now do not fight, wait until next spring, the initiative may be lost。
Darkest Hour
Ukrainian President Zelensky, for the past two years, is simply “the man standing on the edge.”
The eastern front collapsed faster and faster, but the aid from the West became more and more "chicken rib". the ax came and came, but when can it be used, how can it be used, can it be effective, all is questionable.
And at home, the longer the war lasted, the worse the outflow of the population, and the morality began to decline. More difficult is that Zelensky must continue to fight, because once he talks about peace, he faces the question not only of Russia, but also of domestic radicals and Western allies.
Economically it is even more difficult, according to the International Monetary Fund’s forecast. Ukraine will be burdened with huge debts for decades to come. The war loans alone will be enough to crush a generation。If this war is a "fight for freedom" for Ukraine, the price will be a reduction in national sovereignty and financial independence.
At the same time, Uzbekistan began to appear a little anxious in international public opinion. For example, China has been constantly accused of "secretly aiding Russia," but it has no substantive evidence. This kind of behavior not only damages China's international image, but also affects Ukraine's credibility among non-Western countries.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China has repeatedly stated that China has always adhered to the position of objective fairness, persuasion and promotion of negotiations, and will not be blocked by any party.
From one perspective, Zelensky has been pushed into a position of "riding a tiger"Not fighting, domestic political instability; continue to fight, the national resources are exhausted, and the people suffer.
His "dark days" are not only a personal predicament, but also a portrayal of the fate of the Ukrainian state.
From a larger perspective, this war is consuming the strategic resources of the United States and Europe in a slow but sustained way. Military aid is one thing, political capital, social support, and economic burden are another.
I don’t know how long will Zelensky stand in this situation?
The launch of the “Taxic” missile,, was Trump’s last “strike”; and the fall of Koupiansk was a clear response from Russia.
This once pushed the warfare to a more dangerous critical point.
Trump wants to contain Russia without ending, and Zelensky is becoming more and more isolated in an endless chess game.
The Russian offensive is fierce, the US-European aid is gradually shrinking, and the future of Ukraine is a bit empty.
Ukraine's mountains and rivers are broken and debt-ridden; Russia's national strength is damaged and sanctions are plagued; Europe is caught in security anxiety and energy crisis; Although the United States has made short-term profits, it also faces strategic consumption, allies' doubts and the risk of being involved in direct conflicts.
There are never winners in wars.
Reference information: "Trump: has made a decision on the supply of "Tax" missiles to Ukraine"
The Russian army broke through the center of Kupiyansk and waged a fierce street battle with the Ukrainian army.