The former global network and Phoenix network international news editor.
The Middle East Peace Summit. Witnessing the landing of the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire, Trump’s confidence expanded unprecedentedlyNo one else has left the Middle East.” Must take care of Russia"The heroic words.
Ukraine has keenly grasped the change of wind direction. Zelensky leaves for another visit this weekAmerica, it seems that he also feels that discussing pressure on Russia with Trump at this time will have twice the result with half the effort.
But Trump’s measures against Hamas will not necessarily play a role in the Russian-Ukrainian issue. Hamas can only defend a corner of Gaza, but Russia is an out-and-out regional power.
The Putin administration is also good at grasp the position in dealing with the United States, and it should be said that after doing well on issues such as NATO’s east expansion, Russia has finally learned to keep an eye on the verbal promises of the West.
Putin traveled thousands of miles to Alaska to make an appointment and held a summit with Trump. At first glance, he promoted the normalization of US-Russia relations and the Russia-Ukraine peace talks at the same time, but on the whole, Russia still has its own principles and bottom line and has not made any substantive concessions.
So it didn't take long, Trump lost his patience, switched to a tougher mouthpiece, Russia was not reluctant to show weakness, announced the suspension of the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks, no face left.
Therefore, When Trump declared to "get rid of Russia," the Russia-Ukraine issue actually reached a deadlockThe U.S. is considering how to pressure Putin to the goal, while Russia is preparing its troops to block the water.
The United States cannot convince Ukraine now, nor can it convince Putin. This won't change anything because Trump brokered the ceasefire in Gaza. Besides, who can guarantee that the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas can advance smoothly to the next stage?
Trump's initial vision of mediating Russia and Ukraine is quite different from that of European countries.。 once Proposal for peace on Ukrainian territoryOnly after being supported by the European Union, Ukraine dared to stand up to the back of the back, listening to the US side strike.
At the same time, Europe is using the US-European transatlantic partnership to continue to do the ideological work of the Trump administration.
Facts have proved that Trump may have his own cognition and opinions on the Russia-Ukraine issue, but it is not that he is unable to advance. He is inherently changeable, and his opinions often depend on whom he last met。 After contacting Putin first, the tone will be more biased towards Russia. When European countries and Ukraine come to your door one after another, it will be another set of rhetoric.
and also, On the Gaza issue, Trump gathered together the right time, place, people and harmonyThe 20 points of peace he proposed, both Israel and Hamas would sell this face.
Moreover, the conflict has lasted long, Israel has created a massive humanitarian crisis, and the United States has been picking up the rubble, leading to isolation by the international community, and the face is not hanging.
The situation is different here in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Neither party involved has close relations with the United States., Ukraine is not a regional ally of the United States that shares weal and woe.
If we say that in the U.S. alliance system, Israel is superior to people, then Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines play a key role in the "Indo-Pacific Strategy", and then other NATO member states are even inferior.
As for Ukraine, the pressure is not in this system. The United States cannot confront Russia head-on for the sake of Ukraine.
It's just that Ukraine has the full support of Europe, so the United States cannot risk alienating its allies and recognize Russia's occupation of Ukrainian territory.
In the final analysis, the United States will not vigorously promote a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine as it intervened in the Palestinian-Israeli issue. In the first place, the strategic momentum of the United States is insufficient, and in the second place, the influence on the parties is almost meaningful.
Don't look at Trump's words about how good his personal relationship with Putin is. But now everyone knows that Putin’s personal relationship with Trump is not as reliable.Unless this relationship favors “America’s priority,” it will be abandoned by Trump.
Trump, who likes to go the shortcut on everything, also likes to come up with a "short knife crackdown" on the Russian-Ukrainian issue. he has contributed to the ceasefire in Gaza in a short time, but does not necessarily succeed in resuming it here in Russia.
Of course, the Ukrainian crisis is a mess, involving historical entanglements before and after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, geographical contradictions and ethnic differences between Russia and Ukraine over the years, However, the level of diplomacy of the United States is by no means a quick sword to speak of.
What Trump wants is not to be based on reality and solve problems, but to boost his political image.This year he shocked the loss of the Nobel Peace Prize, but the term remains for three years, meaning three more chances.
So he will definitely think of continuing to consolidate his "peace messenger" gold sign, and nothing is more worthy of showcasing and showcasing than the geological hotspot that mediated the conflict in Ukraine.