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The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced at 5 p.m. on October 10 Beijing time, and Trump is confident: I deserve it!That's not over yet, Trump also threatened: If you don't award it to me, you will "insult America"!
Norway is under tremendous pressure! The Nobel Peace Prize was supposed to be a symbol of calm and calm, but now it has been pushed to the forefront of the storm.
Trump says he has ended several conflicts on his own
Trump’s controversial remarks are not momentary, and he has insisted that he ended several conflicts during his tenure and was a key figure in promoting world peace.
Trump even publicly listed the "military exploits": the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, the ice-breaking talks on the Korean Peninsula, and the "peace agreement" initiative with many countries in the Middle East, etc., and went out of trouble to emphasize that "no one in history has solved so many wars like me."
But the question is, how much practical results have these so-called “peace operations” achieved? what are the consequences of the withdrawal? whether the agreement is really grounded? whether the conflict really ends?
American netizens joked that Trump is "the least war-enthusiastic president in history" and emphasized that he did not launch a new war during his first term.
In contrast, almost all previous presidents left their military mark overseas, which does have a market among certain groups in the country.
But the criteria for the Peace Prize are not “who doesn’t fight war,” but “who has made a verifiable and sustainable effort to promote peace.”
More importantly, Trump's "peace proposition" has always been strongly personal. He does not want to believe that the Peace Prize is an recognition of collective efforts, but insists on using it as a reward for individual merit. This way of thinking itself conflicts with the concept behind the Peace Prize.
The Norway Nobel Committee has always prided itself on being "independent without interference," but this time they have to face a real problem: Trump's influence far exceeds that of an ordinary candidate.
A senior Norwegian official privately mourned, saying considering taking sick leave on the award day was a joke, but the anxiety behind it was real.
In Trump’s words, there was a threat: not giving the prize is “disrespect for America,” which is not only a challenge to the rating agency, but also a direct collision with the Norwegian state’s gesture.
What is even more difficult is that there are still a series of practical interests between Norway and the United States. For example, the two countries are currently negotiating a free trade agreement involving sensitive issues such as tariff reductions.
In Norway's sovereign wealth funds, more than 40% of their investments are concentrated in the U.S. market. Once the relationship between the two sides is tense, financial market fluctuations and diplomatic frictions may be inevitable.
This is not a simple question of "political non-interference in awards", but the reality that "politics is already at the door." Although Trump's threat did not state the consequences clearly, his style has always been to "pre-emptive". If he really does not win the prize, no one dares to say whether he will use economic or diplomatic means to "retaliate".
While the Norwegian government has repeatedly emphasized the independence of the prize, under international pressure, any decision could be amplified or even politically interpreted, the awarding of the peace prize, which has long been no longer a mere ceremony, but a game about national positions.
The position of the Nobel Committee: Can independent selection stand the test of reality?
In the face of Trump’s high pressures, the Nobel Committee chose to remain silent, and the committee chairman, Friednes, made it clear that the winner of the Peace Prize had been determined on October 6, when the latest ceasefire agreement on the situation in Israel was a few days away.
The subtitle of this statement is clear: the rating is based on long-term observation and evaluation, rather than looking at who grabs the “head” at the last moment.
In addition, the Norwegian Foreign Ministry has repeatedly made public statements stressing that the government will not interfere in the selection process, which is part of the system design and an important guarantee that Norway has longined the international credibility of the Nobel Prize.
But the core of the problem is not the system, but how the outside world "interprets" the system. Trump does not believe in the term of "pure neutrality."
He never believes in "rules". He only looks at "results". If the results are not in his favor, he will question the rules themselves. This is the real challenge of the Nobel Committee, not only to maintain the fairness of the procedure internally, but also to keep the right to speak in the global public opinion field.
They must convince the world that the award was not decided under diplomatic duress, but the reality is that Trump supporters have already begun creating public opinion on social platforms.
They called the Nobel Prize a “left club” and the committee a “anti-American agency.” If Trump fails, that voice will only get bigger, and they won’t believe it’s an “independent selection” and are more likely to think it’s a “political crackdown.”
Although the Committee's response is firm, it is still unknown whether it can resist the double pressure of public opinion and diplomacy. The original intention of the Nobel Peace Prize is to reward those who promote world peace, but the reality is often more complicated than the ideal.
Trump's strong intervention has plunged this award into an unprecedented political whirlpool. If he wins the award, the authority of the Nobel Prize will face doubts: Will he succumb to power? If he loses the election, Norway may face various "consequences" from the United States.
This is not a simple award, but a multi-faceted controversy about the international order, the position of the country and the manipulation of the public opinion, the Nobel Prize becomes a carrier, deposited by various forces, carried on it, far more than a symbol of peace.
But in the end, the Peace Prize should not be a propaganda tool for a leader, it is a recognition of global efforts, not a reward for individual ambitions, and if the fairness of a prize is to beined by threats, it is not a symbol of peace, but a new “field of battle.”
No matter who wins the award in the end, the political storm experienced by the Nobel Peace Prize has become a mirror of contemporary international relations.
It depicts a question: how much space remains for real “peace” in the day when power and public opinion are intertwined, and whether Trump can win the prize will be answered in a few hours!
References: Observer.com, Elephant News