India will eventually be the world’s biggest threat, not how powerful India is, but India’s unrestricted fertility. India now has at least 1.5 billion people, official 1.4 billion, but India’s statistics, you know, accuracy is harder than buying a lottery prize.
In 2023, the official newspaper of India's permanent resident population is 14.38 billion, but everyone knows that the number of waters is large enough to feed fish, poor caves have no account, remote countryside leak statistics, if you can compile enough to supplement the "missing" tens of millions, say the actual population is earlier than 1.5 billion are conservative, after all, their statistical accuracy is more obscure than the first prize in the lottery.
The key is that the population is still rising, and the United Nations has predicted that this century will reach a peak of 1.7 billion in the 1960s, and even after the decline, at the end of this century will still be about 1.5 billion, steadily occupying the position of the world's largest population.
Some people may say that India's fertility rate has dropped to 1.9 now, which is lower than the replacement level, but this data is huge. High-income families in cities do have fewer children, only 1.6 and 1.7, but low-income groups in rural areas are still struggling to give birth. This polarization will only get worse.
70 years of demographic policy is a joke, the early years of forced sterilization have burned up people's complaints, and then the policy is too moderate, can't control the birth impulse of the grassroots, but let go of it no matter, this is not called unrestricted what?
So many people have to eat first, right? But the situation in India is so magical. In 2023, rice exports account for 45% of the world and are the largest exporter. However, 190 million people in the country are severely hungry, accounting for a quarter of the world's undernourished people.
In the open-air courtyard of Punjab province, nearly 1,000 tons of wheat were piled up until it turned black and moldy. Officials said that the processing cost was high, so it was better to feed cattle and sheep. In 2025, India's grain stocks far exceeded the safety line, with 35 million tons of rice and 28 million tons of wheat. But 40% of slum families in Uttar Pradesh eat one meal a day, and 15% of children are so hungry that their limbs are stunted.
That is, the grain is all held by the great landowners and exporters, good rice is sold abroad for money, the poor can not eat at all, so many people will eat, in the future the grain is not enough, not to steal?
The food problem has not been solved, drinking water has become a big problem, "Indian Silicon Valley" Bangalore is now water shortage is rapidly crumbling, daily supply of 14.5 billion liters of water, can need 2 billion liters, the gap is not large, the government can only ban the washing of cars and flowers, hotels are forced to use one-time dining utensils.
What's even more outrageous is that "water supply gangs" have been bred, illegally drilling wells and reselling them to ordinary people. Schools only supply water once a week, and some private schools have suspended classes.
This is not an individual case, the whole state of Karnataka is the same, experts say it is not a drought at all, it is a population growth too fast, 13 years more than 5 million, less lakes, underground water dried, and infrastructure can not keep up.
48% of all India's cities rely on groundwater, 70% of the water is polluted, annually 200,000 people die from not drinking clean water, New Delhi's outdoors smell yellow, all are splashes, can only buy barrels of water, so many people steal this clean water, in the future for water fight is not surprising, or even to trigger regional conflict.
With too many people, work and education cannot keep up. This is the most terrible thing. India now has 600 million young people aged 18 to 35. It may seem like a "demographic dividend", but it is simply a "demographic burden."
Manufacturing is weak, most people can only engage in agriculture or low value-added work, 86% of farmers are marginal farmers, the average cultivated land is two basketball fields large, subsidies cannot be obtained, water is cut off by large landowners, grain is lost to buy and sell.
In addition to education, 46% of people over the age of 25 have not completed primary school, so many young people without culture, can not find a job can only travel, in 2022 women's employment rate is only 10%, 39 million women's workforce is not working.
The UN says these young people will enter the labor market in the next 20 years, but where is India with so many jobs?
What is even more worrying is population spillover, which is almost becoming a global problem. There is no room in the country, and a large number of Indians can only travel abroad. In the past ten years, overseas labor exports have increased steadily, making them the world's largest source of overseas remittances.
Young people travel to Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the construction and service industries, Canada and Australia, and the high percentage of international students in India, graduates leave to work.
What's even more regrettable is the brain drain. 90% of the top 10 students of Indian Institutes of Technology immigrated to the United States, and 1.9 million people gave up their citizenship and ran away.
These ordinary laborers and immigrants bring not only employment pressure, but also cultural conflicts. In European and American technology companies, Indians group together to exclude others and bring the trick of squeezing employees. They refuse to accept management and like to talk about racism, which makes the local chickens and dogs restless. According to this trend, if India's population really runs to 2 billion in the future, one billion people will not run out? The whole world has to be disrupted.
Some people claim that India can contribute 30% of the world's wealth. This is pure nonsense. It cannot even protect the most basic people's livelihood. Grain warehouses are rotten, drinking water depends on grabbing, and young people have no jobs and no culture. With so many people dragging them down, no matter how fast the economy is, it can't hold on.
Modi himself called it a "population explosion", but what does it use? water facilities have been unrepaired for years, the majority of the 580 reservoirs have leaked water, the agricultural product loss rate is as high as 40%, and less than a fifth of the cooling storage capacity combined production, these basic problems are not solved, and more and more people are miserable.
Therefore, India's big problem is not because it is strong, but because of this vicious cycle caused by uncontrolled birth. Too many people → insufficient resources → collapse of people's livelihood → social unrest → fleeing outside, and if you don't live well, you will have to implicate others. No matter how much statistical data is mixed in, it cannot cover up the fact. In the future, not only India will not be able to fill the hole for 1.7 billion people, but the entire planet may suffer.
