¡ø US President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. According to Xinhua News Agency

The first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement came into effect at noon on October 9 local time. The Egyptian Cairo News TV earlier that Egypt, Qatar and other mediators had announced that a new round of Gaza ceasefire negotiations agreed on all the terms and implementation mechanisms of the first phase, and the final version of the agreement was being drafted. On the day before, US President Donald Trump said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) had reached an agreement on the first phase of the peace framework and signed an agreement, meaning all detainees would soon be released.

According to reports, the two sides have only reached an agreement at an early stage of the agreement, but the long-term issue of the Gaza Strip remains unresolved.Another report noted that Hamas and Israel still have huge differences on many real issues, Hamas has not yet agreed to give up arms altogether, while Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu insisted that "there will be no Palestinian state."

Achieving preliminary agreement

Can the second step be taken? When to take it out?

This is not the first time the two sides have reached a ceasefire agreement since the outbreak of the conflict. On January 15, this year, Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed announced in Doha that Israel and Hamas had reached an agreement on a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, and that U.S. President Biden announced that the ceasefire agreement would be implemented in three phases.

On January 15, Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed announced a ceasefire in Doha.

The first phase of the signing did not specifically mention key contents such as whether Hamas would disarm and whether it would participate in Gaza governance. And this is an important and sensitive issue for both Hamas and Israel. Israel demands that Hamas cannot play any role in the future governance mechanism of the Gaza Strip, that is, Hamas must achieve military and political self-disintegration. Hamas, on the other hand, regards whether to disarm as an "matter of survival." (Previous report: Palestine and Israel have attacked 8 countries in two years, not just Gaza ¢Ù | Two years. Will the aggressive Israel stop here?) According to reports, there was previous news that "Hamas agreed to disarm", but Hamas quickly denied the relevant reports and denounced them as groundless. In addition, basic issues such as where the Hamas leadership will go and who will manage Gaza are not yet known how to solve them.

Professor Wu Shinjun of the Chinese Arab National Institute of Research at Ningxia University said that the most critical contents of ending the conflict were arranged in the second phase, and the most difficult issues were also concentrated in the second phase. Now the two sides have agreed on the first phase, the end of the conflict has indeed taken the first step, but whether the second step can be taken and when to take it is not clear.

The UN estimates that rebuilding Gaza will require at least $50 billion.

Even if a sustainable ceasefire is achieved in the Gaza Strip, the Palestinian lives in Gaza are still bad. First of all, the post-war reconstruction issue, the UN expects that rebuilding Gaza will take at least $50 billion and at least 15 years. Moreover, if Hamas really gives up power, Gaza could fall into an uncontrollable faction struggle. Arthur Banner, a permanent reporter in Gaza, said the faction struggle between the Palestinian National Liberation Movement (FATH) and Hamas could be a big problem.

It is that Fatah and Hamas broke out in 2007, when Hamas took control of the Gaza Strip, while Fatah, the mainstream faction of the Palestinian Liberation Organization, actually took control of the West Bank. After the conflict broke out, in order to save the Palestinian situation, Hamas and Fatah agreed in October last year to set up an interim committee to manage Gaza. Gaza expert Azmi Khashoggi of the nonprofit International Crisis Organization said that some Fatah officials could even return to Gaza with Israeli support, ¡°when they could arrest members of Hamas or support Hamas.¡±

Most people in Israel want the war to end immediately

Gazans and Israelis: Celebration and anxiety coexist

According to a poll published by the Israeli Independent Research Institute on the second anniversary of the outbreak of the conflict, 66% of Israelis believed that the war should end immediately, up 13 percentage points from the same period last year, of which 93% of Arab respondents believed that the war should end immediately, and 60% of Jewish respondents agreed. Of Jewish respondents in particular, 94.5% of left-wing respondents believed that the war should end immediately, while 75% of intermediate respondents believed that the war should end immediately.

The data showed that among Jewish respondents who believed that war should stop immediately, more than half (50.5%) believed that continued war would jeopardize the safety of detainees. The overall data also showed that 45% of respondents believed Netanyahu should take responsibility and resign immediately, and 19% believed Netanyahu should take responsibility and should resign after the war.

In Israel, when the news of a ceasefire came out, people gathered together to celebrate the arrival of the detainees and I couldn¡¯t contain the joy of the heart,¡± said Hilary Mayer, a resident of Tel Aviv.

¡ø In Khan Younis, Gazans took to the streets to celebrate

In the Gaza Strip, people who learned of the ceasefire agreement gathered to celebrate. In Khan Younis, southern Gaza, local resident Khalid Saud said: "After two years of conflict, this place has finally ushered in a historic moment." A little girl in Gaza City also expressed excitement in an interview with the media."It's been two years since this life, and we hate the present life." However, according to media reports on October 8, even as Gazans celebrated the conclusion of the ceasefire agreement, Israeli troops continued to bomb Gaza City. Many Gaza residents are still anxious. After all, previous ceasefire agreements have been torn up.

Red Star Journalist, Comprehensive Central TV News, China New Network, etc.

Editor Pan Li

Audit He Xianju