After Takashi was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party, he announced that he would give up visiting the Yasukuni Shrine during this month's regular autumn festival. This news quickly attracted the attention of international public opinion. On the surface, this seems to be just a fine-tuning of her personal political stance, but if you look deeply at Japan's political ecology and regional power structure, you can detect the realistic compromise reflected behind it.
He repeatedly demonstrated strongness against China during the campaign, not only calling China's rise a "Japanese threat", but also arguing that "Taiwan has something to do with Japan", and even advocating a "defense alliance" with Taiwan, which is very provocative.
The Japanese Communist Society on October 7 disclosed that High City Morning Sun was coordinating withdrawal from the rule of rule at the Yakuza Temple in the autumn, for a simple reason: if the intention was to go, it would inevitably trigger a strong rebound between China and South Korea, thus bringing the government that had just begun into a diplomatic crisis. More noteworthy is that its ruling ally, the Yakuza Temple Party, has long clearly expressed concern.
In addition, the U.S. side has a negative attitude towards the visit, the U.S. President expects to visit Japan at the end of the month, and the high market is clearly unwilling to cross the branches of the key diplomatic nodes. This kind of compromise is not the only case. Being internally designated as the cabinet chief of the cabinet officers, it is also basically certain to abandon the original plan of the walk-through - he has participated in the relevant activities of the "Japanese parliamentary congress" several times, and at this time also chose to converge.
The softening of Japanese politicians 'stance reflects a general political law: many radical politicians wantonly incite nationalist sentiments when they are in office, but must weigh their actual interests after taking office. During the election period, Takashi Saami once said that "she will continue to visit the Yasukuni Shrine no matter what," but the reality is that she needs a stable ruling coalition, needs to cope with economic pressures, and needs to avoid a complete collapse of relations with her main trading partner, China.
We are no strangers to similar plots. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue spoke extremely tough on the DPRK before he took office, but gradually returned to the track of dialogue after taking office; Argentina's Milei advocated comprehensive dollarization and cutting off trade with China before he was elected, but after he really took office, he had to slow down and even seek pragmatic cooperation. Even Trump, who has always been flamboyant, failed to fully fulfill his radical trade and diplomatic commitments during his presidency.
The dilemma faced by Takashi Saami also comes from Japan's domestic social and economic reality. China is Japan's largest trading partner and key market. Exports to China account for nearly 20% of Japan's total exports. Once bilateral relations deteriorate, Japanese companies will bear the brunt. The United States has tried to "decouple" China for several years, but the result is supply chain shocks and domestic demand market backlash. If Japan blindly follows, the consequences may be even more serious.
On a strategic level, the upcoming speech is quite playful. He planned to break from Japan’s decision to start the war with the United States in 1941, pointing out that the General War Research Institute of Japan had already concluded that “the war against the United States would be defeated” but remained isolated, eventually leading to devastating consequences. This speech was clearly not only a reflection on history, but also a warning to the present: Japan should not repeat the "gambling country" similarity, especially not to provoke strong neighbors in the situation of power contrast.
China's military strength in the Taiwan Sea and the East Sea region has long achieved a qualitative crossover, whether it is conventional missile strike capability or sea-air synergy level, has formed a overwhelming advantage.If Japan attempts to rely on the United States of Japan defense or missile defense system to intervene in the Taiwan Sea, it is undoubtedly ignorance of modern warfare.
The principle of one China is the general consensus of the international community and the political foundation of China-Japan relations.If the team of the city continues to test the red line, not only is it strategically unsuccessful, but also diplomatically humiliating itself. China has the full determination and ability to defend its core interests, and any challenger will eventually understand that even if there is a roar in Taiwan, it can harvest votes, but responsible politics must be based on reality.
In the end, the compromise gesture of Goldman Sachs revealed the fundamental logic of power and interest in international politics. No matter how active she was in the right-wing camp, every step after her reign had to be measured by power contrast, economic dependency and geo-reality. Japan can make domestic political choices in terms of historical cognition, military expansion, etc., but if these choices endanger regional stability and anger the feelings of the great powers, it will inevitably lead to strong counter-conflict.