Recently, Serbian President Vucic said in an interview: Everyone is preparing for the conflict and it is already completely open.

One stone excites a thousand waves.

Many have turned their eyes to the Balkan Peninsula, Europe¡¯s barrel of gunpowder, where seven large-scale wars have taken place over the past hundred years, including two world wars.

The most recent war on the Balkan Peninsula was the 1999 Kosovo War, in which NATO attacked the Yugoslav Alliance for 78 days and bombed the Chinese embassy in the South, killing three Chinese journalists.

The time has passed 26 years, and Wuchic said it was all openly preparing for war, who was it?

This is not the first time Wuchic said this, two years ago, Wuchic said the same thing, but not many people pay attention, and now the world situation is clearly more turbulent.

During the 93 military parade, Vucic visited China. Not long after he returned to China, Serbia held a grand military parade. The military parade was to display weapons and equipment to the outside world, which had the flavor of deterrence.

For Vucic, he faces a huge internal and external trouble.

External threats come from NATO and the United States. Selville is an exception in Europe. The Serbs are East Slavs, believe in the Orthodox Church, have the same origin as Russia, and have the same beliefs. However, Serbia is located in the Balkans, in the heart of Europe, and is regarded by Europe as a dissident.

The Kosovo war was a US-led NATO strike on Serbia, the cause of the war was the independence of the Albanian ethnicity in the Kosovo region, conflict between Serbs and Albanians, NATO intervention, forcing the Serbs and Albanians to stipulate agreements, requiring Serbia to recognize Kosovo autonomy, NATO station in Kosovo, Serbia disagreed, so NATO invaded Serbia, forcing its consent.

The Albanian nation believes in Islam, NATO intervened not because of faith, but to exclude Russia¡¯s only supporter in Europe, NATO¡¯s intervention contributed to the question of Kosovo¡¯s independence, Kosovo declared unilaterally independence in 2008, the United States and some countries expressed their recognition, but Serbia did not recognize it.

The Serbs are still in a hostile state with the Albanians in Kosovo, and a wind blow will trigger a war, and two years ago, because of the tension in Kosovo, Wuchich ordered the army to enter a state of preparedness, but ultimately did not fight.

This time, Vucic said they were all preparing for war, not about Kosovo, but about NATO¡£

The Russia-Ukraine war has been going on for more than three years, and the war still shows no signs of stopping. Instead, it shows signs of expanding. Some time ago, because Russian drones violated airspace, Poland asked NATO to activate Article 4, but NATO didn't want to intervene in the conflict, but it went away afterwards.

NATO member states are increasing military spending to 5% of GDP and are explicitly spending on preparation for war.

Before the war, NATO¡¯s standard was 2%, but most countries did not meet it, such as Germany, which would not have to reach 2% by 2025, and now the highest military spending is in Poland, with military spending accounting for 4.48% of GDP, followed by Lithuania 4% and Latvia 3.73%.

The three countries with the highest proportion of military spending are Eastern European countries, and they are all the countries most worried about Russia's attack. Among them, Poland and Russia have a historical feud.

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte has clearly demanded that member states spend 3.5 percent of GDP on military by 2032, 1.5 percent on security and 5 percent on military by 2032.

This was demanded under the strong recommendation of the United States, while the United States implied that countries that would not reach would not be able to get American protection.

There are also differences within NATO. Eastern European countries will take the initiative to increase military spending because of the imminent threat of the Russia-Ukraine war. Although other countries will increase military spending and take the initiative to prepare for war, they do not want to spend too much military spending. Germany is an example, while France wants to defend itself.

Europe is indeed preparing for war, but this preparation is, on the one hand, a response to the threat of the Russian-Ukrainian war, on the other hand, is the demand of the United States, NATO is headed by the United States, the United States has no money, hopes that European countries pay for protection, not pay for protection, this is the naked threat.

In fact, European countries are soon without money, Europe supports Ukraine almost empty inventory, some even active equipment has aided Ukraine, but Ukraine is a bottomless hole, when the war will stop no one knows if Europe and the United States will always help.

The EU and the United States have already provided Ukraine $400 billion, which is twice the GDP of Ukraine, and Europe, although wealthy, can¡¯t afford this twist, starting in 2025, Europe has reduced its aid to Ukraine.

As a result, Ukraine¡¯s performance on the battlefield was even worse, and even the pensions for the dead soldiers were paid in part, but the news that Zelensky deposited $50 million a month to the Saudi bank was also false.

After Trump came to power, he was unwilling to provide free aid to Ukraine again, and therefore made great efforts to promote reconciliation, but the Russian and Ukrainian sides because of the differences in interests are too large, it is impossible to compromise at the negotiating table, and since it is not possible to negotiate, then it can only be knocked down.

As long as a war exists, it will inevitably go wrong. Ukraine's performance on the battlefield is getting worse and worse. It has always hoped that NATO will end up, but NATO is just unwilling. The United States has also made it clear that it will not directly participate in the war. Under normal circumstances, the Russia-Ukraine war will not expand.

But war is like this. There are many uncertainties and no one knows what will happen in the future. If Russian missiles or drones enter the airspace of NATO countries again, it is not impossible for NATO to be forced to participate in the war due to mutual defense clauses. This is also an important reason for Europe to prepare for war¡£

You can't use it, but you can't help but prepare.

This is what Vucic calls public preparation, because Serbia is the only country in Europe that is unwilling to impose sanctions on Russia, and thus becomes alien to Europe.

Around Serbia are all NATO member states, Kosovo and NATO troops.

In March, Croatia, Albania and Kosovo signed a trilateral defence agreement that agreed to jointly tackle regional security threats and develop national defence technology.

This is a clear threat to Serbia, and in Serbia¡¯s eyes, Kosovo is part of Serbia, not an independent state, and is not eligible to sign similar agreements with other countries, which completely undermines regional peace.

The relationship between Kosovo and Serbia has not been completely resolved. It is currently in a state of hostility. Kosovo has declared independence. Without NATO, Serbia would have fought. With NATO, Serbia would not dare to fight, but Serbia will never let Kosovo become independent. This is a fuse that could be detonated at any time.

Serbia is still a few countries in Europe, whileining friendly relations with China and Russia, is also seen as alternative, the pressure faced by Vucic is very large, the Kosovo issue has NATO in it, it is difficult to solve, NATO is inclined to Kosovo, split Serbia.

In addition to this, there are a series of internal problems in Serbia, with anti-government demonstrations in August this year in Serbia, injuring hundreds of people, and President Vucic clearly accused foreign forces of planning demonstrations to try to overthrow the government.

This is the color revolution, and it goes without saying who is behind it.

Under these circumstances, Serbia¡¯s preparations for battle and parades are all intended to deter the enemy at home and abroad, to strengthen national cohesion, the preparation for battle is normal, but preparation does not mean that there will be war, the Russian-Ukrainian war will not be expanded at the moment, Kosovo will not be a serious conflict, but how it will develop in the future is not known.

Especially in the current circumstances of the outbreak of a trade war between the two countries, apart from the absence of a hot war, all kinds of struggles are ongoing, and it does not rule out that individual countries are taking risks, and there is no harm in preparing for a war.