In the past two days, the image of the international public opinion was thrown into a bomb. Trump's suddenly toughest speech. At first it looked overwhelming and seemed to push Sino-U.S. relations to the ice, but a few hours later the winds changed, Trump's speech turns, and said "expect to meet with the Chinese side", and actively stressed "do not want to fight a trade war."
This dramatic shift has not only upset the outside world, but has also caused a big turn in the market.
Will China be able to do it or will the United States not?
Emotions come quickly, change your mind faster
At first, Trump's attitude can be described as "furious". He made malicious remarks in public and expressed strong dissatisfaction with China. He even said that he would cancel the meeting with China at the APEC summit.
He said that China "has embarrassed him" and also vowed to use harsher punitive measures, not only to raise taxes, but also to release "thinking to break the deal."It sounds like preparing for a full-scale confrontation.
But this sub-fire did not last for a long time.The voice just fell shortly, the market atmosphere instantly changed.The U.S. stocks fell sharply, investors feel unstable, and large companies also began to be tense.
This series of reactions is like a first blow to Trump. After all, the economy is the focus of his performance and the voter's most concerned thing.
Less than eight hours, Trump changed his mouth in the face of the media. he said the dialogue was still ongoing, and he did not really intend to cancel the meeting, but also said that he "maintained an open attitude to the Chinese side".
Of course, the outside world can see that this is not a whim, but more like a helplessness suppressed by reality. Although Trump speaks tough, he also understands that anger alone cannot solve the problem, but will make the situation more and more chaotic.
China shot accurately, and the other party immediately felt the pressure
This time China's reaction could be said to be stable and fierce, did not make a big bang, and did not use excessive means, but the effect is very in place.China directly hit the United States by adjusting the rules of resources export, especially the control of some key raw materials.
Although these resources are not usually concerned by ordinary people, they are absolutely indispensable in the fields of high-tech and military industry. The United States produces little of its own, has limited processing capacity, and has long relied on external supplies. Once this part is tightened, the entire industry chain will be affected. In other words, although the position of the shot seems inconspicuous, it can make the opponent feel real pressure.
In addition, China has also synchronously adjusted some maritime-related policies, although it has not been clearly stated to whom it is aimed at, but it does have a significant impact on U.S. imports and exports.
Transportation cost, logistics arrangement, progress control, these seemingly leftover problems, when superimposed, are a sap.
More importantly, the reason for China’s response is very clear: it is the “national security” card that is used – this is what the U.S. likes to say.
Using the same logic to retaliate, it is really difficult for the United States to refute for a while. You said it was for safety, and I could say the same. Logically stable, measured in means, and immediate results.
This also shows that China does not want to deliberately create tension, but it is never ambiguous when it is time to take action. I will accept and repay the tricks you call me.
Not to fight for breath, but to keep the bottom line.
The allies also followed the difficulties, and the time when “America said it” was really over.
This wave of turmoil is not just between China and the United States, other countries are also looking at it while thinking about what to do.
At first, seeing Trump's fire, they also followed the statement, saying to "be cautious about dependency on China", and even suggested to "reduce the degree of cooperation".
Unexpectedly, Trump turned faster than them. Before they finished speaking, people had already started to smooth things out. This puts them in a dilemma. They want to be tough, for fear that they can't sing alone; I want to ease it, but I'm afraid of being said by domestic public opinion to be too weak.
More importantly, the conflict has also made some countries realize that the long-standing days of “do whatever America says” may really be over.
The United States itself is not stable now, today says this, and tomorrow, who dares to take full account of its own interests?
Moreover, the voice of the corporate community is becoming more and more obvious. Many multinational companies have begun to privately express concerns that political risks are becoming increasingly difficult to predict.
They don't want to be involved in the grudge of big countries, let alone disrupt the entire business rhythm because of a sudden policy adjustment.
This also demonstrates the problem that globalization has reached a new stage. The former way of unilateral pressure and forceful teamwork is becoming increasingly ineffective.
Behind the short-term storm is a signal of pattern change
This incident seems to be short in time and changing rapidly, but the weight behind it is not light. Trump's "eight-hour turn" is not a temporary soft-hearted, nor a sudden figuring it out, but a choice forced out by reality.
China's response is a style that is neither impatient nor impatient, but allows the other party to seriously consider the consequences. This method neither intensifies conflicts nor concedes, but firmly holds the initiative in one's own hands. I don't panic when you make a move. I am prepared and confident.
The reaction of the United States has exposed internal unrest. crying is easy, difficult to execute; hard is easy, difficult to finish. especially in the face of an economy that does not lose its partners, want to rely on oppression to exchange results, has become increasingly ineffective.
The bigger problem is that the whole world is undergoing a reorder. The United States is no longer the uncompromising role, and other countries are no longer willing to be "obedient supporting roles".
China's rise is not only economic, but also confidence in rules and values. You can disagree, but you cannot ignore it.
This wave is temporarily over, but the thought left to all parties has only just begun. Future friction may still be, but everyone understands that it really makes sense, not to whom the voice is big, but who is more patient and understand cooperation.
The realistic test behind a "face change"
Trump's change of mouth was not just a language adjustment, but a strategic turn. He understood that the hard-top is not working, the market does not promise, the allies do not buy accounts, and the opponents are more ready.
And China has also expressed its attitude in its own way: not afraid of things, not looking for things, but must keep the bottom line.
Although this wave comes fast, it goes fast, but the message to the world is very clear: the times have changed, the days when you can set the rules on one side of the table have passed.
Trump's eight hours not only changed his rhetoric, but also rewritten many countries 'perceptions of the "strength" of the United States. In this era of accelerating multipolarity, who can truly control the situation no longer depends on "shouting" but on real skills.