Source: Direct News
Japan's ruling self-government party's new chairman, Cao市早苗, announced on 7th that he intended to give up his worship during the autumn festival of Yakuza two weeks later. In the past 12 years, Cao市早苗 had 11 "worshipers", what made her choose to give up?This practiceVery similar to the late Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Takashi Harami is also called the "Abe Girl" by Japanese public opinion. What is particularly worth continuing to observe is Gao Shi's position on the Taiwan issue.
This year, the city abandoned the “Prayer.”
There are both domestic and international factors
The second meeting was held with the ruling ally of the Communist Party leader Ziyu Tifov on the 7th, the Japanese Communist Party disclosed that the two sides still have differences, but in the issue of visiting the Yogyakarta Shrine and foreigners policy, basically reached a consensus.After the meeting, strongly supported the conservative media of the city of Yogyakarta, "Production News" was first exposed, considering the reaction of China and South Korea and other countries, avoiding the situation to evolve into a diplomatic issue, the city intends to abandon the rule of Yogyakarta Shrine during the autumn festival, for this is coordinating related matters.
The two regular festivals of spring and autumn each year and the Day of the Defeat of the 15th August are the most symbolic time of worship in Yasukura. During the time of the High City as a cabinet minister, the three times of worship were repeated. Conservative newspaper "Reader News" that this year's regular festival was 15th after the nomination of the prime minister of the congress, meaning that the high city was probably the prime minister of Japan, continuing to worship a major influence, for this Japanese public opinion has a lot of opposition. It should be noted that in December 2013, Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe visited Yasukura, immediately caused diplomatic tensions, and no longer in office Japanese prime minister has visited Yasukura.
According to the analysis, takaichi sanae gave up "worshipping ghosts" out of realistic considerations. In one week, Takaichi will go to Congress to accept the nomination election, and at least half of the approval votes are needed to be successfully elected as the new Japanese Prime Minister. However, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party adds up to less than half of the seats. Now the Takashi team is trying to win the support of the National Democratic Party or the Japan Reform Association, but in any case, without the Komeito Party, the Liberal Democratic Party still can't get rid of the embarrassing situation of "minority ruling parties". Therefore, Takaichi's decision at this time is actually to show the sincerity of cooperation to the Komeito Party.
Taiwan University political department professor Left Jingdong believes that the Communist Party in the past with the mainland of China relations are good, if the high city to continue to worship the Yogyakarta temple, then the Communist Party will not be willing to accept her as prime minister is a big question. in recent decades after the end of the Cold War, the Communist Party is relying on the Communist Party joint rule, if the Communist Party does not support, she has no way to serve as prime minister, so the future of the Communist Party will definitely have a certain degree of amendment, which is also the reason for her to worship the Yogyakarta temple this issue to maintain elasticity.
Another major pressure that must not be ignored comes from abroad, on the one hand, high market will see the U.S. chief faster than her predecessors, according to Trump will visit Japan at the end of this month for three days. Japanese media said that although the United States has supported Japan's development of armed forces in recent years, it will not allow Japan to make a negative provocative move on the Yogyakarta question, which will have an impact on U.S.-Japan-Korea trilateral relations.
Chen Yuan, a guest researcher at the Japanese Research Center at Liaoning University, said that the APEC conference will be held in South Korea in November, and that if it succeeds to be elected prime minister, the APEC conference will be its most important diplomatic premiere, when it is expected to meet with the leaders of neighboring countries such as China and Korea. Assuming that the city will visit Yogyakarta at this time, then it will inevitably lead to strong opposition from neighboring countries and regional countries, when it will inevitably let the diplomatic premiere of the city be greatly discounted, thereby affecting the relationship between Japan and the surrounding countries.
Chen Yang reminded that takaichi sanae's right-wing color is very strong, and her ruling foundation in the Liberal Democratic Party is very weak. It is not ruled out that she will make negative and provocative actions when her support rate declines in the future, win over the conservative forces in the Liberal Democratic Party, and then maintain and consolidate her own ruling foundation. Although she gave up visiting the shrine this time, there is a high probability that she will follow the example of her predecessors and send sacrifices or sacrifices called "Zhenzhen".
Gao Shi should be cautious in his words and actions on the Taiwan issue
Otherwise, it will be a huge cost.
After Takashi Saami was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China immediately stated that he hoped that Japan would abide by the principles and consensus of the four political documents between China and Japan, abide by its political commitments on major issues such as history and Taiwan, and pursue a positive and rational China policy.
Shenzhen Satellite TV Direct News compared the statements made by Takashi's predecessor Shigeru Ishiba and his predecessor Fumio Kishida after they were elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party. They found that "abiding by the principles set out in the four political documents of China and Japan" is China's consistent position. However, with regard to Shigeru Ishiba, who once stated during the election campaign that he wanted to establish the so-called "Asian version of NATO", China emphasized the need to "learn from history and follow the path of peace" and reminded Shi Po to pursue a "positive and rational China policy." And this euphemistic warning has now also been sent to Gaoshi Zaomiao. This time, China also meaningfully pointed out two major issues of history and Taiwan, which is a warning to the "tailor-made" market.
Gao is the faithful embrace of the late Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe, is the firm heir of the Abe line, especially on the Taiwan issue, the "Abe Girl" speech is more radical than Abe, so after her election, Rai Qing, Tsai English and other people's party politicians are kneeling, sparking public opinion on the island.
The results of a national telephone poll conducted by Japan's Kyodo News Agency from the 4th to the 6th showed that more than half of the respondents believed that Takashi's early seedling would deteriorate Japan-China relations in the future. Japanese media believed that the risk point came from Takashi's explosion on the Taiwan issue. Xie Hanbing, a senior media person on the island, also said with worry that Gao Shi's so-called "pro-Taiwan" rhetoric is probably not a good thing for Taiwan, which means falling into a passive state of being "pushed to the forefront of the storm."
Some green media have even speculated recently that once Takaichi comes to power, the maritime cooperation between Japan and Taiwan Province is expected to go further. The Japan Coast Guard and Taiwan Province's "Coast Guard" recently held a joint search and rescue drill, which is closer to the Taiwan Province Strait than before.
The island’s senior media agent, Rai Rai, said that this is the most conspicuous, because in the past Taiwanese fishermen were harassed at sea, were Japanese security offices, Taiwanese fishermen were subjected to the greatest humiliation and oppression at sea, whether inspected or detained, were from Japan. Rai Rai also reminded High Market Early Sun, in the 80 years of resistance to the victory, to be more cautious in the Taiwan issue, otherwise will let Japan pay an unbearable price.
High-City Morning Sun has been able to feel the pressure, the outside world noticed that after she was elected, the counter-normal situation did not speak about the Taiwan issue, and the domestic will be in the high-city cabinet as the head of the office house of the木原, also exposed will not accompany the group on the 9th, 10th to visit the Taiwan region. The木原 had been in the period of September 2023 to October 2024 as the Japanese defense minister, he was also the head of the affairs of the Japanese inter-party parliamentary group "Japanese parliamentarians speech meeting", several times followed by the gathering. Taiwan region former people Guo Jingling said that the mainland of China early red line, high-city Morning Sun can not ignore.
It is observed that once he becomes prime minister, takaichi sanae must make a choice. It is impossible to try to contain and stimulate China on the one hand, and rely on China for economic development on the other. If Sino-Japanese relations are not handled well, I'm afraid her position as prime minister won't sit long.
The author is one.
Typesetting Shu Pan Siyi
Editor: Guo Yongji
Professor Liu Liu
Surveillance of King.