Japan's political earthquake has shattered the dream of Prime Minister Takashi and Miao. Will Yuichiro Tamaki counterattack and rise to power?

Japanese politics recently showed a show of cannabis soap!

Takashi, the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party, was ambitious and prepared to become Japan's first female prime minister, but was caught off guard by a heavy "divorce" from the Komeito Party.

The Communist Party announced its withdrawal from the ruling coalition for 26 years, returned to the opposition status, and also said it would never support the high market in the prime minister nomination elections.

At the same time, Yuichiro Tamaki, chairman of the opposition National Democratic Party, unexpectedly became a sweet cake, not only wooed by Takashi, but also elected as a joint candidate by the opposition party.

Who can have the last laugh in this political chaos?Let's take a look!

26-year "political marriage" fell through, Komeito angrily dumped the Liberal Democratic Party

The "marriage" between the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party began in 1999, and it can be called the "old couple" in Japanese politics.

This combination, one is the right-wing conservative, the self-government party, one is the public party that relies on the creation of the price society, the flag of peace and cleanliness, the character of the South and the north, but the complementarity of votes and policy compromise has been hard for 26 years.

Together, after experiencing the reform of the post office in Ho Chi Minh, the long-term rule of Abe, and even the short-lived low-city period of the self-government party, the two parties are also considered to be "love and kill each other."

But this time, the party could not stand it!

The trigger is the cliché issue of "politics and money".

The scandal of the self-government party valve private political funds has long burned the national anger, and the public party as a "family person" also feels light on the face.

After Takashi Saami came to power, she not only did not repent, but also added fuel to the fire. She promoted Abe's close confidant and former Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Koichi Hagiko, to acting secretary-general, who was a "key figure" in the political funding scandal!

Saito Tetsuo, chairman of Komeito Party, was so angry that he slapped the table and put forward three demands during the talks:

Resolve the issue of political funding, stop worshiping the Yogyakarta shrines, and treat foreigners in Japan fairly.

Takashi promised not to visit the Yasukuni Shrine, but he kicked the ball on the issue of political funds, saying that he would "discuss it within the party". A few days later, she still didn't give a clear answer.

Saito Tetsuo was angry, and the Komeito Party decisively "cleaned up and left the house", withdrew from the ruling coalition, and made malicious remarks: The prime minister's election will never vote for the high market!

Why can't the Liberal Democratic Party get rid of the blame for "money scandal"?

Japan's political party funds mainly rely on "treasury appropriations" and are distributed based on the seats of members of parliament.

In 2025, the Democratic Party lost in the parliamentary elections, and the seats in the House of Representatives fell to 191, allocating only 13.6 billion yen (about RMB 64 billion), which is not enough for a big party.

Thus, corporate and individual contributions became the "root" of the Self-Democratic Party and its supporters.

But how these donations are distributed, how they are used, never openly transparent, even the lawmakers took the money without paying taxes, and some went to the nightclub of Silverstone. the people are deeply distressed by this, but the self-government party fights for the ruling position, and there are still sources of enterprises that constantly send money in exchange for policy benefits.

The Komeito Party is embarrassed.

As a political party that focuses on integrity, it has long been dragged down by scandals in the Liberal Democratic Party, and votes have declined year after year. Even with the strong organizational power of the Soka Gakkai Society, the Komeito Party's parliamentary seats in recent elections has been decreasing, and the sense of crisis has burst.

Congress seat big washing cards, high city prime minister dream

The Japanese Prime Minister is not the president of the Liberal Democratic Party who has the final say, but only by the vote of members of Congress can more than half be elected.

In the past, the seats of the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito Party steadily exceeded half of the House of Representatives (233 seats), so the president of the Liberal Democratic Party was almost equal to the prime minister.

However, in 2024, the Liberal Democratic Party suffered fiasco in two general elections, leaving only 191 seats in the House of Representatives and 24 seats in the Komeito Party, adding up to 215 seats, 18 seats short of more than half.

As the public party goes, the shortage of the self-democratic party is greater.

The manipulator behind Takashi, former Prime Minister Taro Aso, made an urgent effort to win over Yuichiro Tamaki, chairman of the National Democratic Party, and promised to make Tamaki the finance minister in the new cabinet.

The National Democratic Party has 28 seats, if cooperation can gather 219 seats, although not more than half, but at least can fill the gaps left by the Communist Party.

The drama is reversed!

After the withdrawal of the Communist Party, the seats in the House of Representatives in the opposition camp (including the Constitutional Democratic Party, the Communist Party, etc.) rose to 259 seats, far above half the red line.

As long as the opposition party launches a joint candidate, it can easily win the throne of prime minister.

Yumiko Yumiko became the ¡°champagne¡± of the opposition party.

Yuichiro Tamaki: From "spare tire" to "black horse"?

Yuichiro Tamaki is really at the forefront of the storm this time.

There are two options before him: one is to cooperate with the Liberal Democratic Party and become a finance minister; the other is to join forces with the opposition party and directly run for prime minister.

Noda Yoshihiko (former prime minister), chairman of the Constitutional Democratic Party, has secretly met with Tamaki and promised to support him as the joint candidate of the opposition party. With 148 seats in the Constitutional Democratic Party, plus 28 seats in the National Democratic Party, and wooing other small parties, Tamaki has a good chance of winning as prime minister.

On the evening of 10th, Tamaki publicly stated that he refused to unite with the Liberal Democratic Party, on the grounds that "the unity can't be more than half, and it's meaningless".

If the opposition party can really unite, Tamaki is likely to become the new prime minister of Japan, and the Liberal Democratic Party will be in opposition again after a lapse of 16 years.

The prime minister's named election, originally scheduled for October 15th, now seems to be in jeopardy.

Although the current prime minister has announced his resignation, he is still in the office of the prime minister's official residence "Ludshid".

If the market does not attract enough allies, or succeeds in pushing Yumi in the opposition, the Prime Minister's throne may really be out of hand with her.

Interestingly, some people ridiculed that when Trump visited Japan on October 28th, it might be the "caretaker prime minister" Shigeru Ishiba who received him!

Can the opposition parties truly unite as one? Can Takashi and Aso still turn the tables?

All this depends on the political game of the next few days.

Japanese politics has never lacked dramatic, and the next drama is estimated to be even better than a TV show!

Let's wait and see who can break out of this mess!

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