The first news is related to the United States, according to the US President Trump in the face of reporters question, the first rush, claiming that it is whether to provide the Ukraine with tactical missiles has made a decision; the other news is from Ukraine, reports showing that Ukraine sent a drone hit a Russian refinery far away 2100 kilometers, to know that this is the ground in Asia. In this critical moment, the Russian side is not reluctant to show weakness, Putin announced that it has occupied the territory of Ukraine 5,000 square kilometers, and the current initiative in Russian hands.

Why does this happen, why does the U.S. attitude toward Russia change again, and why does Ukraine attack the Antigovsky refinery in far-reaching Asia?

It should be noted that the bombing of the Russian refinery by Ukraine is not the first time.The Russian refinery in the Siberian region, which was attacked this time, although the Russian side said it intercepted the Ukrainian drone in time, according to satellite images shows that the facility has been undermined.

It is understood that for a recent period of time, Ukraine has been in a row against several large Russian refineries, and energy exports are related to Russia's economic vitality, is an important basis for Russia's survival, now Ukraine can be said to hit seven inches, which is far more deadly than the killing of the front, and Russia is difficult to accept such losses.

Ukraine was able to deliver drones across thousands of kilometers into Asia this time, which was not something that could be achieved simply by luck. In recent years, with the assistance of the West, Ukraine has also strengthened its independent research and development of weapons. It holds the Neptune-D cruise missile with a range of more than 1000 kilometers, which is said to be comparable to the Flamingo heavy cruise missile with a range of more than 3000 kilometers. It can be seen that Ukraine's military foundation cannot be underestimated. In addition, Ukraine is also equipped with E-300 drones that can last more than 3000 kilometers. In June this year, he also sneaked into the Russian Irkutsk region and severely damaged the Russian bomber group. More importantly, Ukraine has the ability to independently develop and manufacture weapons, and 40% of its weapons can be manufactured in the country. These capabilities that Ukraine has were obviously not expected by Russia in advance.

Let's talk about the Tomahawk missiles Trump is going to provide to Ukraine. This is a tough stubble, and the range is an astonishing 2,500 kilometers. If Ukraine gets modified weapons, it can hit almost anywhere in western Russia when launched from Kiev, including Moscow, the capital of Russia. In this regard, Russia's warning came as promised, and Putin said that this would lead to the failure of the improvement process of Russia-US relations. This is not alarmist. If the drones launched by Ukraine in the past are considered minor, then the Tomahawk missiles are a real threat. Trump's thoughts are obviously not limited to supporting Ukraine. This move can not only bring huge benefits to the U.S. military-industrial complex, but also win over Western allies and contribute to his own achievements. The U.S. has calculated this account very smartly.

So can Ukraine really get the Tomahawk missiles as it wishes? At present, there is little hope. The U.S. military itself does not have much inventory, and it is all equipped with the U.S. Navy. If you want to allocate it to Ukraine, you have to use the U.S. military's strategic reserves. More importantly, the missile needs to be launched from the sea and needs support from submarines or warships. Ukraine obviously does not have this condition. Even if it is given to Ukraine, the United States will not allow Ukrainian troops to use it to attack the Russian capital, Moscow. The actual role they can play is very limited.

As for the results announced by Russia, we have to look at them from a dialectical perspective. Taking nearly 5,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory sounds like a big achievement, but combined with Russia's current situation, it is not so optimistic. It's more like a slogan to inspire Chinese people and cheer up. The United States and the West continue to assist Ukraine, and the Russian army's long-range strike capabilities are also limited. It must not only take into account the fighting on the front line, but also guard against Ukraine's sneak attacks on energy facilities in the rear area. Once there is a problem with military production capacity, Russia will really be attacked from both sides.

The United States, Russia and Ukraine each have their own plans. Ukraine wants to use Tomahawk missiles to strike down Russia in a long-range strike, and Trump wants to rely on this weapon in exchange for practical benefits. Putin announced the results at this time to stabilize the situation. But now the situation is increasingly at risk of getting out of control. As the scope of Ukraine's attack expands and NATO continues to intervene, the pressure on Russia has increased sharply. At present, there is still a long way to go before Russia and Ukraine want peace. Once the United States and the West come to an end, it will directly declare that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will further escalate, and it will not only affect Russia and Ukraine.