On October 10, the results of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize selection will be officially announced. After facilitating a first-phase ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, whether Trump will win this year's Nobel Peace Prize has begun to attract attention.

Trump announced on the 8th that after mediation and negotiations between the United States and other countries, Hamas and Israel have agreed to the first phase of a ceasefire

The Norwegian Nobel Committee stated on the 9th that its last meeting before the announcement of the selection results was held on October 6th, which means that the winner has been determined before Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire agreement, and the agreement will not affect the results of this selection. In addition, Trump may not be eligible for the award this year. Nominations for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize closed on January 31, when Trump had just returned to the White House.

The probability of winning the prize is lower, and Trump "rescues" himself

Trump has always expressed unabashed his desire for the Nobel Peace Prize.

In July, it was that Trump called Norwegian Treasury Secretary and former NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg to ask about the Nobel Peace Prize, and that the initial purpose of the call was to discuss tariffs between the United States and Norway.In a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in September, Trump also claimed that he himself ¡°mediated seven wars¡± and ¡°everyone said I deserved the Nobel Peace Prize.¡±

Trump's son Eric called on fans to forward his posts on social media,"if you think Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize." Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's social media account also posted an AI-generated image of "Trump Won the Peace Prize" on the 9th, claiming that Trump was eligible for the award.

Given the timing of the award and the composition of the Nobel Peace Prize independent five-man committee, most Nobel Prize experts and Norwegian observers havely considered the probability of Trump winning the award very small.

Trump¡¯s statement on October 9 seemed to be preparing for an inability to win the prize. He said that ¡°it doesn¡¯t matter¡± if he didn¡¯t win the prize, ¡°they have their own consideration. It doesn¡¯t matter how they decided.¡±

Trump also stressed that what he did was not to win the Nobel Peace Prize, "I did it to save lives."This is what deeply disturbed me about the conflict in Russia - 7,000 people are killed each week, and young soldiers - almost all soldiers in both Ukraine and Russia.

Up to now, four American presidents have won the Nobel Peace Prize, namely Roosevelt, Wilson, Carter and Obama. Trump has long been indignant at Obama's award. On October 9th, Trump also attacked Obama, saying, "After Obama was elected, they awarded him the award because he did nothing but destroy our country."

Obama receives Nobel Peace Prize

In tariff negotiations, Norway worries Trump's "defeat" impact

Norway, on the other hand, began to worry about how Trump would react to his "defeat."

According to reports, the U.S. is currently imposing a 15% tariff on goods exported from Norway to the U.S., which Norway is negotiating with the U.S. On the other hand, 40% of Norwegian sovereign wealth funds are invested in the U.S. After Norway announced the withdrawal of U.S. company Caterpillar, Trump warned that the U.S. was ¡°very upset¡± about this.

Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Eide insisted in an interview on the 3rd that the Norwegian government did not participate in the selection of the Nobel Peace Prize.

Kirsty Bergstow, leader and foreign policy spokesperson of the Socialist Left Party of Norway, said Trump is leading the United States to extremes and so capricious. The Norway government must "make everything ready." Bergstow emphasized that the Nobel Committee is an independent body and the Norway government does not participate in the decision on the award, but it is not sure whether Trump knows this.

The chairman of the Norway Green Party said any move aimed at ending suffering in Gaza was welcome, but a belated agreement would not eliminate the root causes that have spawned violence and division for years.

Nina Gregg, director of the Oslo Peace Institute, believes that it is too early to judge whether the peace agreement between Israel and Hamas will be implemented and bring lasting peace. If the Gaza peace plan ultimately succeeds, it may strengthen Trump's bargaining chip for winning the prize next year.

Many of Trump's policies are accused of running counter to the award standards. Data map

However, she stressed that a series of Trump practices did not meet the requirements for the award.She said that Trump withdrew from international agencies, hoping to take over Greenland, fight Iran¡¯s nuclear program, withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement and cut international humanitarian aid programs such as the U.S. International Development Agency, which are contrary to the criteria of the award, and the committee should distinguish between Trump¡¯s verbal remarks and his practices.

Red Star journalist Fan Xu intern reporter Qing Ying comprehensive CCTV news and others

Editor Zhang Xun

Review by Feng Shui