Russia has endured Ukraine for years, and now it is finally intolerable to destroy Ukraine directly.On the morning of 10 October local time, the Russian military launched a joint missile drone airstrike against Kiev, the left bank of the city is completely in the dark.
The cold storm of 2025 is about to arrive, there is no snow on the streets of Kiev, under continuous strikes by missile drones, large areas of energy power facilities are lost, half of the city's electricity shutdowns, and the situation in the city has experienced a serious crisis.
Energy powers, where is the reason for revenge?
Under Zelensky’s command, Ukraine’s long-range drone group, like a bunch of tireless bees, buzzingly flew toward Russia’s belly, aiming directly to its energy source – the oil refinery.
The results were once "brilliant". Ukraine claimed that it had attacked more than 20 Russian refineries, directly abolishing nearly 40% of Russia's refining efficiency.
The real impact is that 38% of Russia’s primary refining capacity is stalled, and in several states there are even limitations on car refining.
A dignified energy power was forced to order a ban on gasoline exports, and had to go back to importing fuel from neighboring countries for emergency response. Zelensky even made bold statements to turn Russia into an energy importer.
At first, the Russians seemed to be “painful”, but this tactical success, like a sting of a horse’s cell, eventually led to a more devastating Russian counterattack on a strategic level.
In the early morning of October 10, retaliation came, and it was disproportionate and thunderous. Zelensky may have tasted what "impulsive punishment" feels like.
What’s broken with Russia?
The Russian army was no longer polite this time, and almost pulled out all the long-range guys that could be used in the arsenal.
The "iskander" tactical ballistic missile launched from land has a range of 500 kilometers and can be hit wherever it is pointed. The "Kalibr" cruise missiles that took off from four warships in the Black Sea have a strike range of up to 1,500 kilometers.
The "KH-101" cruise missiles mounted on the Tu-95 and Tu-160 strategic bombers have a range of thousands of kilometers. Not to mention the mysterious hypersonic missile "Dagger" and the long-range modification and overwhelming arrival of the "Geranium-3" drone.
This is a saturated attack involving land, sea and air.
The targets of the strike were also extremely disturbing, well known as the combination of "surgical surgery knives" and "attack of the city hammer."They were not only exploding power plants, but also precise localization of the gas supply system of Ukraine.
Up to 60% of the supply facilities in natural gas hubs such as Kharkiv and Poltava have been destroyed. The attack on Poltava alone caused natural gas production across Ukraine to plummet by 40%.
The direct consequence of this strike was the direct shutdown of the military-industrial facilities in Sumei and Chernigov because of the power outage.The official Russian statement said very bluntly: it is to paralyze the facilities that supply power to Ukrainian military-industrial enterprises.
Further analysis suggests that it is to break down its energy security system before the Ukrainian F-16 forms a combat force.
Faced with this multi-batch and multi-directional hybrid attack, Ukraine's air defense system is obviously insufficient.
In a large-scale air strike, the interception rate was less than 80%, 18 of 35 missiles were missed, and 78 of 381 drones were missed. In the face of absolute quantity and technical advantages, the air defense network ultimately has its "ceiling".
Struggle and Struggle in the Dark.
Kiev seemed to have returned to survival mode overnight. Mayor Klitchenko admitted that this was the "most serious attack" on the power system. More than half of the Urban area was plunged into darkness, and the "Left Bank" area was completely cut off, resulting in the interruption of the water supply system.
He anxiously called on citizens to quickly stock up on water, food, first aid kits and charging packs. Some officials even said pessimistically that the current crisis is even more severe than when the Russian army besieged the siege in 2022.
The government's emergency measures appear to be a drop in the bucket. An emergency power outage order was issued, and long queues of water trucks and sewage trucks dispatched from various places lined up. Mobile power stations and electricity storage equipment are deployed everywhere, but for a city of millions of people, this amount of electricity is tantamount to lighting up the night with a candle.
The repair work is even more difficult. Energy company DTEK is working hard on repairs, but no one knows when it can be restored. The repair of the gas pipeline is stuck on parts, and the urgently needed spare parts must be dispatched from Poland, at least once in two weeks.
Despair is spreading. The female governor Bezugraya publicly admitted that this winter would be extremely difficult, and she even supported the evacuation of people from Kiev to other areas.
Some lawmakers even warned that in the middle of winter, Kiev may face the risk of complete paralysis of its electricity, water supply, and sewage treatment systems.
What is even more terrifying than material scarcity, however, is the flooding dark streams of chaos.The Ukrainian security department is monitoring a disturbing phenomenon: large amounts of front-line weapons are constantly flowing to Kiev.
There are three speculations about this: someone is taking advantage of the chaos to resell arms. People buy weapons for self-defense because of their lack of security. Or, an organization is planning some unknown action.
conclusion
The paralysis of the energy system has caused more trauma to Ukrainian society than the military strike itself, depriving people of the most basic living conditions, aggravating the winter humanitarian crisis and generating new social instability in the dark.
Kiev now urgently needs not only billions of cubic meters of natural gas to survive the winter, but also advanced air defense systems such as the "Patriot" to protect the few remaining infrastructure.
However, the EU has already provided almost €170 billion in aid and is now facing huge pressure to pay for the rebuilding of Ukraine’s energy system.The deadly logic of this “energy war” is that it has driven the war from the front to the most vulnerable areas of livelihoods behind, creating a bottomless hole that Western aid may never fill.
When a country's "blood vessel" is cut off, no amount of external blood transfusions may help.