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Can the second phase of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza be initially reached smoothly? Expert Analysis

According to Palestinian, Egyptian and other multinational media reports, Israel and Hamas both reached a ceasefire agreement in Egypt on the evening of the 8th local time. U.S. President Donald Trump wrote on his social platform “Real Social” on the 8th local time that Israel and Hamas had signed their proposed “20-point plan” first phase agreement.

The first-phase ceasefire agreement ends the Gaza conflict, a critical step

Professor of the Chinese Arab National Institute of Research at Ningxia University 牛新春:The Israeli-Hamas ceasefire agreement is an important event in the two years of the Gaza conflict. The last two years of the Gaza conflict have been unresolved, one of the key reasons is that Hamas holds Israeli detainees in its hands, which has made Israel extremely cautious in the course of the operation, throwing mouse quarters, worrying about wounded and detainees. An important part of the agreement is that Hamas agrees to release the currently alive Israeli detainees once and collect the remains of the dead detainees in the coming days and return them to Israel as soon as possible to solve the detainees once and for all. This means that the end of the Gaza conflict is a first step.

Professor of the Chinese Arab National Institute of Research at Ningxia University 牛新春:However, there is still great uncertainty as to whether the conflict can truly end. The agreement reached this time is for the United States, Israel and Hamas to split the "20-point plan" previously proposed by Trump into two parts, and the current signing is in the first stage. The main content of the first phase is that Hamas releases all detained persons; Israeli troops withdraw part of Gaza; and Israel releases nearly 2000 detained Palestinians.

Phase II Dispute: Key Obstacles to Ending Conflict and Unknown Direction

Professor of the Chinese Arab National Institute of Research at Ningxia University 牛新春:The most critical aspects of ending the conflict, such as the disarmament of Hamas, the withdrawal of all Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip, are arranged in the second phase, and the most difficult issues are concentrated in the second phase.

Professor of the Chinese Arab National Institute of Research at Ningxia University 牛新春:Hamas firmly opposes disarming itself, believing that this means being destroyed; Israel also firmly opposes the permanent end of the conflict and the withdrawal of all troops from Gaza, believing that this is impossible to destroy Hamas. It is evident that the issue of the second phase is bigger than the first phase, and the conflict between the two sides is even more intense in this phase. At the moment, the specific link between the first phase and the second phase is unclear, and whether the transition to the second phase can be smoothly completed, and whether the contents of the second phase have already begun to be discussed, as the specific content of the first phase agreement has not yet been announced.

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Tensions in Gaza have resumed

Editor in charge: Guo Bowen



News raw data sources → https://news.sina.com.cn/w/2025-10-09/doc-infthfyn9736692.shtml

17WorldNews[2025.10.09-12:57] 访问:46
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