One wave is unsettled, another wave rises again.
I have to say that the great changes in Japanese politics are really round after round.
On October 4th, the 64-year-old High City Morning Sun was officially elected president of the Democratic Party. In fact, she became Japan's new prime minister and Japan's first female prime minister.
The Prime Minister of Japan is not directly elected by voters. Instead, it is nominated by political parties and voted by members of Congress.
At present, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan is the largest party in the National Assembly and has formed a ruling alliance with the Komeito Party. Therefore, for more than a decade, the president of the Liberal Democratic Party has been the Prime Minister of Japan.
Now, although takaichi sanae has become the president of the Liberal Democratic Party, I'm afraid he will face new variables if he wants to become prime minister.
On the 10th, Tetsuo Saito, leader of Japan's Komeito Party, announced that, Withdraw from the ruling coalition with the Democratic Party.This means the end of the 26 years of self-confidence declared alliance, and this situation will also put the "prime minister's dream" of the high market in danger of being broken.
It is that on October 15th, the Japanese parliament will hold a prime minister nomination election, and currently the Japanese parliament has a number of elections. 465 seats, with more than half of the votes, that is, at least 233 votes to become Prime Minister.
But at present, the Democratic Party has 196 seats in Congress, while the Communist Party has 24 seats, and now the Communist Party withdraws from the governing coalition, and said it will not cast votes to the High Market, which means that the Democratic Party will be difficult to reach 233 votes, regardless of which party is left.
As a result, even if he became the chairman of the self-government party, it was difficult to nominate a prime minister.
As for the Komeito Party's withdrawal from the political alliance and said it would not vote for Takashi Zaomiao There are three main reasons:
First, the superficial reason is that the Komeito Party believes that the Liberal Democratic Party's "black gold" problem has not been "satisfactorily resolved."And deeply caught in the wave of the ex-government chairman Yoshinata Guoqiu was also appointed as the self-government party's chief executive officer by the high market, which also made the party dissatisfied and worried that the "black gold" wave would be impacted;
Second, after he became the chairman of the Democratic Party,The arrangement of former Japanese Prime Minister Matsushitao and his wife Suzuki Juno as vice-president and chief executive officer separately, this move was accused by the Japanese media as a "second Matsushita regime", and believes that the high market may become a "crab", this situation also sparked concerns and dissatisfaction of the Communist Party;
Third, Takashi Saami is a typical right-wing politician in Japan.Always being "warned" by the Communist Party, as early as last year when the general election of the Democratic Party, the Communist Party has spoken out, saying that if the high-ranking prime minister is elected, it will withdraw from the political alliance with the Communist Party, with the reason that: “The Communist Party will not form a coalition government with any party that does not agree with its moderate conservative policies.”
But nowadays, the high-ranking prime minister has taken office as president of the self-government party, although he has taken some mitigation measures, but has not been able to remove the concerns and concerns of the self-government party, and the self-government political coalition has naturally gone to a breakdown.
In addition, from becoming the first female prime minister in Japan's history, to now sparking the breakdown of the self-government coalition, the arrival of the high market early is not easy.
It is known, In 1993, he officially entered the political sphere, and was greatly promoted by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at the time, and was once viewed by the outside world as an "Abe Girl".
In July 2022, after Abe was assassinated, Sanae Takaichi made a high-profile declaration that he would "Inheriting Abe's will"Three times in a row, he participated in the general election of the President of the Self-Democratic Party, losing for the first time to岸田文雄, losing for the second time to石破茂, and the third time if willing to pay, took the throne of the President.
It can be predicted that the official taking of the office of High Market Early Sumo has already triggered a sharp shake in Japanese politics, if officially appointed as prime minister, it is not allowed to bring more variables and turmoil to Japan's internal and international community.
Finally, let’s talk about 3 points.
1. At present, the eight characters are not yet in the end. Whether the election can be passed by the prime minister's name will be a key step in determining whether Takashi Saami can start a "prime minister's career."
After all, the withdrawal of the Communist Party and the clear statement that it will not support high-market early sunset, has been a big problem for high-market early sunset, and the other opposition parties in Japan will not easily let the self-government party and high-market early sunset as they want to pay off.
Therefore, since the Komeito Party announced its withdrawal, Japanese politics will usher in a new round of fierce turmoil, and greater chaos may be ahead.
The frequent "change of people" of Japanese prime ministers has been enough to show that the situation in Japan today is not optimistic, and the huge crisis faced internally.For example, economic, inflation, social and other crises are quite severe, and it is not easy to clean up this bunch of "dirt."
Therefore, even if Sanae Takaichi becomes the Japanese Prime Minister as he wishes, he is not sure how long he can work. It is not ruled out that like Shigeru Ishiba, Kishida and others, he will also face a "voluntary resignation" ending.
3, more worrying is that from the election of the president of the self-government party to the announcement of the withdrawal of the party, the United States, which has always had close relations with Japan, has not made a clear response, and is in a "stance of silence".
However, when Trump met with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba not long ago, he didn't even remember Shigeru Ishiba's name, just called him Mr. Japan,From this point of view, The U.S. doesn’t seem to care who will be Japan’s prime minister, because no matter who is Japan’s prime minister, it will only be the head of the United States.
Of course, Takaichi Sanae has different opinions from Shigeru Ishiba, Kishida and others, and Takaichi Sanae has made anti-American remarks many times. If he really takes office, it may also bring new changes to US-Japan relations.
In short, regardless of the follow-up, the key now is whether the prime minister can nominate the prime minister through the election, otherwise everything will be out of discussion.
Next, let's see how the situation develops.