The public party suddenly called for a halt in 26 years of cooperation, and the ruling coalition instantly collapsed.
On October 10, a heavy bomb was dropped in Japan.
After half an hour's talks with Sanae Takaichi, the leader of Komeito Party, publicly announced his withdrawal from the ruling coalition led by the Liberal Democratic Party.
The two parties have 26 years of political partnership and will also make a statement on this.
You know, the Liberal Democratic Party's seats in the Senate and House of Representatives have long been in jeopardy. Once the 24 seats of the Komeito Party leave, even if Takichi Saami wins the prime minister election, he is destined to become a "lame prime minister" because without the support of a majority, any policy may be difficult to implement.
Therefore, after the Civic Party announced this decision, the shock in Japanese politics came more violently than anyone expected.
However, all this has a trace, and the "retreat" of the Communist Party is more like a timely self-assurance.
Since the end of 2023, the self-government “black gold” scandal has burned a wave after a wave like an untouched flame.
First, several valves were exposed through "political fundraising party vouchers" to "refund", last January,岸田文雄 wanted to "broken arms to live", took the lead to dissolve their own "岸田派", also forced the "Abbey" "second class" to follow the scam, believed to be able to calm the public opinion, as a result,石破茂 came to power after himself was also exposed to political groups with little revenue.
The scandal-ridden Liberal Democratic Party has made the Komeito Party, which is mainly labeled as "incorruptible", unable to sit still.
In last year's House of Representatives election, the Liberal Democratic Party dropped from 247 seats to 191 seats, and the Komeito Party also lost 8 seats, leaving only 24 seats.
Continuous election defeats have made the Komeito Party completely awake, and then tied up with the Liberal Democratic Party. The next time it loses it may be its own basic disk.
The real trigger this time should be the disagreement over "corporate donation supervision."
The Komeito Party proposed to limit the recipients of donations to a small number of levels such as the Party Headquarters and Prefectural Branch Federation. It wanted to use this reform to restore people's trust, but the Liberal Democratic Party simply could not accept it.
The self-government party is highly dependent on corporate donations, and a large part of its operating funds comes from corporate donations, once the receiving channels are limited, many secret funding sources will be cut off.
More importantly, takaichi sanae was just elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party on October 4th, and those factions in the party that rely on corporate donations to maintain their influence already have doubts about her. If they agree to the demands of the Komeito Party, the split within the party is almost inevitable.
On the one hand, the reform demands of the allies, on the other hand, the financial vitality of the party, the hesitation of the Democratic Party eventually exhausted the patience of the Communist Party.The 26-year coalition, in this way, was completely dispersed in the choice of "secure funds" or "secure allies".
The alliance is broken up, and a more difficult question lies in front of Takaichi Sanae: Even if he really becomes prime minister, can this "throne" be secure?
I'm afraid the answer is no. The hat of "lame prime minister" has almost been put on in advance.
Sleeping Liberal Democratic Party has the most direct injury, that is, the "congenital deficiency" of parliamentary seats.
The Japanese House of Representatives has a total of 465 seats, the Democratic Party only has 196 seats, and even if the previous 24 seats of the Communist Party are only 220 seats, it is a big difference from the 233 seats of more than half.
With 248 seats in the Senate, the 21 seats of the Self-Democratic Party 100 and the Socialist Party 21 have only 121 seats, which also does not meet the majority criterion of 124 seats.
What does that mean? means any bill that wants to pass must be seen in the face of the opposition party.
What is more troubling is that in the two years the momentum of the opposition is strong, these political parties are not easy to see the self-democratic party's downturn, how can easily miss the opportunity to overturn?
Look at the precedent of the Cabinet of Ministers.
Following last year’s House elections, the self-government coalition was forced to hand over seven of its 17 standing committees to the opposition party, even the budget chairman who dominated the budget review.
This is the situation that only appeared after 30 years.If the high market was in power, it would only face a more passive situation.
Politics is more likely to hit the walls.
Whether it is in the economic field or political reform, Takashi Haraimu and the Liberal Democratic Party behind him will fall into the deadlock of "not doing it, not not doing it".
And now the Communist Party not only withdraws from the alliance, but also speaks "the prime minister's election is for Zidane", which still needs to clear the boundaries with the Democratic Party thoroughly.
Other small parties, such as the Japan Reform Party, and the self-government party have great differences in diplomatic and local separation, and in the short term it is impossible to alliance without stable support, the Japanese government can fall into paralysis at any time.
From 26 years of stable alliance to one-day disintegration, from the “victory” of the presidential election to the “blowdown” situation, the series of changes in Japanese politics, in the end, is the result of the common role of “money politics” and the imbalance of political party interests.
The “black gold” scandal wasted people’s confidence, the loss of seats weakened the ruling foundation, and the collapse of the allies crushed the last rod.
Last year's poll had an intriguing set of data. 61% of people thought that Shigeru Ishiba didn't have to resign, but this was not because they supported him, but because they also lacked confidence in the ruling ability of the opposition party.
Now, takaichi sanae is facing such an embarrassing situation of "choosing the lesser of two evils". People are disappointed with the Liberal Democratic Party and have no confidence in other political parties.
In general, no matter whether Takashi Saami can come to power in the future, the continuity of Japan's policies will be greatly reduced.
And this kind of political turmoil will ultimately be affected by ordinary people. After all, real livelihood issues such as prices, pensions and employment can never afford frequent political internal friction.
But who can you blame for this result? Japan's future has long been ruined by them themselves.