The US military has opened fire. Is the Maduro regime doomed? China has begun to intervene. Can it prevent the United States from using force against Venezuela?
U.S. President Trump is a bully who bullies the weak and fears the strong. He can't beat China in the Asia-Pacific region, cannot beat Russia in Europe, and even the Yemeni Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea. After Trump came to power, it can be said that he "can't do anything", which greatly reduced his domestic and international image. As far as Trump is concerned, he must take an "unlucky guy" to stand up. Therefore, he chooses, or Venezuela, a persimmon in Latin America, is the best to handle.Therefore, the U.S. military has already opened fire. Do they really want to go to war on Venezuela?
Otherwise, the U.S. is currently only carrying out a few “fringing-ball” strikes on Venezuela, which may be intended to test the reaction of Venezuela and its allies and provide a basis for further action. Earlier this month, the U.S. military bombed a “drug ship” in the waters near Venezuela, killing four people. This is the fourth known attack by the U.S. military on a so-called Venezuela drug ship. In a statement, the Cuban Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the U.S. government’s ongoing military threats to Venezuela, deliberately creating excuses for launching a military aggression.
In the face of the provocation of the U.S. military, the Maduro government has also shown weakness, they quickly organize the military training of millions of militias in the country, ready to fight a "people's war" with them when the U.S. military invades. Of course, Maduro is also aware of the seriousness of the consequences of the war, so what he can do now is wait for his allies to reach out.
On the afternoon of 10th, the UN Security Council held an emergency public meeting on the tension in the Caribbean Sea. During this period, Russian Permanent Representative to the UN Nebenja publicly supported Maduro at the meeting: "Russia strongly condemns the attack on civilian ships, and Washington must immediately stop escalating the situation under fictitious pretexts and avoid making the mistake of launching a war of aggression against Venezuela." Of course, Russia's support for Maduro's government is not only reflected at the diplomatic level. Venezuela recently announced that it would sign a Strategic Partnership Agreement with Russia, which could include provisions such as military aid.
If foreign media reports are true, then Venezuela may become another country allied with Russia after Belarus and North Korea. In addition, the State Duma of the Russian Federation recently approved a document agreeing to the Putin administration's plan to deploy in Cuba a high-speed medium-range hypersonic missile.The Russian move is clearly linked to the recent US threat of providing Ukraine with tactical cruise missiles, as well as a response to the U.S. deployment of similar missile systems in Europe and the Asia-Pacific.
Russia decided to deploy the INF system in Cuba in Latin America. Although the deployment location is not in Venezuela, it can also have a great deterrent effect on the United States. What's more, it cannot be ruled out that Russia will provide the Maduro government with similar missiles at critical moments. After all, the United States can provide Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine to attack Russia. Why can't Putin provide the Maduro government with the "Hazel" hypersonic missile system to attack the United States?And the worse news for the United States is: China has begun to intervene and the battlefield has expanded to the United Nations. What is going on?
At the UN Security Council Emergency Opening Meeting on Tensions in the Caribbean, China's Permanent Representative at the UN said that China opposes external forces to interfere in Venezuela's internal affairs, and China urged the United States to immediately stop relevant actions to avoid further escalation of the situation, and urged the United States not to combat drug trafficking on the grounds of undermining the safety of navigation and the freedoms and rights in accordance with international law. Hence, under the role of China and Russia and other countries, the support of Latin America against U.S. hegemony has been expanded from the Caribbean region to the United Nations, further increasing U.S. diplomatic pressure, which is of great significance for blocking Trump's potential military adventure against the Commission!
In terms of supporting Venezuela, although China will not deploy missile weapons in Cuba like Russia, China's support for Maduro's government is not only reflected at the diplomatic level. When the U.S. soldiers approached Venezuela, an electronic reconnaissance ship of the Chinese navy rarely appeared in the Caribbean Sea and was active in the waters near Venezuela. It is clear that China's move should be sending some kind of signal to the U.S. side, the purpose is to get Trump to "think back" before committing arms, because at the end of the war, the consequences can be serious.
After China and Russia took action one after another, ten Latin American countries also issued a joint statement condemning the United States for indiscriminately killing innocent people in the region, creating regional tensions, and opposing the U.S. military threat to Venezuela. Recently, the presidents of Colombia and Bolivia have also voiced their voices condemning the hostile attitude of the United States towards Latin American countries.
Now it seems that the U.S. in the Caribbean has not surrounded Venezuela, and it is not Trump who doesn't want to handle Maduro, but the current regional and international situation may no longer allow him to be "too arbitrary". Of course, the "authorization" Hegese was referring to was not to launch cruise missiles to bomb Venezuela's presidential palace, but to open fire on so-called "drug carriers" that appeared off the coast of Venezuela.
From Hergezes's statement, it can be seen that because of the restriction of China and regional countries, Trump is unlikely to engage in hostilities against Venezuela, and therefore can only be angry with those ships that appear in the mirror of the U.S. military aircraft. According to the latest news, Qatar may act as an intermediary to mediate this military crisis between the United States and Venezuela. Can this be explained as follows: Trump is looking for a step for himself to end this military crisis "decently"?