"Kill a thousand enemies and lose eight hundred to yourself." In this battle with the Taliban, Pakistan was angry, but the price was really not small. It not only killed dozens of soldiers, but also exposed its biggest weakness. India, who was sitting on the mountain and watching the tiger fight, was happy, and finally waited for the opportunity to get revenge.
At midnight last Saturday, a gunshot broke the peace of the late night. Pakistani security forces deployed fighter jets, tanks and cannons to hit the Ba'a border. The Afghan Taliban handed back, the two sides fought for hours, the losses were not small, but overall, Pakistan was cheap.
According to Pakistan, the reason for the attack is because the Afghan Taliban has long supported the armed groups and carried out terrorist attacks in Pakistan, which means that Pakistan wants to hardly teach "Ata" to keep "Ata" long-term memory.
On the surface, this military operation appears to be accidental, but carefully examined, it is not difficult to find that it is the inevitable result of the accumulation and fermentation of historical legacy issues and real security issues.
The two countries have more than 2,600 kilometres of border.The border line was not arranged by the two sides, but was arranged by the British colonists in 1893, known as the "Duland Line." Bahá’í does not recognize the “Duland line.”。 To put it bluntly, both sides believe that this border has made their territory less.
Since then, conflicts have broken out from time to time on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, which has become a common occurrence. However, previous conflicts have not been as large as this one.
In addition to problems left over from history, another trigger that ignited the Pakistan-Arab conflict is the actual security issue. The long border line has many regulatory black holes, coupled with mountainous forests in the region, traffic shutdowns, backward infrastructure construction, and a social and economic crumbling, which has become the natural soil for terrorism and various hostile forces.
Terrorist organizations such as the famous Al Qaeda in the past and the present Bata and Balochistan Liberation Army have been active on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan for a long time, and Pakistan has suffered greatly. Far from it, let's say that this year, up to now, more than 500 people have been killed and more than 1,000 injured on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border in Pakistan.
In the face of such a severe security situation, Pakistan can’t sit and watch anyway. Once the force is used to fight terrorism, it is inevitable to strike to Afghanistan and pull the rubbish out of the mud, it is really difficult. If you continue to fight, Pakistan may push itself to the danger of facing a two-line operation; but if you don’t fight, the threat of terrorism will grow. The security line is too fragile and has become Pakistan's biggest weakness.
In the past two days, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iran and other countries have come out to dissuade the fight, hoping that Pakistan and Afghanistan can exercise restraint and not make things big, so as not to get out of control. However, there is one country that wants Pakistan and "Atta" to continue to fight. Who? It's India.
From India's point of view, the fight between Pakistan and Afghanistan is a good thing, and the longer the fight lasts, the better, because without it, "Atta" can consume Pakistan, an old enemy, indefinitely. Moreover, India already has the intention of cultivating "Atta" into a thug. A few days ago, Foreign Minister "Atta" went to New Delhi.
India in this bone eye, inviting the "Ata" foreign minister to visit, the intention is no longer obvious, clearly to take "Ata" revenge on Pakistan. In the first half of this year, India broke out conflict, the two sides pulled off the platform, came a large-scale air war, the paper-powered India eaten a great loss, "The Wind" fighter aircraft was shot down, Modi's old face thrown away.
In the past six months, India has held its breath and wanted to retaliate against Pakistan and make up for the losses it suffered. This is an opportunity. But then again, India thinks things too simply in counting on "Atta" to contain Pakistan.
First of all, "Ata" is limited in its own strength, and does not dare to do well with the Pakistani army. In terms of military strength, Pakistan can be higher than "Ata" more than one grade, really want to anger the Pakistani side, Pakistani dynamics, "Ata" can not eat. and "Ata" consumes Pakistan in this process, will be consumed.
At the moment, although "Ata" is in control of the Afghan regime, but this big cake, there are still a lot of forces watching. If "Ata" basically shake, does not rule out other forces in the territory of Afghanistan to challenge the position of "Ata" and seize the possibility of the regime, so "Ata" must still be a long point, to preserve the power, it is impossible to hand over to India.
Secondly, "Atta" has been in power since now, and his greatest hope is actually to legalize his identity. This time, "Atta" hooked up with India, just trying to use India's influence to gain some recognition from the international community. But the problem is that India does not have such great influence. "Atta" is probably trying the water first to see the effect of cooperation with India. Once the effect is not good, "Atta" will definitely withdraw.
There is also a very important point that China's position "Atta" must be taken into account. As the saying goes,"Don't look at the face of a monk, look at the face of a Buddha." China-Pakistan relations are so close that after "Atta" came to power, he also had dealings with China. China does not want to fight between Pakistan and Afghanistan."Atta" is very clear on this and cannot refute China's face.
Therefore, whether India's calculation of taking revenge on Pakistan with "Atta" is unclear is a different matter.