Not long ago, Trump was outraged for not receiving the Nobel Peace Prize, but from a Russian perspective, the jury’s judgment was right, as Trump also announced the decision to supply Ukraine with a warhead missile as well as the jury’s selection.
Although the tactical missile is a "old guy" that was born in the 1980s, the 2,800-kilometre range and 450-kilograms can carry a nuclear warhead, but can directly cover several important cities including the capital Moscow and St. Petersburg within the range of attack, which can directly threaten the lives of Russian leaders such as Putin.
Obviously, what Ukraine wants now is no longer ordinary weapons that can be used on the front line, but a large-scale killer that directly "stabs the heart".
When Biden was president of the United States, Zelensky had asked the United States for a tactical ax, but Biden did not agree, because Biden knew that once Ukraine got such weapons, the war would be out of control, and the United States could also be the target of Russian strikes.
Per because the current failure to prompt a ceasefire in Russia has made Trump anxious, the US president who is pursuing the Nobel Peace Prize has yet to approve the supply of tactical missiles to Ukraine.
Of course, Trump also emphasized that attention must be paid to the use of Tomahawk missiles and must be under the supervision of the United States.
Technically speaking, this long-range attack missile can be operated using the "double-key system", i.e. a key from the Ukrainian side, a key from the US side, only the two sides agree and jointly fire can be launched. In addition, the navigation system relied on the warhead missile is mainly GPS navigation, if the U.S. side stopped providing coordinates, the warhead will also become "blind".
However, everything is two-sided and uncertain, and if the U.S. allows the launch, or if there is a “buyer”?
Therefore, after learning the news, Russia protested to the United States on the one hand and seized the time to deploy air defense systems. On the other hand, it "poked" the back of the United States and signed a military cooperation agreement with Cuba.
Cuba's geographical location is quite special, only more than 200 kilometers away from Florida in the United States. If Russia directly deploys iskander missiles in Cuba, then this missile with a maximum range of more than 450 kilometers can directly hit Florida. If the Hazel hypersonic missile with a longer range is used, then the range of 5,000 kilometers plus the threat of nuclear warheads will envelope the entire United States.
Although the United States is making a global layout, their domestic air defense system is basically located in the north, so the missiles fired from southern Cuba do not have very good defense measures. It is clear that Trump has missed the point on the deployment of tactical missiles, and his "threat" did not push Putin back to the negotiating table, but instead threatened the United States' homeland.
So, if the U.S. Tomahawk missiles really reach the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, will it help Ukraine? In fact, simply judging from the current battlefield situation, it is not much help that can be provided.
From the case of long-range missiles, despite the losses both sides in the battle, it is clear that the Ukrainian air defense system achieved not a lot of battles, on the contrary, several air defense systems such as the S300 were later bombed by the Russian military.
Even the Patriot air defense system just received in September is a "junk" that Israel does not use. Even the American media said that this batch of Patriot systems "cannot effectively intercept Russian missiles," and the ultra-low interception rate of 6% on the battlefield also proves this statement by the American media.
On the other hand, supersonic missiles such as Iskander and Dagger can not only harass the center and rear of Ukraine, but can even directly blow up air defense systems. Although the amount of damage is not small, the results achieved are relatively higher than the losses.
In addition, in order to meet Putin’s “distance layout” in Cuba, enough new progress has also been made on the northern battlefield of the front to make Ukraine headache.
According to confirmation from the Wall Street Journal and other front-end war correspondents in Western media, Russian troops entered the city center of the Kupyansk region through natural gas pipelines left over from the former Soviet Union, and "bloomed inside and outside", basically occupying the 80th Urban area in the early morning of October 9.
In fact, the Russian army through natural gas pipeline infiltration assault method is not the first case, the Ukrainian side also through welded iron fence, installed injection mines to defend, but this time the Russian side with a drone assault side with a welding machine cut, successfully conducted side infiltration and anti-seizure.
If Kupyansk falls, it means that Ukraine's eastern defense line will soon be torn and destroyed. The Russian army can take this as the center point and occupy the surrounding South Donetsk and other areas one by one. This will not only affect Ukraine The future war situation will have a huge impact, and it will also make the already unstable Ukrainian army even more hopeless.
In fact, the current Ukraine has reached the "oil-out" situation, the weapons given by the Western countries can continue to produce, the money can be borrowed, but Ukraine's lives are killed one by one, not only five-sixty-year-old old soldiers are very rare, even 189-year-old old girls have been pulled into the frontline.
If the advantage of the northern line is lost at this time, it is likely that there will be unpredictable changes in the defense line in other areas.
I'm afraid that Zelensky's "good days" are coming to an end soon. Although Trump decided to support the Tomahawk missile on the 6th, his defeat at the Nobel Peace Prize on the 10th will definitely affect his mood.
Among Trump's "no votes," there was one vote from Ukraine, so whether "classmate Ozawa" can really get the Tomahawk missile and whether he can continue to receive weapons support from the United States has become unpredictable.
In short, in the words of the former Ukrainian president’s adviser, Zelensky is not better now, and his “dark days” are about to come.
reference
Trump: Decision has been made regarding the supply of "Tax" missiles to Ukraine
The Russian army broke through the center of Kupiyansk and waged a fierce street battle with the Ukrainian army.