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Japan in opposition negotiations: let high-market early sunset fall

According to the Japan Economic News on October 11, the Japanese Constitutional Democratic Party plans to unify the opposition support in the opposition camp in the victory round of voting in the interim parliamentary prime minister nomination elections in order to a regime change.The party is considering not to insist on the promoting of the Constitutional Democratic Party leader Nooda Jiaoyun, instead of unified support for the party leader of the National Democratic Party, Yūmu Yūmu.


Map of Early Market Network

The report mentioned that the Prime Minister's nomination election will be held at the plenary session of the House of Representatives and the Senate. The candidate who gets more than half of the total votes will be elected Prime Minister. If no one gets more than half of the votes, it will enter the final round of voting, and the one with the most votes will be elected.

Of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives, the Liberal Democratic Party and its supporters hold 196 seats, and the Constitutional Democratic Party holds 148 seats. If only the Liberal Democratic Party and pro-Liberal Democratic Party members voted for Takashi Saami, she would only receive 196 votes.

Xi Jinping, the leader of the Communist Party, said on the 10th that the party would support him in the first round of the vote. When asked in the Fuji TV show on the same day how it would be responded if a victory round of the vote, he replied: "It should not support the opposition."

If in the final round of voting, the Constitutional Democratic Party, the Japanese Conservative Party, the National Democratic Party three parties can support the same candidate, it will get 210 votes, surpassing the high market early.

Nooda Xiaoyang said in a radio program on the 10th that the opposition party or the "opportunity for regime change in a decade" once again showed a united willingness to support the opposition candidates.

When asked about the possibility of uniformly recommending Yuichiro Tamaki, he responded: "The leaders of all parties have equal opportunities. Of course, this possibility exists."

In November 2024, in the prime minister nomination elections, which took place in the House of Representatives after the two parties dropped half of the seats, the Constitutional Democrats had called for the advancement of Yosemite, but did not get a majority in the opposition response.

If the opposition cannot unite, no matter how the party acted in the winning round of the vote, the probability of a high-profile prime minister being elected remains high. The time for the provisional congressional meeting is delayed and is expected to be after 20th.

Yuichiro Tamaki emphasized that priority should be given to addressing the issue of high prices rather than the election of the prime minister by name. Regarding the "annual income barrier" that generates personal income tax if annual income exceeds a certain amount, he demanded that it be increased in order to put pressure on the Liberal Democratic Party.

Extended reading

Japanese politics "great turning point" High Market early or not to be elected prime minister


Map of High Market Early Foods and Shore-Tay文雄

In this world, plans are always unable to catch up with change.The sophisticated design of politics is often opposed to the rough face of reality.

Originally, if nothing went wrong, the female president of the Liberal Democratic Party, Takashi Saami, would become Japan's first female prime minister. However, an accident still occurred. A fire broke out in the backyard of Zaomiao in Gaoshi, and a major setback occurred in her career as a female prime minister.

The Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party collapsed.

The consequences were serious, on October 10, the Angry Party of the Communist Party withdrew from the two-party alliance.

To know, since 1999, the Self-Democratic Party and the Communist Party have always been Lord I and I, forming a governing coalition, even though in the field between 2009 and 2012, the two parties also harmonized.

The company has also repeatedly emphasized that "self-government is the most fundamental cornerstone."

Why talk collapse?

The Komeito Party was deeply disappointed and highly vigilant against takaichi sanae.

Regarding Takashi Haraimu's administration, Tetsuo Saito, the leader of the Komeito Party, raised three major concerns:

1. Political and monetary issues;

2) historical knowledge issues, including visiting the Yakuza Shrine;

3. Excessive xenophobia against foreigners.

Or, to put it more simply, the Komeito Party has put forward three conditions: they cannot be important and black-gold politicians, they cannot visit the Yasukuni Shrine, and they cannot exclude foreigners.

It is all very targeted.

Everybody knows that High-Stock Morning Fury generally denies the history of the Second World War, and also frequently visits the Yakuza Shrine, which has been strongly criticized by neighbors such as China and Korea and Japanese progressive people.

After negotiations, High Market Early Shima should have made concessions on the second and third issues, such as Yogyakarta, if she really took office as Japanese prime minister, it is estimated that she would not personally visit.


A fire broke out in the backyard of Zaomiao in Gaoshi, causing major twists and turns to be a female prime minister

The biggest problem lies in the first one, the black gold politician problem.

