Before you read this article, please click on "Attention", which is both convenient for you to discuss and share, but can bring you a different sense of participation, thank you for your support!
Edited by: Larry Ring
You can't reunite a broken mirror,
And some relationships, once there are cracks, are often difficult to repair, but instead grow bigger.
Today, this is the relationship between Putin and Chechen Kadyrov.
After Putin opted for a temporary concession, Kadrov, who had already revealed his teeth, not only did not take his hand, but instead went more and more forward.
How will Putin react?
1. Push your luck
As early as many years ago, many netizens made an accurate definition of Kadyrov in Chechnya, the Russian version of An Lushan.
For no other reason, Putin spoils the Kadyrov family too much!
Not only is the family allowed to grasp the military and political power of Chechnya for a long time, but it also gives Chechnya great preferential treatment.
As a subordinate republic of Russia, Chechnya not only does not have to pay taxes to the Russian central government, but also receives huge subsidies from the Kremlin every year!
In addition to diplomacy, Chechnya enjoys almost completely independent state power!
In such a situation, if nothing happens, there will be a ghost!
The Russia-Ukraine war has become a catalyst for the head-on conflict between Chechnya and the Kremlin!
Because Russia's performance in this war was too lax, coupled with the tight situation on the front line, the Kremlin had to urgently transfer directly under the jurisdiction of the Caucasus region, and the complete annihilation of the Black Sea Fleet all made Russia's control over the Caucasus region greatly compromised!
And that gives Caldwell a chance!
Since April this year, Katrov has cited his serious illness and hoped that Putin can make his son Aaron the new successor to Chechnya.
Putin is unacceptable!
After all, in addition to Chechnya, Russia has more than 20 member republics, and if Kadrov becomes a father-death successor, will Russia not become a god?
So, Putin firmly refused, and then Chechnya turned his face!
Since May, Chechnya has had a thrilling contest with the Kremlin!
Kadyrov not only urgently transferred back Chechen soldiers on the front line, but also openly declared that Chechnya was an independent country!
Putin did not want to be outdone. He urgently dispatched troops to nearby Chechnya and introduced the "Law on Principles of Local Self-Government Organizations" in an attempt to reduce Chechnya's armed forces by giving more economic benefits.
In the end, because both sides had their own concerns, they re-compromised before preventing confrontation, and in June this year, with the eager meeting between Aaron and Putin, it temporarily came to an end.
But everyone knows that today's reconciliation is only falsehood and serpentlessness, and both sides are immortal!
Don't talk about Putin's promise, Prigozhin's lessons from the past, Kadyrov can see clearly!
No, recently, Kadyrov has been acting as a demon again,
In late September, Kadrov launched a “city name change bill”.
To change Chechnya’s Chernovotskoy, Cherkovskaya, and Telskaia to the local names of Chechnya, it was obvious that it was going to be Russian.
In the meantime, Kadrov was again on social media. He violently criticized Russian Airborne Commander Vladimir Shamanov, who participated in the two Chechen wars, and thought he should be sent to a military court!
Because Shamanov not only attacked Chechen rebels hard in the past Chechen wars, but also did not care about the casualties of Chechen civilians at all.
Moreover, in today's Russian state society, Shamanov is also one of the very few political opponents who openly oppose Kadyrov.
But the question is, do you have a local government leader touching the finger of the central major, is this really okay?
Doesn't Putin want to say a few words about this?
Putin’s apology
The so-called political strongman doesn't mean that he only knows how to be tough. On the contrary, he wants to stay in politics for a long time, assess the situation, and be patient and restrained are the real compulsory courses.
Putin is one of the best players.
No, in the face of Kadyrov's push for an inch, Putin did not give any response, but chose to remain silent.
Of course, the silence here does not mean that Putin will do nothing, but that he will solve the problem in a more rational way.
In what way?
The answer is apology.
But don't get me wrong, Putin is definitely not apologizing to Chechnya, but to Azerbaijan.
The story begins in 2024, when on December 25, a passenger plane flying from Baku, Azerbaijan to Russia, crashed in the vicinity of Akku, Kazakhstan, killing dozens of people!
According to a post-mortem investigation, the technology was most likely attacked by Russian air defense systems.
In addition, the contradiction between Azerbaijan and Russia has a long history. For example, after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Russia has long supported Armenia's control of the Nagorno-Karabakh region.
For another example, Azerbaijan's energy has always been able to only be sold to Russia at low prices.
All of this makes Azerbaijan full of anger at Russia.
Similarly, after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine War, Azerbaijan also keenly realized that Russia's power was declining and seized the opportunity to blitz Naka in September 2023 under Russia's nose! And won a big victory!
To put it bluntly, if Russia hadn't been deeply involved in the Russo-Ukrainian war at that time and couldn't get rid of it, it would have dealt with Azerbaijan a long time ago.
