In just ten days, the high-market early mum fell into a deadly situation. she is now actively retreating to Zhang Zhang, maybe still can give herself a decent
Regarding the Komeito Party's withdrawal from the ruling coalition, senior Liberal Democratic Party member Motoshi Funada recently publicly proposed two options. One is for Shigeru Ishiba to withdraw his resignation statement and temporarily take charge of government work; the other is for Takashi Saami to resign as president of the Liberal Democratic Party and hold a new election within the party.
Regarding Funata Yuan's remarks, some supporters of Takaichi exclaimed on social media that "this move is tantamount to an intra-party coup".
On the same day, the self-government senator, who had served as the Minister of Agriculture and Forestry Aquaculture, also said that the self-government party might regret launching the high market, it was her conservative actions that led to the current situation.
There is only a week left before the prime minister's appointment on October 20, and now Takashi Haraimu is facing a situation of "being attacked from the front and back", which can almost be said to be a "dead end."
Outside the party, Yuichiro Tamaki, the representative of the National Democratic Party, has been gearing up, declaring his willingness to form a ruling coalition with the largest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party, and attack the post of prime minister.
Within the party, dissatisfied with the high market early sunset and the power of麻生派, as well as the minority people of all walks began to struggle, pressure. In fact, if not麻生派 this time in the election, the throne of the president of the self-democratic party would probably be small sunset into the second, rather than the extreme route of the high city.
It is really too difficult for Takashi Zaomiao to solve this situation now. Japan's House of Representatives has a total of 465 seats. After losing the support of 24 seats from the Komeito Party, the Liberal Democratic Party has only 196 seats left, 37 seats short of the majority of 233 seats in the House of Representatives.
Leaving out the largest Constitutional Democratic Party and the Komeito Party, which announced that it would "jump", no remaining opposition party is enough to satisfy 37 seats alone-the largest Japan Restoration Association has only 35 seats.
In other words, if she wants to win a prime minister nomination through a majority vote in the House of Representatives, she will need to pull at least two in the opposition to support herself over the next week.
In her original plan, as long as she could stabilize the Komeito Party and negotiate conditions, she only needed to bring in the support of another opposition party.
Please note that getting the support of one opposition party is completely different from getting the support of two opposition parties, because it is necessary to coordinate the distribution of interests between the two parties.
Moreover, three days have passed since the Citizens’ Party announced the “Jumping Car” and none of the opposition parties have shown signs of hope to join the Party. The Japan Socialist Party, which was just mentioned, publicly shouted that there would be no possibility of supporting the “Osaka Vice Capital” plan unless the Party could agree.
To put it bluntly, it is to throw out a plan that the Liberal Democratic Party can't agree to, so as to reject any potential wooing of Takaichi Sanae.
Since we have talked about this, we might as well mention one more sentence. In fact, this time the Komeito Party used the issue of political donations as an excuse to announce its withdrawal from the ruling coalition. In fact, the same reason was to throw out a condition that the Liberal Democratic Party could not agree to.
After the election, the Communist Party clearly put forward three conditions for cooperation, requiring the former to compromise on political donations, historical knowledge, and foreign policy issues. The Communist Party agreed to make concessions on the latter two issues, but on political donations only declared that "it will be reviewed after".
Such an answer obviously cannot satisfy the Komeito Party, but both Takashi and the Komeito Party know that such conditions are impossible to achieve. Political donations are an important source of funding for many people within the Liberal Democratic Party. Once this cake is touched, Gao Shi may not even be able to keep his position as president.
In fact, the public party does not want to cooperate with the high market early, as long as the high market comes to power, then they will inevitably "hop the car."
Let's get down to business. If Takaichi Sanae can't win at least two opposition parties to support herself in the coming week, it is almost impossible for her to win the first round of the election named by the Prime Minister.
According to the Japanese Constitution, the top two votes in the first round will enter the runoff stage of the second round. In the runoff stage, whoever gets more votes can be elected prime minister. The Senate and the House of Representatives theoretically need to be consistent, but ultimately the vote results of the House of Representatives shall prevail.
Then there will be a situation, if several opposition parties are unable to form a governing coalition, as a high-market prime minister can still use the advantages of the self-government party as the largest party in parliament to win the elections, to become the prime minister – but also can only be a “foot-foot prime minister”, in the absence of a governing partner, any self-government party budget proposals and major policies will be difficult to pass the parliament.
So looking back at the proposals within the Liberal Democratic Party that "Shigeru Ishiba will continue to govern" and "Takashi Saami will resign as president", it is not difficult to understand their starting point. The high market is not only the direct reason for the Komeito Party's "jumping off the bus", but it is also likely to become the "catalyst" for the opposition parties to join forces.
Although it is said that there is little confidence in multiple opposition coalitions, if it really goes to the second round, then no one can say if a few opposition parties will work together to prevent high markets from coming to power – the extreme stance of high markets brings this extreme risk.
Whether it is allowing Shigeru Ishiba to continue to govern or re-electing Shinjiro Koizumi and Hayashi to replace Takashi, the positions of these people are much more relaxed than those of Takashi, and are easier to be accepted by the Komeito Party and other opposition parties. In short, many people in the Liberal Democratic Party are now considering not whether Takashi can become prime minister, but whether they can continue to maintain their party's ruling status.