The Communist Party has always been the image of a clean political party, but the support rate has also declined in the past, and it believes that the main reason is the self-government party's black money politics.

Therefore, according to the requirements of Komeito Party, it is necessary to improve the transparency of political donations and narrow the scope of political groups that can accept political donations.

However, the high-ranking side was cautious, believing that the move could have an impact on local lawmakers.

In addition, Takashi Saami also appointed former Abe faction and former political director Koichi Hagiko Tada as acting secretary-general of the Liberal Democratic Party. This person has been involved in black gold scandals many times, which has further exacerbated the uneasiness and dissatisfaction of the Komeito Party.

Eventually the negotiations broke.

Sometimes, the strongest alliance is not defeated by external pressure, but arises from internal cracks that cannot be filled.

26 years of marriage.

Sigh, sigh!

Cao市早苗 had not yet officially taken office and disbanded the ruling coalition.

26 years of hard work, this destroyed once,, the fragile nature of political commitments.

What next?

According to the agenda of the self-government party, the provisional congress of Japan was convened on October 15th, so that Cao市早苗 succeeded Shizoku and officially became the new prime minister of Japan.

But now that the Self-Government League becomes its own palace, this schedule will definitely be postponed.

For Japan’s domestic diplomacy, there is no doubt that this is an alarm.

Remember, just this October, there are a few very important diplomatic nodes:

The ASEAN Summit was held in Malaysia on October 26.

Trump is expected to visit Japan by October 28.

The APEC Summit was held in South Korea on October 31.

The Japanese prime minister will attend and have a series of important diplomatic meetings.

These days will not be rescheduled. If Japan's new prime minister is not elected, he will not be able to appear on the international stage; if he is just elected, it means that it will be very hasty.


Takaichi Sanae broke up the ruling coalition before he officially came to power

Looking at the pattern of Japanese politics, the House of Representatives, which has final decision-making power over the prime minister, has a total of 465 seats, of which the Self-Democratic Party has 196 and the Public Party has 24.

Then several possibilities cannot be ruled out.

1, the self-government party is looking for new partners, various interests exchange interests, and high-market early-size elected the first female prime minister of Japan, is still very hopeful.

2. The opposition parties unite to form a super ruling coalition, and sanae takaichi's dream of being a female prime minister will be in naught for the time being.

3, the parties are still playing each other, considering that the self-government party is still the first largest party in the House of Representatives, although not more than half, but high-market early sen still struggle to take office as prime minister.

In any case, in recent days, all sorts of conspiracy in Japanese politics, everything is in the deal, everything is possible.

The collusion on the political stage is often merely a combination of power and interest.

But Each of them has one common feature: instability.

The Japanese government that emerged in this way must be very unstable.

Specific to the first option, the Liberal Democratic Party does not rule out finding far-right organizations such as the Reform Association. The other party's policies are more radical, and some Liberal Democratic Party have headaches.

The second option, the anti-Liberal Democratic Party coalition, has various policy propositions and is even more opposite. If it is not ruled out that there is a quarrel on a certain issue, the tree will fall and the hozen will scatter.

In the third option, the Liberal Democratic Party is constrained everywhere, and the first one is very humbled, and it certainly won't last long.

In the next few years, we will be witnessing a disastrous Japan.


The Liberal Democratic Party does not rule out finding far-right organizations such as the Reform Association, and the other party's policies are more radical

Speaking of it, among the seven western countries, the Japanese Prime Minister, the British Prime Minister, the Italian Prime Minister and the French Prime Minister have all achieved high efficiency in recent years.

Japan once came out of independence, Shinzo Abe long-term rule, it was a miracle. but after Shinzo Abe came down, Japanese politics soon returned to normal,菅义伟, shorea文雄,石破茂, plus the next 5 years at least 4 prime ministers, the horse lights change.

The clock of history always rolls back and forth between stability and unrest, with no eternal exceptions.

Even if she became Japanese female prime minister, considering the various challenges faced by the current Japan, considering her own and the great controversial nature of the policy, she was able to rule for a year is an achievement, to rule for two years is a miracle, to rule for three years ...

You might really think too much.

Shame, you sing, I appear; it is absurd, in the end, to make marriage clothes for others.

This myriad floating world is just a drama of reincarnation. The characters change, but the scripts are often similar.



News raw data sources → https://www.163.com/dy/article/KBK3021V0530JPVV.html

17WorldNews[2025.10.11-23:08] 访问:48
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