Similarly, after this World War I, Azerbaijan also saw clearly Russia's external strength and inner weakness, and became more bold.
The air crash at the end of 2024 just gave both sides an excuse to publicly fall out!
But surprisingly, Azerbaijan has turned its face to Russia, but Armenia, the little brother Russia has always covered up, has jumped up with its old wicked Azerbaijan!
In early August 2025, after leaving the Russian-led CIS, Azerbaijani President Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan met at the White House and signed a peace agreement under Trump’s auspices.
In this agreement, in order to hug the thigh of the United States, the two countries also agreed to grant the United States the lease rights to develop a 42-kilometer-long transportation corridor called the "Trump Bridge", allowing the United States to legitimately extend its hands into the Transcaucasian region.
Iran is defending!
As for Putin, after assessing the situation, he decided to take the initiative to apologize to Azerbaijan for peace.
On October 9, Putin met with Azerbaijani President Aliyev in the capital of Tajikistan and apologized to him for the air crash last year.
Aliyev also expressed interest in thanking Putin and said:
Relations between the two countries are developing well not only in the economic and trade field, but in many fields, especially in the rapid development of bilateral trade.
Although it will still take time for the relations between the two countries to be restored to normal, at least a partial reconciliation has been achieved temporarily and will not really become mortal enemies.
How much does Putin’s apology mean to Russia?
3. Plan the overall situation
If we say: What lessons has the Russo-Ukrainian war brought to Russia, then the more important one should be: Those who do not plan for the overall situation are not enough to plan for a corner.
If Putin had not underestimated the West excessively before the war in 2022, but had cut off Ukraine's access to the outside world early, the Russia-Ukraine war would not have been fought until today.
After suffering a big loss, Putin finally began to think overall when facing Chechnya and the entire Caucasus region.
In the Caucasus and the outer Caucasus, there are only four powers worthy of Russian attention, namely Georgia, Chechnya, Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Armenia's main backer now is Turkey, which poses little threat to Russia.
Well, Georgia has a bad relationship with Russia, but under the heavy surveillance of the Russian army, it is difficult to make trouble without enough external support.
Azerbaijan, despite having had a rough relationship with Russia in the past period, and yelling about joining NATO,
To open the map, Azerbaijan will have to face a cruel reality, too close to Russia and too far from the West.
If it really falls out with Russia, then it will be quite uncomfortable for Russia to just cut off Azerbaijan's external energy channels.
Paradoxically, Azerbaijan is now not only actively closer to the United States, but also to Iran, the Middle East power that has always failed to figure out its position.
In addition, Azerbaijan was originally seized by Tsarist Russia from Iran, and was later established due to the disintegration of the Soviet Union. Now it also serves as a strategic responsibility as a buffer between Russia and Iran.
As a result, Russia cannot easily move its arms against Azerbaijan, but only through political and economic means to secure Azerbaijan’s standing.
A few days ago, Putin's apology to Azerbaijan and the restoration of economic ties between the two sides proved that Putin has done a good job.
In addition to the other countries, there is only Chechnya.
The original Russian definition of Chechnya is that it shook Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia, which is also an important reason why Putin would tweet Kadrov.
Now, the vicinity of Chechnya has once again been stabilized by Putin, and then Kadrov has lost a card.
Of course, this does not mean that Putin's next process of cleaning up Chechnya will be easy.
On the contrary, in the past two or thirty years, the Katerov family has been deeply rooted in Chechnya and has developed many allies in Russia through political coalition.
Today, even Putin wants to break the Kadrov family up and pay a terrible price!
Especially in present-day Russia, when the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has not yet been resolved, for Chechnya, it is estimated that Putin can only be stable.
What about Russia after the end of the war?
Let's wait until it's over!
Conclusion:
In fact, looking back on Putin’s more than 20 years in power, his biggest mistake was not to underestimate Ukraine and the West, but to never really find a way for Russia to develop.
After entering the Kremlin, Putin did use superhuman charm and extraordinary courage to end the chaos in Russia after the disintegration of the Soviet Union and put the country back on track.
Unfortunately, Putin, who bears the heavy burden of history and politics, has not been able to tell the Russians where their country is going, but only to strive to maintain stability.
Now that Putin is old, he can only hope that those young people who have been honed on the battlefield can bring this country to a new future!
Source of Article Information:
Sohu.com: Kadyrov is suspected of breaking up with Putin, saying that Chechnya is a sovereign country and does not allow outsiders to interfere-
Tencent News: After being exposed for "de-Russianization", Kadyrov sued Putin and asked him to punish a major hero of the Russian army
Dahe Daily: A passenger plane in Azerbaijan crashed due to Russian missile fragments, killing 38 people. Putin apologizes: Willing to compensate
Top News: Putin apologized to the President of Azerbaijan and rarely revealed the real reason for the aviation difficulties in Azerbaijan