In the early hours of U.S. time, the Nobel Peace Prize list was announced. When Trump woke up, the White House would roar again.

This year's Nobel Peace Prize winner is Venezuelan opposition politician Maria Machado, who has long been mindful of Trump's winning the prize, eventually falling alone.

This result is actually not surprising. First of all, it's a procedural issue. Strictly according to the rules, the Nobel Prize Committee only recognizes nominations received before January 31st every year, while Trump just took office on January 31st this year, when no one nominated him for the Nobel Peace Prize.

Of course, there are exceptions to this rule. Obama came to power in January 2009 and received the Nobel Peace Prize in October of that year, citing "in recognition of his extraordinary efforts to enhance international diplomacy and cooperation among peoples"-as for who nominated Obama in less than two weeks, no one knows.

That¡¯s why Trump has made his best this year to think about the Sunno Prize: in his opinion, Obama, who ¡°does nothing¡± since he can win, has no reason not to win.

In order to win the Nobel Prize, Trump proclaimed everywhere that he had "solved seven conflicts", including Israel and Iran, Pakistan and India, Rwanda and Congo, Thailand and Cambodia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Egypt and Ethiopia, and Serbia and Kosovo.

But in fact, most of the settlement of these conflicts has nothing to do with Trump himself, only that the two sides would have stopped, after which Trump initiated, or that the parties initiated to "pay money" to Trump's face, and pleased Trump.

On October 8, Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, which is widely regarded as an important step towards ending the conflict in Gaza.While the agreement has not yet entered the actual implementation phase, Trump has insisted he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize this year.

He also threatened that if he did not win the prize, it would be a ¡°great insult to America.¡±

However, the Nobel Prize Committee did not flinch. The day before the announcement of the Peace Prize candidates, the Norwegian Nobel Institute issued a statement saying that the Nobel Prize Committee had held its last meeting on October 6th and completed the "final polishing work".

There are five members of the Nobel Prize Committee, which usually makes a decision days or even weeks before the official announcement of the winners, and holds the last confirmation meeting before the official announcement.

Speaking about the possibility of Trump winning the Nobel Prize, Nobel laureate Asler Swin said that despite an agreement between Israel and Hamas on October 8, it ¡°does not have any impact on the outcome of this year¡¯s Nobel Prize winners¡± as ¡°the final list of winners has long been determined.¡±

He added: ¡°Trump won¡¯t win this year, I¡¯m 100% sure.¡±

But this doesn't mean that Trump has no chance at all. In the past six months, Israel, Pakistan and Cambodia have submitted three letters of recommendation to the Nobel Prize Committee, nominating Trump for the Peace Prize. So Trump is still likely to win the prize next year.

In addition to procedural issues, the political spectrum of Nobel Committee members, as well as personal resentment of Trump, are also important reasons to hinder Trump from winning the prize.

Generally speaking, the Nobel Committee¡¯s political stance does not affect the majority of science awards, but this is quite evident in literature and peace awards.

According to public reports, at least three of the five judges currently in the Nobel Committee have publicly criticized Trump, for example, at the end of last year, the chairman of the committee, Frederick Friednes, has criticized Trump ¡°for 100 or more verbal attacks on the media during the campaign.¡±

Another judge of the Nobel Prize Committee, Clemet, said on social media in May this year: "Trump began to disintegrate the American * and destroy the rules-based international order just over 100 days after taking office."

The third member, Gerry Larsen, once criticized the Make America Great Again (Maga) movement and criticized the Trump administration's decision to reduce foreign aid.

The remaining two members have no clear history of opposition to Trump, and one has written an article sympathetic to Trump's legal difficulties during Biden's administration (four lawsuits)-but that's all.

Trump also knows very well that people in the Nobel Prize Committee don't like themselves, so in addition to publicizing his so-called achievements in "resolving seven conflicts" everywhere, he also hopes to achieve his goal by putting pressure on the Norwegian government.

In August this year, some Norwegian media broke the news that Trump had called former NATO Secretary General and current Norwegian Finance Minister Stoltenberg. While the two sides discussed the tariff issue, Trump also offered to "win this year's Nobel Peace Prize and hope this old friend will help himself operate it".

But in the end, what Trump has done in the past six months has run counter to the spirit of the Nobel Peace Prize, including all kinds of withdrawals from groups and breaking contracts, launching tariff wars against the whole world, threatening to seize Canada, Greenland and the Panama Canal, ordering troops to enter American cities, etc.-If the Nobel Peace Prize is really awarded to Trump, what credit can this prize have?