The years when the United States is the boss seem to be getting worse and worse. Economically, there are mountains of national debt, which has exceeded the US$37.85 trillion mark in October 2025. Data from the Congressional Budget Office shows that the ratio of public debt to GDP is approaching 100%, and the fiscal deficit remains firmly at around US$1.9 trillion, mainly due to interest and social protection spending. Even if the government wants to make more money by increasing tariffs, from 77 billion to 195 billion, it cannot stop these big expenses. The debt ceiling was adjusted a few years ago. It was changed in January 2023 and was set at 36.1 trillion yuan in January 2025. However, it has actually exceeded the limit. Every American carries an average of nearly 110,000 dollars in debt. Life is so tight.
America is not as vigorous as before. Regarding the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan in 2021, the troops were withdrawn hastily, and hundreds of millions of dollars of equipment were dropped for local forces to take advantage of them. The whole world saw it. In 2023, the Houthi armed forces used missiles and drones to greet the U.S. fleet in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. The U.S. military's counterattack was a counterattack, but it has not been completely resolved until 2025, and there are always problems with the safety of the waterway. In the diplomatic circle, allies began to make their own calculations. Germany, France and Russia in Europe had more and more energy cooperation. On the United Nations proposal, there were fewer and fewer votes in favor of the United States. Borrell, the EU's diplomatic leader, bluntly stated in May 2024 that the global leadership of the United States is declining and a multipolar world pattern is slowly taking shape. The United States' own media analyzed an article in April 2024, saying that it took two centuries to establish hegemony, and it would take 20 years to lose it. This sounds heart-wrenching, but the reality is so cruel.
The multi-polar world begins, the differences between the United States and Europe are becoming more and more obvious. Russia, China, these countries are increasing influence, the decline of the United States has accelerated. Think about the United States before, and now? the allies are not so obedient. Like Japan, Israel, Ukraine, these countries are always fighting the United States backbone, the day goes well, but once the U.S. hegemony is really over, they can be suspended. This country depends on the U.S. too deeply, economically and militarily can not be separated, if the U.S. do not care, the consequences are unthinkable.
After the Second World War, Japan was bound to death and death to the United States. In 1945, surrendered, relying on the US aid to rebuild the economy, in 1951 signed the San Francisco peace treaty, restored sovereignty, but at the same time entered into a U.S. day security treaty, the defense basic outsourcing to the United States. The U.S. military stationed in Japan tens of thousands, and now still occupy bases, especially Okinawa. In 1960, the treaty changed, strengthened military cooperation, Japan paid money to raise the U.S. military, but always dependent on the status. Trump at the time also complained that the treaty was unfair, to pay more Japanese military expenses. Japan's self-defense is governed by Article 9 of the Constitution, can only
The majority of Japan's exports are automobiles and electronic products, and the American market is the main buyer. Without American consumers, Japanese companies have to drink the northwest wind. In the high-tech field, semiconductors and so on are also inseparable from the technical support of the United States. As soon as the Plaza Accord was signed in 1985, the yen appreciated, and the economic bubble exploded, which couldn't be slowed down for decades. If American hegemony is gone, Japan's exports will shrink, unemployment will soar, and many factories will close down. Japan has a historical bump with China and South Korea, and Southeast Asian countries still hold a grudge against World War II. Without the United States as a backer, they basically can't play in Asia. Think about Japan's geographical location, sandwiched among several big countries, without the nuclear umbrella of the United States, and its sense of security plummets. Experts say that although Japan has economic strength, it is too dependent. Once the United States shrinks its commitments, its international status will plummet, and it will be difficult to maintain the status quo.
The situation in Israel is even more difficult. Since its founding in 1948, this country has regarded the United States as its financial owner and bodyguard. From 2023 to 2025, the cumulative U.S. military aid exceeds 21.7 billion dollars, accounting for more than 20% of Israel's defense budget. High-end goods such as F-35 fighter jets and Iron Dome systems are all supplied by the United States. In that place in the Middle East, countries such as Syria, Lebanon, and Iran are not on par with Israel. Fight against Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2022, disrupt the armed border supported by Iran in 2023, and escalate into 2025. In the fighting in Gaza, since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, 1200 Israelis have died, 251 have been captured, and about 20 people are still alive. The Israeli army responded, causing tens of thousands of casualties on the Palestinian side. The United Nations has held many meetings to condemn it. The United States has always voted against it or blocked sanctions.
Israeli technology cattle, but the chain of funds can not be separated from the United States, foreign investment withdrawal, trouble. The army recalled, the high-tech military industry paralyzed half, the civil industry followed. Israel in the international reputation, the position of the Palestinian issue hard, guilty of many countries. In April 2024, the United Nations vetoed the Palestinian accession, the United States opposed, the UK abstained. In March 2025, Israel attacked Gaza, more than 400 Palestinians were killed, the ceasefire agreement broke. January 15 signed a three-stage ceasefire, but March 18 fought again, until October 10, the first phase, release of the hostages and the withdrawal of the troops.
The case of Ukraine is more direct, starting with the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, and relying entirely on U.S. aid. After 2022, the U.S. broke 75 billion knives, by 2025, over 130 billion, accounting for half of Ukraine’s military spending. Weapons include missiles, air defense systems, helping to carry the frontline. Ukraine’s industry is old, agriculture is mainly, the war crushes the economy, GDP is shrinking, foreign debt accumulates. In 2023, the Russian military pushes in Lugansk, Ukraine can only retreat.
In February 2024, Russia occupied Avdiffka, in May, it attacked northern Kharkiv, and in October, Kursk failed to counterattack. In January 2025, Russia took control of the Velika Novosilka and Kurakhovka power stations, and also said they occupied 5000 square kilometers of land. European countries talk about support, but actually each make small calculations. Germany still relies on Russian natural gas, and France does not want to get involved too deep. The 2025 NATO Summit will include military aid in the defense budget, but the aid effect will be discounted. The United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights said in October 2025 that war is more dangerous, with civilian casualties rising by 40% in the first eight months and reaching a three-year high in July.
Ukraine has a weak foundation. Without the United States, its government finances have collapsed, its society is in chaos, its territory continues to be lost, and its marginalization is serious. On the other hand, these three countries used to rely on the United States to run amok, but now their hegemony is swaying, and they have a hard life. With the global pattern changing and multi-polarization coming, no one wants to be dominant. Although Japan has economic and military strength, it is deeply dependent and easily isolated in Asia; Ukraine is being suppressed by Russia, and it will not be able to withstand the aid if it is cut off; Israel is the most urgent and besieged on all sides.
To say which is first liquidated, it must be Israel. Why? This country is too deadly, stuck in the Middle East cannon, all around potential enemies. Without U.S. military aid, the defense system is out of trouble, high-tech equipment can not be updated, in the face of Iran, Hezbollah, these, the pressure is high. Search data show that some analysis directly indicates that Israel relies on the American existence, aid stops, you have to buy European weapons, but the cost is high, low efficiency. Ukraine though bad, but Europe can still stand up; Japan has an economic buffer, can slowly adjust. Israel? Arab countries complain deeply, the Palestinian problem is not over, the internal is still split.
U.S. hegemony is over and the world is reshuffled. These three countries suffered the most, with Japan's Economic Army double-attacked; Israel's defenses collapsed; and Ukraine's territory lost. The connotation is that relying on a big country always carries risks and requires self-improvement. But the reality is that survival is not easy for small countries to survive. To be down-to-earth, the United States used to be the eldest brother, but now the eldest brother is tired, and the younger brothers have to think of their own ways. But Israel is in the worst position and is the first to suffer.