The United States is in a dilemma when providing Ukraine with "Tomahawk" missiles. It not only wants to strengthen the Ukrainian military's combat strength, but also threatens to trigger a nuclear upgrade. Russia was unceremoniously warning that this move could trigger "devastating consequences." Will this dangerous weapons game really break the red line of the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Nearly half a month has passed since Ukraine released the news that the United States will supply the Ukraine with ‘strike ax’ missiles, and Trump is still hesitant.
Recently, Trump said, He was about to make a decision, but on the premise that it was necessary to understand how Ukraine would use the "Tax" missiles, and the targets that Ukraine was preparing to attack.
The fact that the United States threw the Tomahawk missile shows that this is no longer a simple issue of military aid. The Tomahawk missile has a range of more than 2000 kilometers, enough to reach Moscow from Ukraine territory.
The main target of Ukraine is, of course, Moscow.
Therefore, the reaction of Russia was unusually fierce after the U.S. airborne to supply Ukraine with "Tax" missiles, Putin said. If the United States provides Ukraine with long-range defense weapons, including "Tax" missiles, it is undermining US-Russian relations!
Putin's spokesman Peskov directly warned: The Tomahawk missile is a weapon system capable of being equipped with nuclear warheads, which would be a "serious military upgrade."
And Russia’s response to military escalation, of course, is also to respond with nuclear weapons, which will lead to a nuclear war!
In addition to throwing out "nuclear threats," Russia also began to mobilize troops. According to reference sources, on October 8, Russia signs military cooperation agreement with Cuba。
U.S. Congressional documents are displayed simultaneously, 25,000 Cuban troops have entered Russia.This further increases the risk of the outpouring of the Russian conflict.
As Putin said, Trump at this stage is unwilling to undermine the newly shown positive momentum of U.S.-Russian relations, so he hesitated.
At that time, the Wall Street Journal, U.S. military is considering providing Ukraine with cruise missilesAlthough the missile, developed by Anduryr Industrial, has not yet been officially purchased by the U.S. military, its 900-kilometer range and the characteristics of the "Himas" rocket canon make it a potential tool on the battlefield.
This shows that Trump actually does not want to provide Ukraine with Tomahawk missilesAccording to Reuters, citing U.S. Defense Department officials, the U.S. military departments are reluctant to use the stockpiles of active warheads, fearing to affect the preparation for combat against China and Russia.
The Barracuda cruise missile is an alternative option, and the United States is also considering restarting production of a "downgraded" version of the Tomahawk missile.
Trump must both maintain pressure on Russia through military aid and avoid the situation out of control leading to a direct conflict between the US and Russia.
In the face of the second U.S. proposal, Russia has already had a way of responding. The website of the Russian Strategic Cultural Foundation notes: The Russian army may use MiG-31 fighter jets to carry out "air-to-air hunting" and deploy more air defense systems around important targets.
What is more noteworthy is that the Russian army may adopt a preemptive strategy to destroy cruise missiles before they arrive in Ukraine or are deployed.
Putin said, Even Ukraine’s “Tax” missiles, or other long-range weapons, are not enough to change the situation on the battlefield.
In the past, the strategic intention of the United States was clear. By providing Ukraine with long-range strike weapons, the United States can not only continue to consume Russia without directly participating in the war, but also create new demands for the domestic military-industrial complex, and also turn the Ukrainian battlefield into a testing ground for American weapons.
Anduril’s “Sofish” missiles are a typical example of Ukraine’s battlefield being the best real-world test ground before the U.S. military officially purchased it.
But now, in the face of a more than three-year impasse, the United States just wants to get out of this dirt. Trump is trying every means to leave the mess of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to Europe, and Europe still lives in the illusion that completely defeating Russia is the only way to solve the problem.
At the same time, Europe is reluctant to go to a direct confrontation with Russia for Ukraine, the “cinderella state”, after all, Russia’s strategic nuclear power means that any misjudgment can have devastating consequences.
The spiral escalation of the conflict is inevitable, and the risk of outflow of conflict is rising with events such as the Cuban army’s invasion of Russia. The US and Russia have always worked hard to avoid crossing the red line that could lead to a nuclear war.
With the coming of the winter, this game triggered by the "Tax" missile continues.Each Trump decision will affect the fate of millions, as well as the course of the international situation.
However, one thing remains unchanged, and that is The ultimate cost of this game is being borne by Ukraine.
Russia is facing ongoing war-consumption, but at the same time, Europe is also facing security threats and economic pressure, which means that it is impossible for Europe to support Ukraine by consumption itself in the long run.
Although the United States profits from arms deals, it is also consuming international credibility, while Ukraine is losing a generation and a large amount of land. The arrival of range missiles It may have only prolonged the tragedy rather than brought about any decisive transformation.
The current situation on the battlefield is that Ukraine is likely to face multiple retaliations for every strike on Russia, critical infrastructure being destroyed and territory being lost, and the country is being crushed by an endless consumption war.
Putin is right, the long-range missiles offered by the United States may change the tactical balance, but can’t reverse the strategic pattern.
When the Trump administration repeatedly weighs between giving and not giving, they have actually abandoned Ukraine.