This article is only published in today's headlines, reprinting is not allowed
After more than two years of conflict in Pakistan, peace has finally arrived.On October 8 local time, U.S. President Donald Trump wrote on his social platform, “Real Social”, Both Israel and Hamas have signed the first phase agreement of their proposed “20-point plan” (the Gaza Peace Plan).
The news has been confirmed by Hamas and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and UN Secretary-General Guterres has also responded. After the agreement was reached, the people of Gaza took to the streets to cheer and celebrate, and Palestinian journalists even went door-to-door to announce the ceasefire agreement, which shows the suffering of the people of Gaza from the war.
According to the first phase of the Gaza peace plan reached between Hamas and Israel, the main contents include the following four points:
The first pointHamas and Israel agree to end the ceasefire.
Second pointIsrael will withdraw its troops under the mediation of Qatar, Egypt and Turkey.
Third pointThe Israeli army has allowed humanitarian aid to enter.
the fourth pointIsrael and Hamas freed each other’s detainees, including the remains.
At present, with mediation between the United States, Qatar, Egypt and Turkey, Israel and Hamas have both recognized the Gaza peace plan, so at least in the short term, a ceasefire in Gaza can be guaranteed.
You may think there will be setbacks, but in fact, this so-called ceasefire agreement is a helpless surrender by Hamas and the Palestinians. It is also a product of Israel's compromise. It is also a strategy of the United States to favor Israel. The reason for this is because the agreement has many ambiguous terms.
The first is to cease fire and fully withdraw Israeli troops.But the agreement only mentions the withdrawal of the Israeli troops to the “agreed border”, and where the “agreed border” is, without mentioning exactly. then this means that Israel can sweep up more land in Gaza, and the so-called full withdrawal of troops will be more than a withdrawal from Gaza City and its surroundings, and most of Gaza will also be occupied by Israel.
It is foreseeable that Israel will inevitably build Jewish settlements on these occupied lands, and it will be basically impossible for Palestinians to regain their territory by then. And Israel can also use this method to encroach step by step and eventually completely annex Gaza. The only difference between this method and the previous one is that it is milder and belongs to "boiling frogs in warm water".
Second, Trump’s “20 Points Plan” (the Gaza Peace Plan) does not explicitly mention the “two-country plan”,That is, no recognition of the right to establish a Palestinian state, only recognition of the establishment of a Palestinian state is the desire of the Palestinian people, and the plan also sees Gaza as a separate entity, not a part of the Palestinian state.
This means that the United States does not recognize the Palestinian State, and the current ceasefire is more achieved under pressure and play by all parties, with neither a lot of binding nor a lot of legal effects. Then Israel can still invade Gaza unscrupulously in the future, or even annex the entire Palestine.
Because you do not exist as a sovereign state, the invasion of the Israeli army is not a natural invasion. Israel can naturally determine the land’s ownership by the “law of the jungle.”
The U.S. New York Times commented that the Palestinian state-building prospects referred to in the Gaza Peace Plan were “distant and vague” and were merely symbolic promises.Malwan Bishara, senior political analyst at Qatar Peninsula TV, said: The U.S. plan is merely a continuation of a series of failed agreements led by the U.S. for decades, which have always paranoid Israel to sacrifice Palestinian interests.”。
There is also a voice that believes that this so-called peace agreement is just a footnote added by Trump for his Nobel Peace Prize.
In the end, Hamas lost its biggest bargaining chip and was completely excluded from Gaza.
Because according to Trump's Gaza peace plan, Hamas must hand over all detained hostages and remains, and all military infrastructure in Gaza will be destroyed and cannot be rebuilt, including underground tunnels. In addition, Hamas and other factions are not allowed to play any role in the governance of Gaza, whether directly or indirectly. In the future, Gaza will be maintained by peacekeeping forces composed of the United States and Arab countries.
In other words, the current peace agreement seems to have been reached, But in fact, it was Hamas’ surrender deal, and Hamas lost everything.Hamas used to have control over Gaza, but now it has no influence. Hamas has lost all its bargaining chips with Israel, including hostages and military facilities in Gaza, and has been in a state of "streaking" in the full sense of the word.
You must know that the conclusion of an agreement needs to be binding, and the source of binding force is not only the constraints of external factors, but more importantly the mutual constraints of both parties. Now that Palestine no longer has any strength to restrict the United States and Israel, the so-called ceasefire agreement is just an "alliance under the city" that is fragile and cannot withstand the test.
Hamas's helplessness.
Hamas is not aware of the underpinnings of this agreement, but it still says that Hamas has not enough encryption to play with Israel. Over two years of conflict with Israel, not only has Hamas's main vital power been exhausted by the slaughter of Israel, but even the upper ranks of Hamas have been eliminated by Israel. If Hamas does not surrender, it will only be completely destroyed. It is better to surrender decently, to preserve its strength, to wait for changes in the Middle East time.
Moreover, Hamas has also seen through the countries in the Middle East, whether it is Arab countries, Turkey, or the former big brother Iran, they are all strong outside and weak inside. Apart from a few words, they have no substantial help to Hamas and Palestine. In other words, Hamas has no hope of foreign aid, and it is also facing a joint attack from the powerful United States and Israel. Surrender is the only way out.
The future Palestinian-Israeli war will not stop, and Middle Eastern countries will suffer the consequences.
No matter how much effect this peace agreement can have, in the long run, its negative meanings are far greater than the positive.
Because this is equivalent to Israel's wanton behavior in the Middle East for more than two years, attacking Palestine, Hamas, Hussein, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran, and Qatar. What happened? Without receiving any punishment, he received the Hamas surrender agreement formulated by the United States, and openly called it a peace agreement to gain praise from all parties.
In the future, the U.S. is about to brew up a bigger conspiracy, because through this conflict in Pakistan and Israel, it has been seen that the Middle East country is not only one that can fight,No one has a "hard bone" with osmosis. waiting for the beauty to re-accumulate strength, a bigger storm will sweep across the Middle East, and that day may not be too far!