What Netanyahu was worried about happened. Just as the Israeli army withdrew, Hamas forces took over immediately? With heavy troops assembled, Palestinian traitors face reckoning.

After more than two years of war, the Gaza Strip has officially ceased fire. On October 13, Hamas militants began to release hostages in accordance with the ceasefire agreement. Prior to this, the Israel Defense Forces had already retreated to the "yellow line" stipulated in the 20-point peace plan as agreed. However, it must be pointed out that the ceasefire is only the first step. According to the ceasefire agreement, the Israel Defense Forces need to fully withdraw from the Gaza Strip, and Hamas must also give up its governance of the Gaza Strip, disarm and demilitarize the Gaza Strip. Needless to say, Israel is reluctant to withdraw all its troops from the Gaza Strip, and Hamas militants will not willingly lay down all their weapons.

In fact, not long after the ceasefire agreement came into effect, variables had already emerged. The first is the biggest concern for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Hamas militants seem to have no intention of ceding control of Gaza. Sources said that after the partial withdrawal of the Israeli army from the Gaza Strip, Hamas militants immediately poured out of the tunnels, gathered available troops, and reoccupied those areas. In addition to recovering these areas, the Hamas armed forces have also begun to eliminate traitors, treating Palestinians who have cooperated with Israel as spies, which has a strong sense of settling scores after the incident. If the news is true and Hamas militants continue to advance such actions, the current ceasefire will surely be broken, and the Netanyahu authorities are unlikely to tolerate Hamas militants regaining control of Gaza.

But from the perspective of Hamas militants, they also have their own reasons to maintain a certain amount of firepower. Within the Gaza Strip, there is not only Hamas, a Palestinian resistance force, but also other resistance factions, some of which are hostile to Hamas. Although Hamas agreed to hand over or dismantle all remaining heavy weapons, they still sought to retain a certain defensive force to avoid being retaliated by other factions. Of course, the greater ambition of Hamas is probably to maintain its rights in the Gaza Strip, at least part of its rights. After all, they have been working hard here for decades and will not willingly relinquish full control of the Gaza Strip. This is not difficult to understand.

In summary, Although the Gaza Strip has achieved the first phase of a ceasefire, such a ceasefire is really very fragile. Both Israel and Hamas militants are reluctant to fully abide by the ceasefire agreement, and the two sides may still fall out and start fighting again.What will happen if the two sides fight again in the near future? Judging from the comparison of strength between the two sides, although the Israeli army has been fighting for two years, its losses are very limited, and the combat effectiveness of the troops has basically not declined. Looking back at the Hamas armed forces, before the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in October 2023, the outside world estimated that Hamas had about 25,000 to 30,000 combatants. To this point, there will be no more than 10,000 at most. The Israeli side It is estimated that Hamas only has more than 3,000 soldiers left.

If the war reignites, even if Hamas gathers all its remaining troops, it can only continue to persist in the form of guerrilla warfare, and it will be difficult to confront Israel head-on. But Israel is not easy either. The main factors restricting Israel from continuing to fight are international pressure and economic pressure. If it has to continue to fight, Israel will have to pay a high political and economic price, not to mention casualties. In the final analysis, if the Gaza Strip and the Middle East are to usher in long-term peace, the problem must be fundamentally solved. Allowing the Palestinians to establish an independent state is the real solution. When the Palestinians 'demands for a statehood are met, the fundamental contradiction between the Palestinians and Israelis can be resolved, and the Hamas armed forces will have no reason to continue fighting Israel. This is the beginning of long-term peace. To put it bluntly, before Palestine became independent and statehood, it was difficult to achieve real long-term peace between Palestine and Israel. At most, it would be a temporary truce.