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Where do you go, where do you go, where will you lead the world?

Mahbubani Mahbubani, a senior diplomat from Singapore, dropped a heavy view: In the next ten to twenty years, the competition between China and the United States will only become more fierce. But he asserted that China still has at least a hundred years of prosperity.

Conflicts arise one after another in front of us. When the capital chain and technological attack and defense are simultaneously full, every shock in the global supply chain is like a silent rehearsal. Does this optimism stem from self-confidence or a reminder and light exhortation before the alarm?

Comprehensive escalation of China-US competition: an inevitable reality

The dispute between China and the United States is no longer a mere economic competition.

From trade wars, scientific and technological wars, to control of global supply chains, to financial wars, to public opinion wars, more and more fields are becoming the battlefield of the two countries.

In the past few years, The different governments of the United States, from Trump to Biden, have taken different degrees of restraint against China.Especially in the field of technology and commerce.

The U.S. attitude towards China has gradually shifted from ¡°cooperation and win-win¡± to ¡°competition and even confrontation¡±.

However, McKay believes that the competition between China and the United States is far from what the outside world views as a "fast-decision battle".

This is a profound and lasting ¡°geopolitical race¡± that will have an impact far beyond the two countries themselves and will even influence the global future pattern.

The Resilience of History: China's Hundred Years Cycle

Makai¡¯s optimistic view of China¡¯s future is deeply rooted in his understanding of China¡¯s history.

The rise of China is not a coincidence.

Chinese civilization has its own "cyclical rejuvenation" characteristics.

Although there has been several degrees of recession in China's history, after each touching the bottom, it can always rise again with amazing resilience.

Whether it is the rebirth of the Tang dynasty or the rebirth of the end of the Qing dynasty,Everything proves this.

Looking back at modern history, China at the end of the Qing Dynasty and the beginning of the People's Republic is in a situation of external distress and has almost lost its ability to develop itself.

But even so, China has not been defeated, but has saved power and welcomed the establishment of a new China.

Ma Kaishuo personally experienced China after the reform and opening up. He remembers that when he visited China for the first time in 1980s, the streets of Beijing were still filled with monotonous blue-gray tones. At that time, China seemed silent and powerless.

However, decades later, China is not only in the economic rise, but also in high-tech, infrastructure construction and global influence.There have been remarkable achievements.

Mahbubani's optimism comes from his deep understanding of the "accumulated growth" of China's history.

He firmly believes that even after a small breakthrough, China will still face the future with amazing resilience and resilience, as it did in the past.

China Model: Unique Advantages of Governance

Speaking of China¡¯s rise, Machi believes that in addition to its historical accumulation, China¡¯s governance model is also one of the key factors for its success.

Many critics in the United States often compare China with the * model of western countries, trying to measure China's success through its political system.

However, This simple comparison often ignores China's unique governance system and the practical benefits it brings.

According to Ma Kaishuo's analysis, China's state governance is highly centralized, but it is highly pragmatic and executive.

Whether it is major economic decisions or adjustments of domestic and foreign policies, consensus can be formed and put into practice in a relatively short period of time.

On the one hand, this is due to China's "merit-based" system. On the other hand, it is also closely related to the decision-making efficiency and strong error correction capabilities of the China government.

The U.S. political system holds general elections every four years.Frequent policy changes have resulted in its long-term inability to achieve effective strategic deployment.

In contrast, China's long-term planning and policy continuity provide a guarantee for the stable development of the country.

The future of Sino-US relations: cooperation or confrontation?

As global competition intensifies, confrontation between China and the United States is inevitable.

Mr. Makai believes that the future of the Sino-American relationship may move towards a Cold War-style confrontation.

The United States has regarded China as its number one competitor and has launched containment actions on a global scale.

Whether it's increasing trade barriers or restricting the development of Chinese technology enterprises, these measures seem to have the effect of hindering China's development in the short term.

However, Mahbubani does not think this will be the final direction of bilateral relations.

He reminded us that excessive confrontation is not only a lossy "zero-sum game", but will also have a huge impact on the global economy.

In the era of globalization, countries have become closely connected.

China¡¯s connections with the rest of the world do not depend solely on interactions with the United States, and the complexity of the global supply chain means that excessive isolation of any country will affect the stability of the global economy.

He believes that in addition to continuing to rise strongly in the economic field, China in the future,Its foreign policy will also demonstrate more cooperation and win-win ideas.

The concept of "community with a shared future for mankind" proposed by China has become the guiding ideology for many countries around the world to deal with common challenges.

If China and the United States can change their views on each other and shift from a zero-sum game to win-win cooperation, then the relationship between the two countries may usher in a new chapter.

China¡¯s unstoppable rise

Although Mahbubani is cautious about Sino-US competition, he also firmly believes that the rise of China is unstoppable.

No matter how much pressure the United States exerts, China has strong endogenous motivation enough to deal with external challenges.

From reform and opening up to now, China, with its unique development model, has not only achieved its own leap, but also contributed to global economic growth.

Ma Kaishuo mentioned that China¡¯s rise was not only a success on the economic level, but also a full revival of its cultural, technological and social structures.

China is demonstrating with practical actions that despite external pressures and challenges, its development path has a sturdy vitality.

This is not a smooth path, but like every rejuvenation in China¡¯s history, none of these difficulties can stop it from ultimately moving toward prosperity.

Conclusion: A vision of a century of prosperity

China¡¯s future is still full of challenges and uncertainty.

Competition between China and the United States will become increasingly fierce, with external pressure and internal reform challenges coexisting.

But Mahbubani's foresight also pointed out the direction for us: China's rejuvenation is not a temporary achievement, but the result of years of accumulation.

In the past, China has overcome countless difficulties and has met the rise of modernization.

In the future, China will continue to write a glorious chapter on the global stage with the profound heritage of a century-old civilization.

No matter how the global situation changes, Mahbubani's confidence in China undoubtedly provides us with encouragement: a century of prosperity is the deepest source of strength in this land of China.

Singapore scholar Makai Mou: I am a Chinese optimist, Chinese civilization will flourish for at least 100 years

Reference News--Mahbubani: The pace of Sino-US competition will accelerate in the next decade