On October 10, 2025, in Tokyo, Japan's ruling self-government party chairman Cao市早苗 met with reporters at the party headquarters, before its ruling partner Public Party decided to terminate the two-party alliance.
Only a week after being elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, Takashi Saami's nomination for prime minister ran into trouble, and the "first female prime minister" was suspended.
According to central TV news reports, on October 10, local time, the leader of the Japanese Communist Party Zidane Zidane confirmed that the party will break out of the ruling alliance with the self-government party and end the 26-year political "alliance" with the self-government party.
Opening up the contradiction between the Communist Party and the Democratic Party means that the high-ranking prime minister, who should have been nominated at the Japanese provisional congress on October 15, will not be appointed as scheduled.
Even worse, there has been a possibility of a regime change in place of the self-government party and the high-market prime minister. Japan’s largest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party, leader Nōdo Kiyama said on 10th that if the opposition party united, it could seize power. The Constitutional Democratic Party also revealed that it is willing to work with the Communist Party to work hard and push the leader of the National Democratic Party, Yūkuyū Yūkuyū, as the candidate for prime minister in the opposition.
Cao市早苗 not only when the time of the prime minister is forced to push, but also may not be prime minister.
Why did things go off track in just one week?
Why did you anger the Komeito Party?
As is well known, a week ago, the first female president of the Japanese self-government party was elected, borrowing the strength of Japan's former prime minister, Mahatma Gandhi, and the old ministry.
After Takaichi Sanae was elected, he immediately gave a political reward. On October 7, Takaichi Sanae adjusted the top management of the Liberal Democratic Party. Among them, Taro Aso is the vice president of the Liberal Democratic Party, Aso's adopted brother Shunichi Suzuki is the secretary-general, Aso Senate member Haruko Arimura is the general affairs president, Hagiudakoichi, a former general of the Anfang faction involved in the "black gold scandal", is the acting secretary-general, and Kobayashi Takayuki, the former second-order faction, is the political investigation president. That is to say, in the "Five Campaigns" of the Liberal Democratic Party, the Aso faction and the former Abe faction made a comeback.
Takashi Haraimu, who has always adhered to far-right political views, is at odds with the relatively moderate Komeito Party, especially on security policies and visits to the Yasukuni Shrine. Taro Aso also has a historical grudge with the Komeito Party. Previously, because the Komeito Party advocated "protecting the constitution" and opposed the transformation of the Japanese Self-Defense Force into the Japanese National Defense Force, it was once insulted by Taro Aso as a "cancer" in Japanese politics.
In addition, after Takashi Saami was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party, he approached the National Democratic Party without the knowledge of the Komeito Party in an attempt to ensure his ascendancy, which aroused strong dissatisfaction from the Komeito Party.
Policy differences and covert operations ultimately led the Komeito Party to decide to disintegrate the "Self-Government Alliance", causing Takashi Saomiao, who had little advantage in forming a cabinet, to lose the initiative.
What about the LDP?
After the Komeito Party left, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan has no power to dominate the political situation in Japan alone. Other players stepped onto the front desk one after another.
At present, there are five main parties determining the direction of Japan's political situation, namely the Liberal Democratic Party, which holds 196 seats in the House of Representatives, the Constitutional Democratic Party, which holds 148 seats, the Japan Restoration Council, which holds 35 seats, the National Democratic Party, which holds 27 seats, and the Komeito Party, which holds 24 seats.
In addition to the original public party, the three seats in the opposition party have reached 210 seats, exceeding the self-government party. Now the public party no longer supports the high market early, the weakness of the self-government party is more evident. If the self-government party wants to maintain power, it must dig into the “foot” of the opposition party.
If the self-government party only allied with one party in the Vichy or the National Democratic Party, and still failed to reach the majority of the House of Representatives 233 votes, the Prime Minister of High City Mornington was still unstable. and in the Vichy and the National Democratic Party, the Vichy was a worse deal, because the party has been demanding to upgrade Osaka to the second capital, and High City Mornington probably did not have this ability.
In addition to the House of Representatives, the Senate also has variables. Among the 248 seats, the "Self-Public Alliance" originally held 122 seats and the opposition party held 126 seats. After the Komeito Party left, it took eight seats with it. The Liberal Democratic Party needs to cooperate with the National Democratic Party, the Reform Association and even the far-right Japanese participating parties before it can pass.
At present, the National Democratic Party and the Conservative Party will decide on the composition of the next Japanese cabinet.
Is the right wing attacked?
Despite the high-market prime minister's long standing, and the right-wing forces represented by him appear to have been hit, it must be seen that regardless of whether high-market prime minister will be able to do what he wants in the future, the upward trend of Japan's right-wing conservative forces will not change.
If Takashi Takashi takes over, it means the return of Japan's "black gold politics" and an increase in geopolitical risks. Trying to amend Japan's pacifist constitution, share nuclear power with the United States, establish an anti-China encirclement, and deny the Nanjing Massacre, if she comes to power, it will inevitably bring these new geopolitical risks.
The old National Democratic Party once merged with the Constitutional Democratic Party. The past origin should also be one of the reasons why the Constitutional Democratic Party recommended a National Democratic Party as candidates for prime minister. However, in 2020, some right-wing MPs separated from the Constitutional Democratic Party and reorganized the New National Democratic Party. Although it defines itself as a "realist party" and opposes the extreme left or extreme right, it sides with the Liberal Democratic Party on major matters such as amending the constitution and increasing the defense budget.
This also means that regardless of which side will be the final winner, Japan’s relations with the outside world, especially the rest of Northeast Asia, will face a new test.
Of course, it is equally certain that in view of the momentum of the current Japanese parties, the new cabinet, even if established, the foundation is not solid, and probably will not be a long-lived cabinet.