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Wen |Xinxin

Preliminary

Trump recently made another big job ¡ª posting on social media that Israel ¡°has stopped bombing Gaza¡± in order to rescue hostages.

As a result, on the other side of Gaza on October 5th, the images were blinking: explosions, heavy smoke, airstrikes, and the explosions did not stop.

This wave of operation is like ¡°I announce you a ceasefire,¡± and it doesn¡¯t matter if you stop.

The 20-point plan: a beautiful "three-step walk"

Things have to start with an agreement called the ¡°20-point plan,¡± which Trump disclosed at the end of September when he met Netanyahu and said he ¡°has agreed.¡±

The logic of the plan is simple: first take hostages, then give them control, and finally disarm Hamas.

First, rescuing hostages, second, changing the government, third, clearing the boss, the question is ¨C this game script is written by the United States and Israel, Hamas has not even received the qualification, you expect people to play according to your process?

Hamas said that I could cooperate with the performance, but the script had to be changed, so Hamas gave a reply on October 3rd. The attitude was basically: people can be released, and management rights can also be discussed, but-there must be "necessary on-site conditions", and the details have to be discussed through the mediator.

The translation of adult words is: the guy is not not not cooperating, but you can not make me a toolman, we have to sit down and talk.

What¡¯s worse is the following: the future belonging of Gaza must be settled in accordance with the Palestinian people¡¯s self-determination and international law, and we must participate in the discussion.

That makes it very clear-you don't want to kick me out, you want me to leave? There's no way.

The outside world has seen that Hamas is playing the cooperation of Sheriff: both freeing goodwill to fight for diplomatic space, and keeping the bottom line not to let real power, while saying "we can talk", while emphasizing "but you don't want to arrange me."

Looking at the Israeli side again, although the Israel Defense Forces issued a notice to "suspend the offensive" on October 4, they immediately warned Gaza residents to "don't go back to the north" and "don't get close to the troops." Isn't this just "I said to stop. It's stopped, but the gun is still on your forehead"?

Netanyahu put it more bluntly: In the first stage, you release people, and we redeploy to continue to control Gaza; In the second stage, you disarm and demilitarize Gaza. Either you do it obediently, or we solve it by force.

You think you are talking about peace and people think it¡¯s another form of war.

Trump's "armistice show": political flow is more important than human lives

Why did Trump jump out and shout a ceasefire at this time? humanitarianism? do not joke, as in the wild guys, this time brush the sense of "diplomatic control" and, by the way, regain influence on the Middle East issue, Dohang.

But the problem is ¨C he shouted to him, the scene should be fought or fought, Israel has not stopped, Hamas is watching, the entire ¡°20-point plan¡± is a political decoration on the table, has no landing conditions at all, it is said that the parties are performing, performing to their respective audiences to see.

The plan calls for Hamas to withdraw from the political scene, but what is now wanted is the ¡°right to participate¡±; calls for an Israeli ceasefire, but Israel is reluctant to withdraw from the security buffer zone; internal extremists are not cold for peace talks; and Arab nations are mindful of taking over Gaza.

How is this promoting peace? This is to "keep the situation on the edge of negotiability"-neither complete collapse nor real reconciliation, so consumed.

Each side is extending the game in its own way: Hamas doesn¡¯t want to give in, Israel doesn¡¯t want to give in, and the United States wants to be a judge but has no law enforcement power.

conclusion

Therefore, this "ceasefire" is not the arrival of peace at all, but a buffer period for the next round of conflict. No matter how beautifully written the agreement is, it cannot stop the thick smoke rising over Gaza every day.

Peace can¡¯t be based on mouthpistols, much less on vague promises and ghostly ¡°plans,¡± and if the ¡°20-point plan¡± is still a paper blank at the end, the only thing that can be assured is that the war in Gaza won¡¯t end with a tweet by a big guy.

After all, in this game, no one really wants to go through the customs, everyone just wants to make sure they are not the first out, as for the civilians in Gaza?