In this world, plans are always unable to catch up with change.The sophisticated design of politics is often opposed to the rough face of reality.
Originally, if nothing went wrong, the female president of the Liberal Democratic Party, Takashi Saami, would become Japan's first female prime minister. However, an accident still occurred. A fire broke out in the backyard of Zaomiao in Gaoshi, and a major setback occurred in her career as a female prime minister.
The Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party collapsed.
The consequences were serious, on October 10, the Angry Party of the Communist Party withdrew from the two-party alliance.
To know, since 1999, the Self-Democratic Party and the Communist Party have always been Lord I and I, forming a governing coalition, even though in the field between 2009 and 2012, the two parties also harmonized.
The company has also repeatedly emphasized that "self-government is the most fundamental cornerstone."
Why talk collapse?
The Komeito Party was deeply disappointed and highly vigilant against takaichi sanae.
Regarding Takashi Haraimu's administration, Tetsuo Saito, the leader of the Komeito Party, raised three major concerns:
1. Political and monetary issues;
2) historical knowledge issues, including visiting the Yakuza Shrine;
3. Excessive xenophobia against foreigners.
Or, more simply, the Communist Party put forward three conditions: not to reuse Black Kim politicians, not to worship the Yogyakarta sanctuary, and not to exclude foreigners.
It is all very targeted.
Everybody knows that High-Stock Morning Fury generally denies the history of the Second World War, and also frequently visits the Yakuza Shrine, which has been strongly criticized by neighbors such as China and Korea and Japanese progressive people.
After negotiations, High Market Early Shima should have made concessions on the second and third issues, such as Yogyakarta, if she really took office as Japanese prime minister, it is estimated that she would not personally visit.
The biggest problem lies in the first one, the black gold politician problem.
The Communist Party has always been the image of a clean political party, but the support rate has also declined in the past, and it believes that the main reason is the self-government party's black money politics.
Therefore, according to the requirements of Komeito Party, it is necessary to improve the transparency of political donations and narrow the scope of political groups that can accept political donations.
However, the high-ranking side was cautious, believing that the move could have an impact on local lawmakers.
In addition, Takashi Saami also appointed former Abe faction and former political director Koichi Hagiko Tada as acting secretary-general of the Liberal Democratic Party. This person has been involved in black gold scandals many times, which has further exacerbated the uneasiness and dissatisfaction of the Komeito Party.
Eventually the negotiations broke.
Sometimes, the strongest alliance is not defeated by external pressure, but arises from internal cracks that cannot be filled.
26 years of marriage.
Sigh, sigh!
Cao市早苗 had not yet officially taken office and disbanded the ruling coalition.
26 years of hard work, this destroyed once,, the fragile nature of political commitments.
What next?
According to the agenda of the self-government party, the provisional congress of Japan was convened on October 15th, so that Cao市早苗 succeeded Shizoku and officially became the new prime minister of Japan.
But now that the Self-Government League becomes its own palace, this schedule will definitely be postponed.
For Japan’s domestic diplomacy, there is no doubt that this is an alarm.
Remember, just this October, there are a few very important diplomatic nodes:
The ASEAN Summit was held in Malaysia on October 26.
Trump is expected to visit Japan by October 28.
The APEC Summit was held in South Korea on October 31.
The Japanese prime minister will attend and have a series of important diplomatic meetings.
These days will not be rescheduled. If Japan's new prime minister is not elected, he will not be able to appear on the international stage; if he is just elected, it means that it will be very hasty.
Looking at the pattern of Japanese politics, the House of Representatives, which has final decision-making power over the prime minister, has a total of 465 seats, of which the Self-Democratic Party has 196 and the Public Party has 24.
Then several possibilities cannot be ruled out.
1, the self-government party is looking for new partners, various interests exchange interests, and high-market early-size elected the first female prime minister of Japan, is still very hopeful.
2. The opposition parties unite to form a super ruling coalition, and sanae takaichi's dream of being a female prime minister will be in naught for the time being.
3, the parties are still playing each other, considering that the self-government party is still the first largest party in the House of Representatives, although not more than half, but high-market early sen still struggle to take office as prime minister.
In any case, in recent days, all sorts of conspiracy in Japanese politics, everything is in the deal, everything is possible.
The collusion on the political stage is often merely a combination of power and interest.
But Each of them has one common feature: instability.
The Japanese government that emerged in this way must be very unstable.
Specific to the first option, the Liberal Democratic Party does not rule out finding far-right organizations such as the Reform Association. The other party's policies are more radical, and some Liberal Democratic Party have headaches.
The second option, the anti-Liberal Democratic Party coalition, has various policy propositions and is even more opposite. If it is not ruled out that there is a quarrel on a certain issue, the tree will fall and the hozen will scatter.
In the third option, the Liberal Democratic Party is constrained everywhere, and the first one is very humbled, and it certainly won't last long.
In the next few years, we will be witnessing a disastrous Japan.
Speaking of it, among the seven western countries, the Japanese Prime Minister, the British Prime Minister, the Italian Prime Minister and the French Prime Minister have all achieved high efficiency in recent years.
Japan once came out of independence, Shinzo Abe long-term rule, it was a miracle. but after Shinzo Abe came down, Japanese politics soon returned to normal,菅义伟, shorea文雄,石破茂, plus the next 5 years at least 4 prime ministers, the horse lights change.
The clock of history always rolls back and forth between stability and unrest, with no eternal exceptions.
Even if Takashi Takashi became Japan's female prime minister, considering the current challenges in Japan and the extremely controversial nature of herself and her policies, it would be an achievement for her to be in power for one year, a miracle for her to be in power for two years, and three years...
You might really think too much.
Shame, you sing, I appear; it is absurd, in the end, to make marriage clothes for others.
This myriad floating world is just a drama of reincarnation. The characters change, but the scripts are often similar.