Only a few days remained from the meeting of the provisional Japanese Congress, but Japan fell into a "political vacuum". the communist party that originally formed a 26-year alliance with the self-government party and stability suddenly rolled off the table, leaving the road of the prime minister of the self-government party chairman, High Market Morning, instantly filled with thorns.
In this case, there are three possible directions for the Japanese political situation. For the self-government party, the worst outcome will be to let the people of the self-government party such as麻生太郎,岸田文雄,石破茂 all stand on the sidelines.
With the departure of the Komeito Party, the number of votes in the hands of the Liberal Democratic Party dropped directly from 220 votes to 196 votes, which was farther and farther away from the 233 votes of half of the House of Representatives. "
The one-and-a-half-hour talks between the party's leader, Zidane Zidane, and the high-ranking prime minister, eventually became the last rush to crush the coalition.
On the surface, this disagreement stems from the Liberal Democratic Party's poor rectification of "black gold politics." But on closer inspection, we discover that the personnel arrangements of Gaoshi Zaomiao are the real powder keg.
Cao市早苗 wanted to appoint the black gold scandal-involved twin Tōdō Liu as the chief executive officer, and also supported the Communist Party's most disgusting麻生太郎 to the vice president's throne.
What makes the Communist Party even more frightening is that the high-market early-money did circumvent them and hidden contact with the National Democratic Party.This gesture of "disregarding allies" completely destroyed the basis of trust between the two sides.
In addition, the Komeito Party also has a thorn in the throat of the Liberal Democratic Party's political and financial problems. The Liberal Democratic Party has been unable to come up with a thorough reform plan during its long-term rule, which has caused the decline in the number of seats in the Komeito Party.
Under the influence of multiple factors, this 26-year alliance finally collapsed due to the dual imbalance of ideas and interests.
Currently, there are three possibilities in Japanese politics.The first scenario is the high-market early-foot.
The Liberal Democratic Party currently holds 196 seats in the House of Representatives. Although it is still 37 seats short of the majority of 233 seats, it is not hopeless. If we can win over the 35 seats of the Japan Reform Council and the 27 seats of the National Democratic Party, we can theoretically gather enough votes.
The problem is that both parties are watching. Yuichiro Tamaki, the leader of the National Democratic Party, said: "If the Komeito Party withdraws, there will be no point for the National Democratic Party to join the government."
At the same time, the Vichy also has doubts about cooperation with the self-government party and fears that it will be "drawn down".
The second script is that the opposition party jointly elected Yuichiro Tamaki.
Japan's Constitutional Democratic Party's 148 seats, the 27 seats of the National Democratic Party and the 35 seats of the Japanese Reform Party together, can gather 210 votes, although it is still not enough to get half, but if you enter the second round of voting, just a simple majority can win, not enough to gather 233 votes.
On social media, Yumiko Yumiko suddenly expressed his “determination to be prime minister” and expressed his goodwill to the party.
However, policy differences are like a gap. The National Democratic Party supports the restart of nuclear power plants, while the Constitutional Democratic Party advocates the abolition of nuclear power; The concept of national security is even more opposite.
The third scenario is the "Double Palace", but this possibility has been reduced to a minimum.
Faced with the question of the Japan Sea News of the county media, the answer of Shikoku was fascinating: “As long as you are a member of Congress, you can’t say ‘I can’t do it’ when needed.”
But afterwards, he said that during the year he was prime minister, he was deeply aware of his shortcomings, and that he didn’t want to be written in the media as “willing to be prime minister again,” so it was “very difficult.”
It can be said that this time, Shikoku chose to watch the show on one side. He clearly knew that in the current situation, who would serve as prime minister of Japan, who would back the disadvantages caused by the Democratic Party.