Preliminary
It is often said that "one wave is not flat one wave again", putting the current international circle is too appropriate.
As soon as the Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire took a breather,"situations" occurred one after another in the United States, Russia and Iraq: three U.S. aircraft crashed in one day, a Russian oil base was attacked and caught fire, and Iran also took advantage of the chaos to directly show its trump card to "add to the congestion."
These things mixed up, I thought it was a small probability incident, I didn't think that someone was behind the "burst" ...
Three aircraft crashes a day in the U.S. and aircraft shortages kill more people than bad weather
On the 13th of October, the sky in the United States was considered "unpeaceful" to arrive at home.
First, in Massachusetts, a small aircraft carrying two people did not land at the airport, in turn, one crashed into the highway, crashed into the car and caused an explosion fire, two people on the plane disappeared, and another person was injured on the ground.
However, the fire has not been extinguished, and California has received news that a helicopter has also crashed on the road, two people on the plane are seriously injured, and three people on the ground followed.
But that's not the end. Near Fort Worth, Texas, a twin-engine turboprop plane rushed directly into a parking lot next to the airport, killing two people and burning several trucks to only their shelves.
Three aircraft crashes within a day, watching the news all feel frightened, some say it is not good weather, Massachusetts when it is happening is raining heavy wind, can carefully think about, things are not so simple.
The United States is the country with the largest number of aircraft ownership, and the frequency of aircraft crashes remains high all year round. Either the aircraft is too old and not properly maintained, or the pilot made mistakes in operation. But this is different. Two of the three incidents occurred near the airport. This cannot avoid a key problem: the air traffic control system is almost unable to withstand it.
The U.S. government is in a standstill, a large number of government employees are forced to work unpaid, and the vacancy center is the first.
There was a job gap of several thousand people, and now people are more tense to the point of "tower no one is watching", many airports have seen flights because no one commands the delay for several hours.
It's like the security guards hired at home suddenly strike and the door is open. Even if the thieves don't come, it's lucky that they don't come, let alone encountering "chaos" weather such as strong winds and heavy rain.
Politicians are flushed in Congress over the budget, and they don't care about the safety of planes flying in the sky and people on the ground. According to this posture, if they don't stop swinging, they may lead to even bigger chaos.
Iran takes advantage of chaos to show its trump cards
The United States is busy dealing with the mess, but the Iranian side has quietly made its attitude clear.
The commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy spoke, whether to block the Strait of Hormuz, all see the extent of the pressure of the West on Iran's oil exports, this is the export, the Western countries in their hearts estimate a little.
Who doesn't know what the Strait of Hormuz is? It is the only channel from the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean. More than 20% of the world's oil and more than half of the liquefied natural gas pass through it. It is no exaggeration to say that it is the "world's oil valve" and "the Western maritime lifeline."
When the Gulf War was so chaotic, Iran didn't dare to think of blockade. Now that this is put on the table, it can be seen that it is really pressed.
The West has just pushed the United Nations to restore sanctions on Iran, and it is the extreme pressure and economic blockade, if Iran is really taking the Strait, the global oil price can go up like a rocket, the western energy supply directly hit the neck.
Even more painful to the West is Iran’s nuclear program, which was previously damaged in the conflict, now it is announced that it has been repaired, can restore nuclear activity, and also temporarily interrupted cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency.
The U.S. West is no longer able to monitor Iran’s nuclear activities in real time, not knowing what people are doing and to what extent, this unknown is even more disgusting than a real knife gun.
Iran also said that it does not have to develop nuclear weapons, but if the West blocks the road and pushes it into a corner, no one can guarantee that the situation will get out of control.
The Russian energy base was attacked, and the shadow behind it shake a bit.
In the Middle East, the sword has been pulled out, and Russia has not been lazy, and Russia has recently suffered a lot of losses in energy facilities.
Early on the morning of the 13th, a large number of Ukrainian drones attacked the Crimean petroleum base in Feudozia, and the smoke rolled around the scene of the fire, so that no casualties were for the time being.
To push forward for two days, on the evening of the 11th, Ukraine also launched a drone, bombed a Russian refinery, to know that the ground that was bombed is one of the largest refining centers of Russia, 1400 kilometers away from Ukraine, so far can be accurate in command, the power of the Ukrainian drone can not be underestimated.
Two consecutive attacks have exposed a big problem in Russia: when dealing with small drone attacks, the air defense system is a bit "unable to do what it wants".
In recent years, Russia's air defense system has gained a lot of fame in the world, but when faced with flexible and compact drones, it is like using a big net to catch small fish. There are always some fish that escape the net.
Even more striking, the Financial Times that the United States has been helping Ukraine in the past few months with long-range strikes aimed at Russian energy facilities in order to weaken Russia’s economic power.
Although neither of the two sides acknowledged, nor did Russia respond, but combined with the United States has always wanted to "destroy Russia" in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, this is really not an empty wind.
Energy is Russia's "economic lifeline", the facilities are bombed two in a row, and the fire of the Russian side will not be suppressed.
Next, either increase the investment on the battlefield, and show Ukraine the color; or directly look to the United States, after all, if it is really the United States behind the back, this barrel can grow bigger.
However, regardless of the path chosen, the situation in Russia and Russia and the US-Russian relations must encounter new turmoil, and it seems that this dungeon will only get more and more disturbed.
conclusion
Recently, these things have come together, the international circle you sing, I appear, there is no oil-saving light.
The crash in the United States exposed loopholes in internal governance, Iran's trump card was forced to fight back, and Russia's attack indicated that the conflict might escalate.
These things look far from the life of ordinary people, oil prices can rise, flight safety, and maybe one day will be on our daily side.
Next this "great drama" will play, can only look down, only hope that behind this fun, less innocent sacrifice, more peaceful days.