Today's theme is why Hamas took a big gamble. The stakes are particularly high. Hamas released the hostages, which means that they may be completely eliminated by Israel. Why did he take such a gamble? Do you believe Trump or are you afraid of Trump? What are the considerations behind it? Let's take a look.
There is an obstacle between Israel and Hamas, and the hostage is one that cannot be overcome. Hamas feels that as long as I have a hostage in my hand, you will throw a mouse boxer. Israel wants to rescue the remaining hostages and then destroy Hamas completely.
The picture shows Hamas
Then as soon as Trump comes out, this matter will be done. There are many macro aspects, including the details of the 20-point plan, which we don't care. Anyway, there are a lot of media reports and reports, so we won't repeat them here. So the key thing is that we need to see why Hamas took such a gamble and released the hostages.
First of all, they still have some trust in Trump. We say that the most basic thing to reach an agreement between countries, organizations and individuals is trust.
After saying this, I know you can do it. It's like shopping online. I gave you the money. I know you sent me things. I know if you don't send it to me, you'll be in trouble. This is a basic trust, and there is a mechanism behind it.
Why can Hamas trust Trump? Because he found Trump really powerful. Israel attacked Qatar and hit officials of Hamas living in Qatar. Qatar was particularly angry and found Trump. Trump comforted him well, and then when Netanyahu visited Washington, he pressed Netanyahu to apologize to Qatar in public in front of the reporter's live broadcast to the whole world.
Netanyahu's tough character was apologized by Trump there, and there was nothing he could do. The leader is here, making Hamas feel that Trump's words really mean, and Netanyahu really listens. Therefore, Hamas will not believe Israel at all. Even if Israel only talks and gives him 100 promises, he will not release all the hostages.
He believed in Trump and believed that Trump had the ability to suppress Israel and would no longer continue to fire. How can I believe it? Because behind this is a reputation issue for Trump.
Trump regards this armistice as an end to his eighth war. He is preparing to hold a Middle East peace summit in Sharm el-Sheikh, inviting Egypt, Qatar, and even Pakistan, as well as India. Such a great achievement is so publicized all over the world.
The picture shows Netanyahu
If Netanyahu goes back and bombs Hamas and kills members of Hamas, can it be tolerated for Trump? can not be tolerated.
So, there is no fear for Trump’s letter? Of course, there is also fear. Soon after Trump took office, he went to the White House and immediately said that Hamas had to surrender to release the hostages or I would let you go to hell. In the previous months, Trump and his team also proposed a plan to let all of Gaza go and turn it into an international tourist holy place.
Hamas is afraid of Trump at first glance. If Trump does not give in at this time, does not release the hostages, and Trump opens his eyes a few times, then Hamas will disappear, and the entire people of Gaza will not be able to continue living here. This is Trump's power. Let's talk about it, and it has played an extremely important and crucial role in it.
Of course there are other reasons in addition to Trump. Hamas has released hostages because the international community has also put a lot of pressure on him. Two years ago, Hamas attacked Israel and took hostages, and this is not a glorious thing. You killed so many civilians and then caught them, using this as a shield.
Just like in the past, Hamas leaders always held a child in their arms no matter where they appeared, Israel couldn't blow him up if he saw it. So this time Israel is ruthless, I don't care about you, and I will blow it up for you. When the international community, especially European countries, supported solidarity with the Palestinian people, they also warned Hamas not to take hostages like this, which gave Israel reason to hit you.
If you let go of the hostages, Israel has no reason to beat you. This is also to say that Hamas thought before, and also want to use this to fight for a little support of the international public opinion. Of course, the international public opinion is five doors, can not say the Americans support Israel, all Americans support.
We are also on the internet, and there are people who think that Hamas is a resistance movement, and there are people who think that Hamas is too cruel to do. Everyone sees the wise and wise. Both Israel and Hamas do their best to attract the support of the international public opinion.
The picture shows Trump
But under the pressure of Trump, if there were no obvious excuses in the short term, I fear that Israel would not be able to start a war against Hamas again.
If it refuses to recognize it the day after signing it, and even refuses to listen to Trump, Israel will be completely isolated at the diplomatic level. Israel's survival after that was also a major challenge. In other words, without the support of the United States, it will be extremely difficult for Israel to survive on its own in the Middle East. Even if it has nuclear weapons, it will be extremely difficult.
This is one of the reasons why the agreement can be reached, and it is a reasonable result of multiple factors. During this, Hamas took a big gamble and believed in Trump. This is a particularly critical point.