Just as we celebrated the National Day, Putin celebrated his 73rd birthday. Many national leaders, including Mr. Kim on the Peninsula, including Modi, sent him a birthday greeting. Putin was happy, spent his birthday at work; and after his birthday, he continued to run and be busy.

Let's skip what he did specifically. Let's just look at the three sentences he said, which reflect Russia's attitude and observation on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, its relations with neighboring countries, and the world situation.

Picture of Putin.

First: Putin said that Russia has full strategic initiative on the battlefield, which he said at an important meeting in Russia, and that it was also a blow to the soldiers of the front, to the people.

Although it now has a value-added tax of 22%, and the domestic interest rate in Russia is 21%, all these are very high. On the economic front, oil-although it is an oil-producing country, gasoline and diesel are in short supply and have begun to import.

But on the battlefield, Putin believes that he has complete strategic initiative. He said that from 2025 to October, a total of 5,000 square kilometers of land was captured. Of course, the word he used was not called "capture" but "liberation". At the same time, 212 settlements were captured from Ukraine. This is what he said to complete the initiative on the battlefield, cheer up the front, and let the outside world see that Russia can still fight.

The second word, is related to the neighboring countries: Putin apologized. The object of apology is Azerbaijan. On December 25, last year, when an Azerbaijani aircraft was flying over Russia, the aircraft was a bit of a problem, and later forced landing in Mongolia, more than 60 people on the aircraft had 30 people died, miraculously many survived, that captain was put on the ground, it is really not easy.

President of Azerbaijan Aliyev

At the time, many said that it was the problem of the aircraft itself, the Russian missiles shot down, and Russia then refused to apologize. Now Putin apologized. He told the leader of Azerbaijan that there were indeed several aircraft in the sky at the time - at least three Ukrainian drones, Russian missiles hit the Ukrainian drone, the missile debris exploded, had an impact on the aircraft.

This explanation should be said to be quite credible. After all, Putin won't come and make up lies: because if the missile hits directly, the plane will land; It should be that fragments of the missile flew over, and the explosion affected it, causing problems with the plane. Putin also said that at that time, we wanted it to land in Russia, but it didn't land and had to go somewhere else.

Putin also said that the case was to be legally investigated by the persons involved. This gave his younger brother, the younger brother of the time, an affair. This affair also highlighted some of his reluctance to neighbors. How could Putin apologize to him in those years, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, these are all Russian boys?

But times have changed, and the surrounding brothers have different thoughts: even the cooperation agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia was signed by Trump in Washington on August 8. How can Putin endure this? After more than three years of conflict with Ukraine, Russia's influence and prestige in the surrounding areas have been seriously reduced.

Neutral countries like Sweden and Finland joined NATO; Armenia, which is so close to Russia, is also very disappointed with its eldest brother, and the domestic anti-Russian sentiment is high; This is especially true in Azerbaijan-Azerbaijan is rich in oil and gas resources and wants to bring in the United States to make more money here.

At this point, Putin had to bow his head down and apologize to the older brother for the relatively equal of his younger brother.

The third point is that he expressed his views on the situation in the Middle East. He said the situation in the Middle East must be resolved through political means. This is very correct, and there is no problem. But he is rare and does not say anything special to praise Trump: Trump's "20-point plan" logically forced Hamas and Israel to sign an alliance, and he should boast that Trump was right.

The picture shows Trump

At this time he did not praise Trump, but emphasized the political solution. The emphasis on the political solution also shows that Putin-Russia's influence on the Middle East situation has diminished, compared with three years ago five years ago. The Syrian regime collapsed, Assad fled to Russia, not knowing what Assad now thinks in Russia, and wanting to see Putin on the side is probably harder than going to the sky.

Russia has just signed an important cooperation agreement with Iran. Although it does not include military cooperation, when Iran was attacked by Israel and the United States in July and August, Putin only said a few superficial words and did not say what action to take, which also disappointed Iran very much.

Therefore, sum up these three sentences: Putin believes that he has the initiative on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield, but the overall economic situation of Ukraine and Russia is under great pressure, which he does not say.

He apologized to Azerbaijan, which showed that deep down he was no longer the eldest brother with absolute authority towards some of his surrounding partners. It was not easy for him to apologize at this time; and finally, when he said that the Middle East issue was "politically resolved," it also showed that Russia's influence here was decreasing day by day.