[Global Times Report Reporters Xing Xiaojing Chen Qingqing Yu Wen] Japan's New Komeito Party Leader Tetsuo Saito announced after holding talks with the new Liberal Democratic Party President Takashi Saito on the 10th that he would withdraw from the ruling alliance with the Liberal Democratic Party. The collapse of the "Self-Government Alliance" that has been cooperating for 26 years shocked Japanese politics. Saito expressed dissatisfaction at a press conference after the talks, saying that without receiving a satisfactory answer from the Liberal Democratic Party on rectifying the "black gold politics" issue, electoral cooperation between the two parties will be temporarily suspended, and in the subsequent election of the Prime Minister in the National Assembly, no vote will be given to the Liberal Democratic Party candidate. Kyodo News said that the Komeito Party joined the ruling coalition in October 1999, ending a quarter-century history of joint governance. If the Komeito Party withdraws immediately, the Liberal Democratic Party will become a separate ruling party, which will be a heavy blow to Takashi Saami, who is about to face the election of the prime minister by name. Further political turmoil in Japan is inevitable. Some analysts believe that because the Liberal Democratic Party currently holds far less than half of the seats in the House of Representatives, the opposition parties may propose a unified candidate in the prime minister's named election to achieve regime change.

¡°Temporary Zero¡±

According to a report by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun on the 10th, the leaders of the two parties held talks in the National Assembly for about one and a half hours that day, and the secretaries general of both sides attended the meeting together. After the talks, Tetsuo Saito made it clear to the press group: "Regarding the self-government alliance, it will be temporarily zeroed and the relationship so far will be drawn."

Takaichi sanae was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party on October 4th, and later called on Tetsuo Saito. "Nihon Keizai Shimbun" said that Saito expressed three concerns to the Liberal Democratic Party during the party leader meeting on the 4th: the issue of "black gold politics"; Historical cognitive issues including visiting the Yasukuni Shrine; Excessive exclusion of foreigners. When they met again on the 7th, the two sides basically reached a consensus on historical cognition and foreigners' policy, but the issue of "black gold politics" became an unsolved case. Kyodo News said that the Komeito Party asked the Liberal Democratic Party to strengthen the supervision of political donations from enterprises and groups and find out the truth of the factional withdrawal incident, but the differences between the two sides failed to be bridged. The Komeito Party believes that the Liberal Democratic Party has not made enough efforts to eliminate distrust.

Zidane said on the 10th that the self-government party believes that the faction withdrawal case "is resolved", "it is far from the view of the people, and the restoration of political trust is difficult to".

The Komeito Party issued a document in official website on the 10th, saying that it is necessary to restore political trust at the moment, and called on the Liberal Democratic Party to thoroughly investigate the truth of "black money politics". The article quoted party leader Saito as saying that the public opinion reflected in last year's House of Representatives election, this year's Metropolitan Assembly election and Senate election was obviously a severe trial of the Liberal Democratic Party's "black money politics". Now it is questionable whether the Liberal Democratic Party really sincerely and humbly responds to the anger and disappointment of the people.

According to the Japan News Agency, Sanae Takaichi expressed dissatisfaction with the Komeito Party's decision to the press corps at the Liberal Democratic Party headquarters on the 10th: "It is very regrettable that the other party unilaterally conveyed the decision to leave the alliance." She also said that Saito had said that "no matter who the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election elects, the result will be the same".

The Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party have formed a ruling coalition since 1999, and have been in power together for 22 years. From 2009 to 2012, they still maintained a cooperative relationship when they jointly became opposition parties.

Can Takashi Saami become Prime Minister

The break-up of the ¡°Society of the People¡± will first affect the possibility of Ho Chi Minh to become Prime Minister of Japan. The current Prime Minister Shapro Mou announced his resignation as Chairman of the People¡¯s Party on September 7, which also means that he will resign as Prime Minister. According to the procedure, the newly elected Chairman of the People¡¯s Party, Ho Chi Minh, will also need to be nominated as Prime Minister through the interim Congress to officially become Prime Minister. The House of Representatives of the Japanese Congress has a total of 465 seats, and in the House of Representatives elections last October, the People¡¯s Party took over 191 seats. The Senate of Japan has a total of 248 seats, and after the July elections this year, the ¡°Society of the People¡± has a total of 122

"Nihon Keizai Shimbun" and other media analysts said that as a result, there will be variables whether the Liberal Democratic Party president can be successfully elected in the prime minister's named election. At present, the prime minister's named election originally scheduled to be held on the 15th of this month is expected to be postponed until after the 20th. The difficulty of the Liberal Democratic Party reaching a cooperation agreement with the main opposition party is one of the main reasons for the postponement of the election. The Asahi Shimbun commented that Congress will fall into an extremely complicated situation. Although the possibility is low, judging from the number of seats, there is even a possibility that Takashi Saami will not be elected as the new prime minister.

Tetsuo Saito said on the 10th that in the future, the Komeito Party "will not blindly adopt an opposing stance" against the Liberal Democratic Party in Congress, but will make judgments based on specific policy content. Regarding the election of the prime minister by name, the Komeito Party will vote for Saito himself in the first round of the election.

Will trigger three major impacts

A Chinese scholar, who did not want to be named, told the Global Times reporter on the 10th that the impact of this political change on Japanese politics can be seen from three aspects. First of all, it had the greatest impact on the Liberal Democratic Party, and the breakdown of the "self-public alliance" undoubtedly shaken the basic power map of the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan's political structure.

Second, the influence on the Communist Party is equally far-reaching. The reason why the Communist Party can cooperate with the Communist Party for a long time is because the Communist Party has always existed in the middle, pragmatic line of power, the two sides have a greater space for cooperation in the fields of finance, economy, diplomacy and so on. But this time, the approach of the Communist Party is clearly angered by the Communist Party. The direct source of the division is the personnel arrangements within the Communist Party, the high city appointed a member of the Parliament who has been involved in political donation scandals to serve as a senior official of the Communist Party, causing the Communist Party strong dissatisfaction. The political basis of the Communist Party is weak, there is no independent faction, mainly relying on the support

The third impact is the impact on political stability. Interaction between Japan's opposition parties has become increasingly frequent, and the leader of the Constitutional Democratic Party, Yoshihiko Noda, and the leader of the National Democratic Party, Yuichiro Tamaki, are all interested in promoting unity. Noda even said that in order to prevent Takashi from becoming prime minister, he could support Tamaki. If this alliance of opposition parties takes shape, new changes will occur in the balance of power in Congress.

In addition, the new changes could disrupt Japan's current political agenda. There are reports that U.S. President Trump plans to visit Japan on the 28th of this month, and the prime minister's named election scheduled for the 20th is likely to be postponed. If a new prime minister is hastily produced and Trump's visit, the pressure on all parties will be more complicated. This series of chain reactions has brought Japanese politics into a rare stage of turmoil and uncertainty.