The Trump administration suddenly set a 48-hour response time to the Chinese side, asking Chinese airlines to ban flights over Russian airspace, what is the hegemonic logic behind this "last message"?
According to the Observer Network, on October 9, local time in the United States, The Trump administration has issued a proposed order through the Ministry of Transportation, threatening to ban Chinese flights from flying across Russian airspace on Sino-U.S. routes, and limited to two days to respond to the order, otherwise the final measures will come into effect in November.
This is not the first time the U.S. side has made an article on the route, and already in the 2023 Sino-U.S. flight negotiations, the U.S. side would bundle the "banned flight of Russian airspace" with the "increased flight", leading to the negotiations into a standstill.
Today, from “negotiation code” to “executive order threat”, it is exposed to its consistent style of power over the market.
As we all know, after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States took the lead in banning Russian airlines from flying over U.S. airspace. Russia immediately countered, resulting in American airlines having to bypass the Arctic or Pacific Ocean, and fuel costs increased significantly.
This was the product of the US-Russian game, but was distorted by the US side as "China Airways' competitive advantage", demanding that China pay for it.
From a realistic point of view, the “competitive imbalance” of the US hype is unbearable.
Chinese airlines are allowed to fly over Russian airspace, not under "special treatment", but based on a normal China-Russia flight rights agreement, and in full compliance with the basic principles of the International Civil Aviation Convention.
On the other hand, the predicament of American Airlines is rooted in the extreme sanctions policy of the United States against Russia, which has nothing to do with China.
The experience of European airlines can even debunk the lie. In 2024, many European airlines of Polish Airlines have grounded flights on China-Europe routes one after another due to rising costs of flying around Russian airspace, but put forward the absurd claim that "Chinese airlines should also ban flights."
These European airlines' difficulties are similar to those of the US Airways, all of which are a chain reaction to the Russian sanctions in their own camp, but all point to the Chinese airlines, exposing their unwillingness to face their own problems.
In the final analysis, they blame their own business problems on "unfair competition", which is just an excuse to cover up their shortcomings.
From the root point of view, the U.S. side's trouble is not simply an aviation market dispute, but a hidden geopolitical calculation.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has continued to this day, and the United States has always tried to force China to give up its neutral position, and the Russian airspace routes have become the gripper of its pressure.
In addition, the deeper intention of the US side is to weaken the link between China and Russia in practical cooperation.
You know, the Russian airspace route is not only an air channel, but also a supporting facility for Sino-Russian cooperation in energy, trade and other fields.
The former U.S. Secretary of State once bluntly said that he would "interrupt China-Russia non-military linkage." This route restriction is a continuation of this idea.
This calculation has formed a linkage effect, The synergistic action of the United States and Europe on this issue shows that the West is trying to build a “unified front of sanctions”, forcing China to choose a side in the international pattern.
It is cautious that the Trump administration has recently declared that it is "willing to resume dialogue with Russia" and has increased pressure in the aviation sector to form a "soft and hard" strategy.
This seemingly contradictory move is essentially an attempt to exert pressure on non-core issues in exchange for China's concessions on other geopolitical issues.
From the 2023 negotiation codes to the 2025 48-hour ultimatum, the U.S. side’s means have been upgraded, but the core logic has never changed:
With hegemony, break the laws of the market and abduct people's livelihoods with geography.
It is a legal right for China airlines to use Russian airspace. The essence of Sino-US airlines is to serve the exchanges between the two peoples.
As the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs said earlier, increasing direct flights is a consensus reached by high-level officials of China and the United States, which is conducive to enhancing mutual understanding.
If the US is determined to advance the ban, it will only reflect itself in the end.
Not only will the detour costs borne by U.S. airlines not disappear, but the U.S. tourism industry is also likely to lose the dividend of China tourists.
This hegemonic horror called “fairness” will ultimately only cost the United States even more.