The European Union was exposed to the preparation to open a new war zone, Poland was preserved?
Two recent pieces of news have attracted attention in international public opinion.
The first piece of news is that Putin held an emergency military meeting on his birthday, focusing on the southwest border.
On the same day, former Moldovan president Dudong publicly accused the EU of pushing its country’s preparations for war, and public data show that the EU has delivered more than € 1.2 billion in military aid to Morocco.
Let's start with Putin's "abnormal birthday".
For any national leader, birthdays are special moments. If the situation was not urgent, a meeting of senior military officials would never be convened on this day.
Now, combined with the recent developments in Moldova, the answer gradually becomes clear.
This small country, once regarded as a "neutral buffer zone" for Russia and Europe, is being transformed step by step by the EU into an "outpost" for the game against Russia.
Three years ago, when Moldova first got the status of an EU candidate country, the outside world felt that this was just another step in the EU's "eastward expansion narrative".
Until the parliamentary elections held at the end of September this year, the pro-European party led by Mr Sandu won, and in the first place pushed for a constitutional amendment to abolish the "permanent neutral state" clause.
Only then did the outside world suddenly realize that the layout of the EU is far deeper than imagined.
Looking at the map alone, it may be unclear, but in the EU's east expansion chessboard, the country's location is a "key backbone".
Romania, the EU member states, and Ukraine, only 400 kilometers north to Poland, and 1,500 Russian peacekeepers are also stationed on the Dniester River coast.
For the EU, controlling this place is equivalent to "nailing" a nail in the southwest of Russia.
The most direct consideration is the creation of a “security barrier” for Poland.
You know, Poland, as the core of NATO's eastern flank, has deployed about 12,000 NATO soldiers in 2025, which is the EU's "hard line of defense" against Russia.
If Moldova becomes a “frontpost”, even if there are conflicts in the future, war can first burn in the sea territory, the direct threat to Poland will naturally be reduced.
In order to bring this “point” into effect, the EU’s operations have formed a complete chain.
Militarily, as of October 2025, the total amount of aid to Morocco reached 123 million euros, including 3 sets of GM200 radars with a detection range of 250 kilometers, 24 armored personnel carriers and 12 sets of short-range air defense systems.
You know, before the main force of the Moldovan army was old armored vehicles from the Soviet era and did not even have basic air defense capabilities. Now its combat strength has been directly increased by three times.
Politically, the Sandu government’s actions are more straightforward.
He just won the election to push for the abolition of the neutral clause, and also publicly declared that "entry in the EU is a life-and-death affair for Moldova", opposing the pro-Russian position to "national security".
At the level of public opinion, the EU constantly exaggerates the "Russian threat theory", as if if Moro does not follow the EU, it will face an existential crisis. Does this kind of operation seem familiar?
After Ukraine’s constitutional amendment in 2014 gave up neutrality, and in 2022 became a candidate country for the EU, the EU quickly provided more than €15 billion in military aid, which eventually broke out in the conflict.
Today's Moldova is taking a similar path, but the foundations of the two are vastly different.
Moldova's GDP in 2024 is only US$15.8 billion, less than 1/20 of that of Ukraine, but it has to bear military spending that accounts for 5% of GDP. A simple calculation shows that for every euro of armaments invested, people's livelihood expenditures will be cut by 0.8 euros. It is no wonder that the domestic poverty rate in Moldova has risen to 32%, and people's dissatisfaction has become louder and louder.
In the face of the European Union’s tense pace, Putin’s emergency meeting is by no means a “symbolic expression.”
Militarily, Russia has sent 30 additional T-72 tanks and other weapons and equipment to Germany, and the patrol frequency of the Black Sea Fleet has been increased to twice a day, focusing on monitoring the EU's arms transportation routes to Morocco.
On the intelligence level, the Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency revealed a week before the elections in Moldova that “NATO is gathering 5,000 troops in Romania and plans to be stationed after the elections.”
At the time, the West also questioned the authenticity of the news, which could follow the move of Britain and France to send 200 military advisors to Odessa, so that this question could not be solved.
Odessa is only 50 kilometers from the border with Morocco. Are these advisers really just "assisting Ukraine"?
It can be seen that Russia's response this time is completely different from the "passive counterattack" during the 2022 Ukraine conflict.
Putin proposed a "proactive defense" strategy at the meeting, which simply means to curb EU expansion in advance by strengthening the military presence in Germany, Belarus and other regions.
Just like the Russia-Belarus "West-2025" military exercise in October, 30,000 soldiers and 500 armored vehicles were invested, and the subject was directly aimed at "resisting NATO cross-border intervention". This was both a warning and an advance preparation for war.
In the short term, the November de-left local elections may be the headline.
The Sandu government has stated that it “does not recognize the legitimacy of the election”, while Russia stressed that “protecting the rights and interests of the local people”, the opposing positions of the two sides, will not trigger new friction worth concern.
In the long run, the European Union’s “Emergency-Russia” game with Russia’s “absorption band” is likely to continue for a long time.
After all, Moldova is a "security barrier" to the EU and a "line of defense at home" to Russia. No one will easily give in.
However, in this game, the most innocent people are the Moldovan people.
While EU officials discussed "strategic security" in Brussels and Putin deployed defense in the Kremlin, Moroccan people were worried about winter heating bills.
This country, which was originally a stable and stable development of agriculture and tourism, is now tied to the chariot of geopolitical games. Those repeatedly mentioned "security" may be just a distant slogan for them.
In the final analysis, the EU wants to arm Moldova to block risks for Poland, while Russia has to defend the defense line at its doorstep. However, it is the ordinary Moldovan people who ultimately bear the price.
Is this "security layout" really reasonable? I'm afraid only time will tell.