In 2023, the official newspaper of India's permanent resident population is 14.38 billion, but everyone knows that the number of waters is large enough to feed fish, poor caves have no account, remote countryside leak statistics, if you can compile enough to supplement the "missing" tens of millions, say the actual population is earlier than 1.5 billion are conservative, after all, their statistical accuracy is more obscure than the first prize in the lottery.
The key is that the population is still rising, and the United Nations has predicted that this century will reach a peak of 1.7 billion in the 1960s, and even after the decline, at the end of this century will still be about 1.5 billion, steadily occupying the position of the world's largest population.
Some people may say that India's fertility rate has dropped to 1.9 now, which is lower than the replacement level, but this data is huge. High-income families in cities do have fewer children, only 1.6 and 1.7, but low-income groups in rural areas are still struggling to give birth. This polarization will only get worse.
70 years of demographic policy is a joke, the early years of forced sterilization have burned up people's complaints, and then the policy is too moderate, can't control the birth impulse of the grassroots, but let go of it no matter, this is not called unrestricted what?
So many people have to eat first, right? But the situation in India is so magical. In 2023, rice exports account for 45% of the world and are the largest exporter. However, 190 million people in the country are severely hungry, accounting for a quarter of the world's undernourished people.
In the open-air courtyard of Punjab province, nearly 1,000 tons of wheat were piled up until it turned black and moldy. Officials said that the processing cost was high, so it was better to feed cattle and sheep. In 2025, India's grain stocks far exceeded the safety line, with 35 million tons of rice and 28 million tons of wheat. But 40% of slum families in Uttar Pradesh eat one meal a day, and 15% of children are so hungry that their limbs are stunted.
That is, the grain is all held by the great landowners and exporters, good rice is sold abroad for money, the poor can not eat at all, so many people will eat, in the future the grain is not enough, not to steal?
The food problem has not been solved, drinking water has become a big problem, "Indian Silicon Valley" Bangalore is now water shortage is rapidly crumbling, daily supply of 14.5 billion liters of water, can need 2 billion liters, the gap is not large, the government can only ban the washing of cars and flowers, hotels are forced to use one-time dining utensils.
What's even more outrageous is that "water supply gangs" have been bred, illegally drilling wells and reselling them to ordinary people. Schools only supply water once a week, and some private schools have suspended classes.
This is not an individual case, the whole state of Karnataka is the same, experts say it is not a drought at all, it is a population growth too fast, 13 years more than 5 million, less lakes, underground water dried, and infrastructure can not keep up.
48% of all India's cities rely on groundwater, 70% of the water is polluted, annually 200,000 people die from not drinking clean water, New Delhi's outdoors smell yellow, all are splashes, can only buy barrels of water, so many people steal this clean water, in the future for water fight is not surprising, or even to trigger regional conflict.
With too many people, work and education cannot keep up. This is the most terrible thing. India now has 600 million young people aged 18 to 35. It may seem like a "demographic dividend", but it is simply a "demographic burden."
Manufacturing is weak, most people can only engage in agriculture or low value-added work, 86% of farmers are marginal farmers, the average cultivated land is two basketball fields large, subsidies cannot be obtained, water is cut off by large landowners, grain is lost to buy and sell.
In addition to education, 46% of people over the age of 25 have not completed primary school, so many young people without culture, can not find a job can only travel, in 2022 women's employment rate is only 10%, 39 million women's workforce is not working.
The UN says these young people will enter the labor market in the next 20 years, but where is India with so many jobs?
What is even more worrying is population spillover, which is almost becoming a global problem. There is no room in the country, and a large number of Indians can only travel abroad. In the past ten years, overseas labor exports have increased steadily, making them the world's largest source of overseas remittances.
Young people travel to Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the construction and service industries, Canada and Australia, and the high percentage of international students in India, graduates leave to work.
What's even more regrettable is the brain drain. 90% of the top 10 students of Indian Institutes of Technology immigrated to the United States, and 1.9 million people gave up their citizenship and ran away.
These ordinary laborers and immigrants bring not only employment pressure, but also cultural conflicts. In European and American technology companies, Indians group together to exclude others and bring the trick of squeezing employees. They refuse to accept management and like to talk about racism, which makes the local chickens and dogs restless. According to this trend, if India's population really runs to 2 billion in the future, one billion people will not run out? The whole world has to be disrupted.
Some people claim that India can contribute 30% of the world's wealth. This is pure nonsense. It cannot even protect the most basic people's livelihood. Grain warehouses are rotten, drinking water depends on grabbing, and young people have no jobs and no culture. With so many people dragging them down, no matter how fast the economy is, it can't hold on.
Modi himself called it a "population explosion", but what does it use? water facilities have been unrepaired for years, the majority of the 580 reservoirs have leaked water, the agricultural product loss rate is as high as 40%, and less than a fifth of the cooling storage capacity combined production, these basic problems are not solved, and more and more people are miserable.
Therefore, India's big problem is not because it is strong, but because of this vicious cycle caused by uncontrolled birth. Too many people → insufficient resources → collapse of people's livelihood → social unrest → fleeing outside, and if you don't live well, you will have to implicate others. No matter how much statistical data is mixed in, it cannot cover up the fact. In the future, not only India will not be able to fill the hole for 1.7 billion people, but the entire planet may suffer.