Since October 9, Trump announced that Israel and Hamas had reached a first-phase agreement on the ceasefire in Gaza, the world is full of hope for the arrival of peace in Gaza.
In any case, in the past two years of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Gaza has suffered too much pain. This conflict has so far caused more than 6,700 deaths, more than 169,000 injuries, and the displacement of millions of Gazans.
But this also raises a question, the hatred of the years in Pakistan, can really, under Trump's "a paper order", shake hands and peace, to end the conflict in Israel?
From a real point of view, it is difficult.
Trump's "20-point" plan can be summed up in three core points:
Hamas laid down the weapons, disarmed the civilians, and the highest levels exiled other countries.
2. Gaza is managed by a committee of technocrats, and the committee is chaired by Trump. To put it bluntly, the United States dominates control.
Gaza has been completely de-militarized, multi-state peacekeeping forces have entered Gaza to prevent further conflict between the two sides, and Israel has gradually withdrawn its troops.
The most important of these is to let Hamas lay down its weapons.This is a very simple rationale that as long as the rifle is in hand, Hamas cannot leave Gaza unconditionally, and that there will be a possibility of conflict between the two sides, and that this is equally threatening for the peacekeepers in Gaza.
The British Economist magazine once published an article saying that although Hamas agreed to Trump's "20-point" plan and responded, Hamas did not mention the condition of disarmament in its reply. He also said that Trump's plan would probably be another unfinished project.
Indeed, as the magazine, in its response to Trump, Hamas greatly appreciated him and quickly agreed to the demand for the release of hostages, putting Trump a high hat.
And Trump this person, the well-known good face, Hamas this "hassle", shot coincidentally with his meeting, is to eat the character of Trump's great pleasure, plus again on the eve of the opening of the Nobel Prize, directly let Trump something forgotten.
But Hamas was not without a reason to shoot Trump, when it said it needed international assistance. It is said that Hamas was intended to release hostages, or hopes to use Trump's "20 points" program to open the outside aid channel to Gaza. Otherwise Israel now blocks the Gaza region, Hamas is destined to only "sitting in the mountain."
The most critical disarmament, not mentioned by Hamas, was not officially addressed until October 10.
Hamas senior official Naim said in an interview with Sky News that Hamas agreed to hand over weapons and abandon Gaza, but on one condition that weapons will only be handed over to the Palestinian state, and stressed that before that, no one has the right to deprive us of our right to resist occupation in any way.
Naim’s intention is very clear that Hamas will not give up its line of armed resistance until the “two-state plan” is grounded and the Palestinian state is “formally established.”
In fact, it is reasonable for Hamas to make such a statement.
During the almost two years of the conflict between the two sides, the two sides have concluded bloodshed, and Trump has deliberately mediated the hatred of the two sides through "personal charms", which is the only thing that can be said is that Trump is typical to remember and not to remember, and the lessons before the mediation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict are not enough to be faced, and now to be beaten once again.
Hamas’ rejection, to say Trump did not anticipate, fear is unlikely, fear Trump is overwhelmed doesn’t care.
Trump and Israel’s goal is clearly to have Hamas disarm.Instead of saying that “20 points” is a blueprint for peace, rather than that the plan is a “convince letter.”This is well known to both Trump and Hamas.
So why would Hamas still agree to the plan?
Because Hamas was forced to the point where it could not agree.
The “20 Points” plan was then viewed as a peaceful “invitation letter”, which was supported by technology by almost all countries in the Middle East and Europe. Once Hamas rejected the plan, it would be viewed as a “warmaker” and considered its rejection of “peace”.
Once this happens, Hamas's armed resistance may be internationally classified as terrorist acts, and Israel is on the opposite side and will therefore justify its actions. At the same time, this has also given the governments of many Western nations the ladder down, allowing it to have a tradition against the domestic people against the atrocities of Israel.
Most importantly, the war threat launched by the United States and Israel. at the time, Trump made it clear that if Hamas dared to reject the “20 Points” plan, that is, to reject peace, the United States would fully support Israel and let Hamas suffer a hellish blow.
It is precisely due to various factors that Hamas had to bite the bullet and agree to delay Trump.
In fact, for some Hamas members, if they can really bring peace to Gaza, they will not mind "being surrendered without a fight."
But disarmament is absolutely impossible. Weapons are Hamas's last confidence and the cornerstone for Hamas to engage in dialogue with Israel. Once the guns are put down, not only Hamas, but all Palestinians in Gaza will be reduced to lambs to be slaughtered. I'm afraid that when the time comes, all Hamas members will be "liquidated" by Israel.
Similarly, for Israel, even if Hamas signs an agreement to disband in situ, as long as it does not surrender its weapons, it means that Hamas may make a comeback at any time. Therefore, Hamas is a hidden danger that Israel must eliminate.
It can be said that from Israel's perspective, a ceasefire is just a "respite" between wars. Unless one party completely collapses and stops moving, there is no such thing as "peace".
According to CCTV, on October 5, local time, when the Hamas delegation arrived in Egypt for negotiations, Zamir, Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, thousands of miles away, made a harsh statement that the Israeli army should be ready to resume combat operations at any time. At present, it is not a ceasefire, but a change in the combat situation.
In the eyes of Israel, the peace negotiations were merely the fruit of Israeli victories in the Palestinian conflict, if this could force Hamas to disarm and actual control over Gaza, it would be.
In fact, it is not only Israel, Gazans affected by hatred are also constantly joining Hamas and becoming members of the fight against the Israeli army and protecting their homes.
Just on the day Hamas agreed to Trump’s “20 Points” plan, Israel basically meant “suspension” and continued to conduct military operations in the Gaza Strip, killing at least 72 Palestinians.
It is this crazy move by Israel that completely disrupts Palestinians’ expectations of “peace,” and this also raises a paradox.
Israel continues to achieve victories on the battlefield, and the Hamas establishment has been scattered time and time again, but Hamas members always emerge, so that more and more battles occur.
However, with the experience of the Resistance we are very clear that the more cruel Israel is, the more it seeks to completely eradicate Hamas, the more the Palestinians will engage with the enemy, eventually driven by the guardian of the country, and the hatred, Hamas will have a source of constant fresh blood.
In general, as long as Israel does not stop its atrocities, this Palestinian-Israeli conflict will never end. Unless the last Palestinian drains the last drop of blood, Israel is doomed to be unable to "win."